tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-44976554798566466372024-03-18T02:48:01.027-07:00董玉振的博客请访问新加坡南洋出版社nanyang.wsdongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.comBlogger74125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-38184480043900213432023-07-21T21:49:00.003-07:002023-07-21T21:51:35.206-07:00揭露美国登月造假:中国科学家义不容辞的责任
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><iframe class="BLOG_video_class" allowfullscreen="" youtube-src-id="qzPb_J8-j_Y" width="320" height="266" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/qzPb_J8-j_Y"></iframe></div>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-18282623483684235212023-07-21T21:48:00.002-07:002023-07-21T21:53:02.317-07:00新视角看习近平连任:被忽略的玄机及展望本博客在几年前曾发过一篇文章,观点极为异类,所以没有在大范围转发,只在一些好友中传播一下。这次制作个视频详细分解
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><iframe class="BLOG_video_class" allowfullscreen="" youtube-src-id="QQ3yW32_7tA" width="320" height="266" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/QQ3yW32_7tA"></iframe></div>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-6441887776118319582023-07-21T21:46:00.004-07:002023-07-21T21:54:21.889-07:00中国对镓和锗出口管制时机选择背后隐藏的重大信号YouTube将是我未来视频的主要平台,中国境内的bilibili.com只能上传政治不敏感的,虽然国内的人气要高的多。
<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><iframe class="BLOG_video_class" allowfullscreen="" youtube-src-id="O_xewNGVmcg" width="320" height="266" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/O_xewNGVmcg"></iframe></div>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-42665034337713662132023-06-05T20:11:00.002-07:002023-06-05T20:14:00.709-07:00博主董玉振启动视频自媒体制作,欢迎收看留言!
鉴于网友越来越习惯于视频的形式,本博主董玉振正式启动了视频自媒体分享模式。
之前,新加坡官方新传媒第8波道电视采访,史东先生的八方论坛采访,都是邀约被动采访交流,这是首次根据自己的兴趣自由阐发观点。必有广大网友有价值的信息。
已经上线的,分别是关于《OPPO关闭芯片业务的分析》(三集),以及《中国封杀美光事件深度分析》(两集)
请关注订阅如下平台账号:
Youtube(可以搜关键词“新加坡董玉振”):<a href="https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC53ZyOBMTNmKmqQSv3fzPLg" target="_blank"></a>
B站(可以搜关键词“新加坡董玉振”):<a href="https://space.bilibili.com/1343596326" target="_blank"></a>
微信视频号:扫描关注
<div class="separator" style="clear: both;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhlQvKj5S5KbzOaImpzXeDIwm5FL34c0RS2DZnxppkzCWru8HhD4rpbPbsuA3UtR1uwwIhZMynroNic8LU9VyDUJcpP1iu3Li9s5MmyBH_0lEBfOSib6HwiBAOUBVGAyCjeZ27H140pwm71C9pDLJfQqSrPxoJTpYCoad_rNYBmUC_Jq9uAF2kVxQ/s1245/WhatsApp%20Image%202023-06-06%20at%2011.06.23.jpeg" style="display: block; padding: 1em 0; text-align: center; "><img alt="" border="0" height="320" data-original-height="1245" data-original-width="945" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhlQvKj5S5KbzOaImpzXeDIwm5FL34c0RS2DZnxppkzCWru8HhD4rpbPbsuA3UtR1uwwIhZMynroNic8LU9VyDUJcpP1iu3Li9s5MmyBH_0lEBfOSib6HwiBAOUBVGAyCjeZ27H140pwm71C9pDLJfQqSrPxoJTpYCoad_rNYBmUC_Jq9uAF2kVxQ/s320/WhatsApp%20Image%202023-06-06%20at%2011.06.23.jpeg"/></a></div>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-58439368817480035862022-12-11T18:16:00.000-08:002022-12-11T18:16:59.777-08:00国家应组独立调查组检查上海团队疫情研究结论是否涉嫌造假
我看到网易上的一篇文章。这篇文章给出了一个关于奥密克戎感染者死亡率的超级乐观数据,并对国产疫苗踩了一脚。
以张文宏为代表的上海科研团队,有着今年上半年大量的数据为基础,他们的研究结论值得重视。但是,他们的研究结论却与大陆以外奥密克戎感染数据有天壤之别。他们的结论是:全部奥密克戎毒株感染者的死亡率为0%!!!!!
难道奥密克戎特别照顾上海人??????
台湾从去年开始逐步走向共存,今年开始迎来了一波又一波感染高潮,过去一年不到,这个奥密克戎感染为主的海岛,因新冠死亡的官方统计数字超过一万人,台湾人口是2300万,比上海常驻人口少,人口密度比上海低的多,医疗条件不亚于上海。也就是说,如果类似台湾差不多的死亡率,上海将会在未来一年半有一万多人死于新冠。
香港也是今年2月份迎来了一波高潮,香港严格要求戴口罩的情况下,从去年底开始逐步放松,今年因新冠死亡人数的官方统计已经超过8000人,香港常驻人口七百多万。深圳常驻人口1200万,如果按照和香港类似的情况,深圳未来一年半也将有15000人因为新冠死亡。
(我本来要做视频谈谈此事,但一直没有拿到新加坡10月份的数据,所以迟至今日也没做。上面香港台湾数据特别强调官方统计,是因为没有统计进去的人到底多少,不得而知,但肯定有,而且可能不是小数字)
上海团队的结论,多大程度上影响了中央决策,不得而知。这次抗疫是一次准战争状态,如果参谋部出现信息错误,将会误导将帅的指挥决策。张文宏医生也曾公开表达过新冠死亡率接近流感的言论,流感曾导致台湾在一年死亡一万多人?
所以,我强烈建议中央组成独立专家组,对上海的研究进行审核,如果存在刻意压低新冠影响的情况(上海今年6月的疫情不是偶然的),有必要对有关负责人追究法律责任。中国疫苗在海外的大量使用,结论也远比上海的结论好。这个也同样需要进行深入研究。
辉瑞抗新冠新药价格极为昂贵,是否如辉瑞疫苗没经检验就上市(这是辉瑞官员在欧洲议会质询时公开承认的),上海引进最积极。这里纯粹是巧合吗?
建议中央成立独立调查组对上海团队的研究过程和取样人群进行审查,取样是否科学。
如果存在刻意压低,有必要对相关责任人采取法律行动,这是在关键时期误导中央和民众。
如果上海团队结论正确,那需要邀请香港卫生局来上海进行调研,到底是什么原因让奥密克戎在上海比在香港的杀伤率降低如此之多。这个研究成果将足以获得诺贝尔医学奖,甚至可以直接通过WHO宣布新冠疫情结束。
++++++++以下网易原文的几个结论(原文可按下面原文链接)++++++
上海疫情数据得出10项颠覆性结论:奥密克戎感染者的死亡率为0%
来源 TheLancet-Vivian
(1)国产疫苗防止COVID-19的有效率是12.6%
(2)接种疫苗次数与奥密克戎感染率的关联
非重症奥密克戎毒株感染者总数33816人,未接种疫苗的人数为6105人,占18%;接种了疫苗的人数为27711人,占82%。
在接种了疫苗的人群中:
接种了1剂疫苗者,1153人,占3.4%;
接种了2剂(全程接种)疫苗者,11121人,占32.9%;
接种了3剂(加强针)疫苗者,15437人,占45.7%。
这样,我们得到了关于疫苗接种与奥密克戎感染的关系的结论如下:
不接种新冠疫苗,不容易被奥密克戎毒株感染;
接种疫苗者容易被奥密克戎毒株感染;接种疫苗者占感染者总数的82%。
接种疫苗次数越多,奥密克戎感染率越高;打加强针者占感染者总数的46%。
(3)上海市核酸检测阳性总数的98%无症状
(4)奥密克戎的轻症感染者,有发烧症状的只占4%
奥密克戎的轻症感染者的症状很轻。对于所有轻症感染者,普遍存在的是上呼吸道症状:
最常见的症状是咳嗽(干咳)和咳痰,占19.0%;其次是疲劳,占5.2%;只有4%的轻症感染者出现发烧。
(5)COVID-19患者占确诊奥密克戎感染者的0.29%
(6)非重症奥密克戎感染者转化为重症的概率为0.065%
(7)非高危组奥密克戎感染者转化为重症的概率为0%
将入院初始的确诊奥密克戎毒株感染者33816名分为两组:高危组(风险组),包括重型、危重型患者9260名,占27.4%;非高危组(非风险组)24556名,占72.6%。非高危组24556人转化为重症的人数为0,即重症率为0%。
(8)全部奥密克戎毒株感染者的死亡率为0%
确诊奥密克戎毒株感染者共计33816名。到研究项目结束时,没有任何患者死亡。这说明:全部奥密克戎毒株感染者的死亡率为0%。
所有死亡病例均合并基础疾病,死亡的直接原因为基础疾病或恶性肿瘤。换句话说,上海奥密克戎疫情期间,由于感染奥密克戎而得新冠肺炎(Covid-19)死亡的人数为0,即死亡率为0%。详见参考文献。
(9)中青年比年长者更容易感染奥密克戎
(10)核酸检测阳性者转阴性时间平均6天dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-45090864704959669612022-05-20T22:41:00.000-07:002022-05-20T22:41:08.249-07:00美策划炸毁台积电:中国不可不防!美策划炸毁台积电:中国不可不防!
原创 董玉振博士 南洋智库 2022-05-21 09:10 发表于新加坡
去年年底。美国战略学者麦金尼(Jared M. McKinney)、哈里斯(Peter Harris)于美国陆军战争学院期刊2021年底《战争要素》(Parameters)发表一篇论文,建议台湾政府应做出“焦土战略”表态,如果面临中国入侵,台积电等半导体产业就会进入自毁机制。
无独有偶,美国海军研究所出版的《议事录》杂志5月号中,刊登了在美国陆军部队服役的安全事务专家克里斯多福·布斯的分析,他同样主张美军陆战队必须协助台湾摧毁破坏基础建设,以阻扰解放军在台湾的监控能力,确保争取扩大冲突后的胜利。
该提议的出发点是“有价值的资产不可以落入敌手,避免助长对方势力”。
此外“台独”顽固分子吴钊燮近日接受外媒采访再度渲染所谓大陆“军事威胁”,鼓吹“全民动员,自我防卫”,并寻求美国和北约支持。
这一点,值得解放军的高度重视。美国是无所不用其极的国家,看这次乌克兰就知道了,而且美国人说的很明白,就是用乌克兰弱化俄罗斯(不是为了乌克兰主权,乌克兰死多少人,毁成什么样子完全无所谓,所以,俄乌和谈有点正面信号美国就立即拱火)。台湾也一样,美国人也很直白,就是不能让中国得利,更不是为了保护台湾的民主自由。
针对这一言论,国台办发言人朱凤莲回应:
图片
美方一些人扬言“炸毁台积电”、“摧毁台湾基础设施”,尽显将台湾民众当做棋子和炮灰的冷血无情、图谋“以台制华”无所不用其极的邪恶用心。这就是“台独”分裂势力卖身投靠给广大台湾同胞带来的毁灭性后果。广大台湾同胞情何以堪!
去年《战争要素》那篇文章发表后,定居旧金山的台湾移民史东先生主持的“八方论坛”在看到我在公众号发的一篇文章后(点击文章:英特尔妄言涉疆之类问题的应对之道),我做了个越洋访谈,谈及英特尔以及台积电在两岸统一中可能面对的问题及应对美国破坏的思考。几个月后,美国又出来此类声音。可见,两岸统一之事,毁掉包括台积电在内的台湾重要基础设施,可能已经纳入美国的规划。这么恶心的叫嚣,压根没把台湾的利益放在眼里,台湾只不过是他们的工具,台湾绿营居然没有人群起抗议,真是人脑子出了问题,就会变成一个人形的猪。
有兴趣的朋友可以去海外油管上看当时访谈的视频访谈。当时还赶上英特尔拿新疆说事,所以,这也是这次访谈的核心话题之一。
这次访谈,我关于台积电主要的思路:
1,台积电必须自身要有所准备,不可以对美国抱有幻想。
2,大陆不论采取何种手段实现两岸统一,都要有保护台湾重大基础设施不被美国和本土敌对势力破坏的准备。
图片
12272021-1訪 董玉振:英特爾 聯想 台積電 (第一集 50%版)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i5VkxFNzlMQ&t=4s
12272021-2 訪 董玉振:英特爾 聯想 台積電 (第二集 100%版)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cfvxmTTCVzc&t=2s
美国力量所及,到目前还没有能完好退场的,全部都是家破人亡,伊拉克、叙利亚、乌克兰等。美国已经锁定台湾,是对中国意志和智慧的重大考验。
旧作推荐:
英特尔妄言涉疆之类问题的应对之道dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-8615589651110997542022-04-03T21:10:00.004-07:002022-04-03T21:10:34.487-07:00好险!上次美国大选、俄乌战争及泽连斯基死亡风险
好险!上次美国大选、俄乌战争及泽连斯基死亡风险
新加坡南洋出版社社长 战略与产业咨询专家 董玉振博士
最近的俄乌战争,在全世界华人社会掀起了一股界限分明的关注和讨论,挺俄者,反俄侵略者都不在少数,都理由充分,言之凿凿。
笔者除开战后不久在新加坡《联合早报》发表一篇文章外,一直没写东西,因为战略层面的判断相比上次美国大选已经属于次要。俄乌战争的未来走向和结局,很多属于技术层面的判断,或一些看似偶发事件的可能影响。
何为战略层面的判断?当今世界的三大核心战略力量——中、美(欧洲加北约,亚洲加日韩澳台)、俄三角关系暂时不会有根本性的改变,而上次美国大选其实就已经将这个局面暂时稳定下来。
上次美国大选之前,中国朝野包括一些最知名的网红智库学者,都一致认为特朗普连任符合中国的利益,这才有了"中美第一阶段贸易协议"的签署。笔者对此完全不能认同的关键就是完全忽略了一个对中国未来几年外部局势有重大影响的要素——俄罗斯。为此,我在大选前撰文《<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247484593&idx=1&sn=e765fcdd0cc1f52acd34a91f6f21dc52&chksm=9739c648a04e4f5ec58f921bb5014b00f832383bf1b99675ededaa3211dadc0ad0870023a82a&scene=21&token=1354145617&lang=zh_CN#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">检讨中国对特朗普定位的误判及建议</a>》,明确指出:特朗普连任将可能导致美俄走近或美俄联合抗中的重大战略转变,和这一转变比起来,现在的乌克兰战事的输赢根本就不是什么大事。
我的担忧最近得到了证实:据美国商业内幕网站3月5日报道,美国白宫前国家安全顾问博尔顿近日称,如果美国前总统特朗普在2020年的美国大选中成功连任,他原本是打算让美国退出北约的,而普京也在等待此事的发生,但特朗普输掉了选举。
实际上,自特朗普上台后对欧洲盟国左右不顺眼,对俄罗斯,他是历任总统中最心慈手软的,我当时的怀疑是,特朗普有把柄在普京手中。而美国严厉对付中国,其实也是普京的期待,因为这将大幅度减轻俄罗斯的压力。中国这个人口大国拥有强大经济和军事实力,对俄罗斯来说不是个心里踏实的事,卧榻之侧岂容他人安睡?“一带一路”国家中不少是独联体国家,对此,俄罗斯是无奈而不舒服的。当特朗普发动对华贸易战时,普京接受媒体采访他对中美贸易战的态度时用中国俗语“坐山观虎斗”表达态度。总之,美国和北约对俄罗斯的压力强弱与中俄关系密切程度成正比。这是国家战略层面利益的判断,不是小青年追星的盲目。
大家是否可以想象,如果中国当时支持的特朗普连任,中国将会获得怎样的国际发展环境?答案是显而易见的:俄乌战争肯定不会发生,如果美国退出北约,那么美俄将迎来一个蜜月期,美国联俄制华的战略调整将会立即成型,中国的外部发展环境将会剧急恶化。由于德国和俄罗斯相对其它北约国家更亲近的关系和德国在欧盟的地位,特朗普连任的后果能想象吗?
只能说,特朗普连任失败的偶然历史事件,居然让中国的发展环境避免了一次严重恶化的机会,今天看来只能说:好险!!由此反思中国国家智库在前瞻国家发展和外交战略方面,还要多做点功课!(最近看到上海一位退休的前台湾研究所所长关于台湾问题的文章,与现实相差十万八千里,台湾问题对于大陆来说是最应该也最容易了解透透的,但却在如此高层次学者中却荒谬的可怕。如果真要按照那位学者的判断,未来两岸的统一进程将出现重大的偏差)
所以,俄乌战争将极大地加剧美欧与俄罗斯之间的敌意,这对长期维护一个紧密的中俄关系是个重大的战略利好。但作为中国人和海外华人应该清楚,做普京的粉丝实在大可不必。这里根本是个国家利益得失的评估。
至于普京的智慧和能力如何评价,能打几分,容以后再议。
就普京本人来说,我在《联合早报》那篇文章《<a href="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247485198&idx=1&sn=b54eb4ec34d3da23aaf1ec8bddbedfde&chksm=9739c5f7a04e4ce199d57ca5fc064e33a7e8094f187c9dea37b4a4e06cccd81c01c7dff7359d&scene=21&token=1354145617&lang=zh_CN#wechat_redirect" target="_blank">俄乌战争前景预判</a>》中特别点了一句普京对列宁的批评,很多读者不明白这句话的重要性,其实,这是普京对俄罗斯帝国时期旧有领土在苏联解体时以独联体国家分割出去的公开质疑。什么意思?乌克兰、哈萨克斯坦等一批独联体国家的独立,在普京看来均是列宁的错误政策导致。还有比这更重大的信息吗?相比普京的理想,俄乌战争只是这一过程中的一个历史事件。普京公开否定恢复前苏联的可能性,但是,他对俄罗斯帝国时期领土的剥离耿耿于怀——而这与中国有重大的地缘战略利益冲突。尤其是俄罗斯如何处理与哈萨克斯坦的关系,值得中国密切留意。2014年,普京在塞利格尔湖讲话中突然提到,哈萨克斯坦总统努尔苏丹·纳扎尔巴耶夫神奇地创建了这个国家,与他最近对列宁政策的批评一脉相承。
(2014年中俄关系时冷时热,普京心理上更亲近欧洲。2013年中国首倡“一带一路”,美国警惕,俄罗斯也因独联体国家参与而不爽。8年后回首,美国在对付俄罗斯方面的这盘棋下得成功,站在美国的角度来看,有得,时序上有点问题;站在中国角度看,中华民族文化基因中的中庸之道,保守内敛,与人为善,自然“宠辱不惊,看庭前花开花落;去留无意,望天上云卷云舒”。50年后再回首,看到的将是美国失误,俄罗斯的悲剧,两强相争,中华文明登顶世界之巅最具挑战性的最后一程中获得了难得的片刻喘息。这就是国运:即便中国支持特朗普,天意就不让特朗普连任,虽然他的总得票数最高。天佑中华,此乃明证。)
在中美俄战略三角中,美国长期维护霸权地位就必须打击中国,弱化甚至进一步肢解俄罗斯。如果说美国各个总统的不同,只在于在这个三角游戏中先打哪个后打哪个的问题(现在同时打俩,滑稽)。对于中国来说,如果美俄对立加剧,或至少美俄不走太近,是理想的。这种状态只要能维持十年,中国高科技产业链补缺完成,新一代军事装备全面取代老式武器,国际结算体系去美元中心化,十年后美国国内的发展不会比现在更好,到时候这个三角关系再怎么折腾,也无法撼动中国业已奠定的优势地位——人口规模、科技水平、工业能力、民族文化和大一统政体,到时候看这个世界上谁怕谁?!
在俄乌战争中,中国对俄罗斯给予充分理解和支持是符合中国当前利益的,因为中国面临俄罗斯类似的安全关切。这对于俄罗斯对抗美国是个鼓励和支持,对中国未来维护自身安全利益是个参考案例。从美国的利益出发,俄罗斯深陷乌克兰将是最好的发展方向,而俄乌谈判很快停火将是不可接受的。那万一谈判达成停火怎么办呢?那就设法让这个拟好的停火协议根本无法签署!!!
乌克兰总统泽连斯基小心美国的暗杀!!
美国国务卿布林肯前几天已经讲话中提到:乌克兰政府已经为泽连斯基死亡后的事情安排,做出了一套新方案。
很多人解读为:俄罗斯如果把留在基辅的泽林斯基击毙,美国已经有所准备。
这当然是美国试图让国际社会理解的方向。但到底是谁真想杀掉他,值得玩味!
当最新一轮俄乌谈判传出一些积极的信号后,英国公开质疑谈判停火的可行性。最近美国国会同意给乌克兰提供一批先进武器,也是为了提高乌克兰在谈判桌上的筹码,这将加大谈判实现停火的难度。(战争开始前提供的都是陈旧过时的武器,当时美国也没有坚决支持乌克兰的明确态度,就是在鼓励普京发兵乌克兰,进而掉进这个泥沼里!普京明知而无奈地上当了)
当然,泽连斯基政府中少不了美国的线人,俄乌谈判的进展将会很快传到美国人的耳朵里,如果美国发现谈判已经趋近成功,签字在即,那泽连斯基死期至矣!(当然嫁祸给俄罗斯,用民选总统的脑袋来刺激乌克兰人民对俄罗斯的仇恨,妙!)美国扶植的傀儡政府将会取而代之,俄罗斯想找个签字的对象都将不可能,乌克兰战争将会继续消耗下去。美国在乌克兰的多年经营,绝对不会轻易收场,要用乌克兰人民的生命来耗尽俄罗斯的最后一滴血,这是美国的目标。
所以,保护泽连斯基的安全,是俄罗斯的关键任务。(本“南洋智库”公众号关注者中有不少政府官员,希望中国外交部看到我这个分析后,能够私下提醒泽连斯基。只是几句话的小字条,战后披露给乌克兰民众后,就可以迅速修补因为中国在俄乌战争中的立场而导致的乌克兰民众对中国的排斥心理。这比几亿美元的武器弹药更有效力。)
泽连斯基如果认识到这一点,他在谈判成功毫无进展时在基辅是安全的,谈判接近成功时他将性命堪忧,那么,他该如何因应,是需要认真掂量一下了。
小国领袖如果摆不对国家的位置,不慎乱傍大款,赔上的不仅是国家的前途,也有自己的性命。
台湾的蔡小姐是时候好好掂量一下自己的前途、历史地位和命运了。乌克兰和泽连斯基可为借镜。
(全文完)
dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-53108278558319840192022-04-03T21:06:00.000-07:002022-04-03T21:06:41.252-07:00中国男足的出路在何方?中国男足的出路在何方?
新加坡南洋出版社社长 战略咨询专家 董玉振博士
本文作者董玉振博士与国安足球俱乐部副董事长张路2016年12月18日摄于北京。这次北京之行还登门看望了一些老人家,为毛泽东诞辰125周年前拙作第二版出版设定了一个时间表。
大过年的,中国男足再次上演了没有最糟,只有更糟的戏码。我相信,这对全国人民来说算不上大过年添堵,因为早就已经习惯了,反而各类吐槽法会给大家带来些无奈的乐子。但每个人都期待中国足球带来惊喜的那一刻,虽然佛祖也不清楚这一刻在每个真假球迷离开这个世界前是否会发生。
中国男足这些人,从个人上讲,生活上应该都不是坏小子,但一个基本的判断的就是,他们总体上不是一群有宏大志向的人,出点名,拍点广告,多挣点钱,买辆名车,买套大房子给爹妈,甚至换个女朋友,可能是他们的理想。他们可能更适合摆摊或开个店面的小生意,压根就不是一群成就大事业的人。所以,他们的主观能动性无法将他们的资质和体能发挥到极致,他们干什么可能都成就不了大业。也可能他们青年时期曾经有过宏大的足球梦想,但体制内耗的过程中,他们那份集体斗志已经消磨的所剩无几。看到一张男足和女足腹肌的对照照片,不能不感叹:女足姑娘们真是拼出来的,男足这帮人平时就是混日子,体能训练都不达标,每人一个脂肪肚——这都是从哪个技校弄来的一群无业游民?那些建筑工人也没有这样荒谬的肚子。
个人能动性受大环境的影响,基于纯粹的个人利益而奋斗,当收到部分利益后,可能就知足常乐了,只有基于宏大的理想才能激发出每个人的潜力,发挥出最大的贡献。想象当年钱学森组建航天工业研究院所时,没有人懂火箭,甚至大学生都没多少,硬是从部队选拔了一些有点中学程度的人来补充航天队伍,就是这些看似文化素质不高的人却创造了奇迹。人,只有利益的驱使是不够的,那是小农思想和小市民意识。只有宏大理想和情怀的驱使,才能成就一个伟大的人。这,正是当代中国足球的问题症结。如何激发和引导足球运动员心态和情怀上成为伟大的人,是比技术上如何琢磨更加基本的工作。但这绝对不是喊口号所能解决的。
而中国足球队员培养和选拔的领导人和领导机构——中国足协同样也应该是一群这样的人在占着位置。一个能在足协位置成就一番大业者,也必然是能建起可持续的行业规范与制度,并身体力行者。中国足协主席位置的最佳人选应该是任正非式人物。目前看来,中国足球领导者中没有帅才应是定论。
基于这些基本判断,中国足球的出路当留意几个方向:
1,中纪委和高检分别建立体育竞技部,专门接受和处理体育竞技有关的投诉和纪检工作。
足球选拔过程和足球领队和教练用人唯钱,是社会大环境对体育竞技领域的渗透,这极大地打击了优秀体育苗子的积极性,灰暗的现实摧毁了他们的人生理想,但这个方面真正被绳之以法者少之又少。容忍这类癌细胞的存在,就是葬送中国体育的前途。
各级足球队教练和领队都要过纪检部门的例行检查和抽查。公开举报信箱,私访抽检省级球队的队员对教练和领队是否有受贿贪腐的反馈。一旦发现,除追究法律党纪责任,要永久限制此类人进入任何与体育有关的行业。
中国足球领域,拿钱上场时有所闻,此乃大害。一个有志于足球事业的青年,家里往往花不少钱在足球上,如果看到漫漫前途上还有无法估算的金钱需要铺路,那真正的才俊有几人还能走下去?有才干者并不一定要依赖足球,社会上逆向淘汰在足球领域的重演,那中国足球断无希望。
所以,治球,先治人!以法制人。必须营造一个大环境,为人才辈出创造条件。
这一体制设立的目的,就是彻底弱化体育行业内部的利益输送。足协虽然有纪检部门,但是,足协领导都是行业出身,和俱乐部、省市队负责人难免有私人交往,指望他们有戏吗?难!
所以,这个部门成立后第一件事就是对全国足球各级负责人和联赛俱乐部负责人教练员进行一个彻底的大检调,大清洗,抓一批,撤一批,永久封禁一批。作为行业负责人不一定要踢球好,但一定要有原则性和纪律性。
2,对教练员奖罚分明,足协主席由全国表现最好的教练兼职。
中国足协和众多体育行业协会养了不少官,这些官就如同一支军队的总司令、政治部和后勤部首长,是否深孚众望,是否能严于律己,对军队战斗力影响非常关键。能力弱的人侥幸坐在官位上,这类人往往更喜欢滥用威权以证明自己的本事,缺乏博大的胸襟容纳强者。所以,足协主席位置应该是战出来的,而不是选出来。中国足协主席的位置,应由全国联赛(全运会或甲级联赛)冠军队教练兼任,并由此教练组建以冠军队为核心,少量抽调其他队优秀球员组建临时国家队参与国际大赛。如果国际大赛取得突破性成绩(可以预先约定达标线), 此教练将被提名为下一届国家体委副主任。将团队成绩与教练的个人事业成就密切关联。
中国女足最近亚洲杯夺冠,没得商量,足协主席的位置应立即让位给国家女足教练水庆霞女士(谁说只能男子足球才被重视?)。
引进末位淘汰机制:
全国联赛(俱乐部联赛或全运会)最后一名的教练和领队,必须离职,并在五年内不得再参与地级市队以上或职业足球队的教练和领队工作。但可以去体校任职。这就是企业界的末位淘汰机制。这个机制残酷而行之有效。让那些贪便宜的教练无法聚集优秀球员而被淘汰出局。造就一流的足球运动,从造就一流的教练开始。
3,足协瘦身和转变智能
足协下设二十多个部门,有些部门功能重叠,除了养一堆级别不低的官,似乎没大好处,官多,全国各地都不敢得罪任何一个官,担心足协一个班子里的人说不定谁给穿小鞋。
但从过去的投入和成绩来看,中国足协核心领导层应该集体辞职,是必要的。他们真干不成什么事,已经实践证明了的,无需再拿全国人们的热情和纳税人的钱去反复证明好几次。
机构瘦身建议:
对外联络部、媒体公关部合并为联络及公关部
中超部、中甲部、中乙部、业余联赛部、女足联赛部、五人制沙滩足球部,合并为联赛部。(哇靠,他们设立部门如此细致,真能造官位)
青少部、男子青训部、女子青训部合并为青少部。
等等。
4,足协和各体育协会市场部独立出来组建国家体育竞赛商务总公司
足协不再参与任何商业或金钱来往的活动,只是作为行业管理部门存在。剥离其它体育行业协会的市场部门,组建央企国家体育竞赛商务总公司,国资委直接管辖,所有收益自动划入国家体育发展基金(可以财政部管辖下,由国家教委和体委和发改委提出拨款项目),资助国家各地区(尤其贫困地区)体育设施建设,贫困家庭孩子的体育用品馈赠,全国公立学校重点体育设施升级资助,资助国家青少年体育比赛,资助国家体育竞赛和集训项目。将国家体育竞赛收益和体育彩票收入纳入体育相关公共财政。
国家体育竞赛商务总公司未来不仅负责全国体育的商业要素运营管理和规范,也将肩负国家职能参与未来组织运作亚洲乃至世界性体育赛事相关商业合作,甚至未来中国举办国际赛事如奥运会也由该公司来总包。当然,如何理顺该公司与联赛俱乐部之间的财政分配,属于技术层面的问题,一个核心原则就是管足球的不碰钱,碰钱的不管球,这可以避免管球的私欲太重而影响管球的决策。也可以避免管钱的谋求短期收益而压榨球队。比如,女足虽然成绩斐然,但收入不及男足,这里的调节就是靠该基金。国家体育竞赛总公司兼顾公司利益和支持体育发展,自然会对女足优秀球员捧成网红。
体育赛事关乎重大商业利益,不能只肥少数人或小集团而忽视公共利益的分配。过去在房地产等很多领域都曾发生过这样的荒谬。
军队和知名高校的足球苗子,是值得重视的板块。军队环境锻炼出来的球员,责任心、纪律性和荣辱感强,体能基础好,军队是个人才的宝藏,值得重视。一些知名高校也有些值得栽培的苗子。一般能考入好学校,都有较强的荣誉感,资质不错,如果再有较好的身体素质和足球基础,以及较强的理论学习能力,值得重视。高校非专业球员没有过早地被社会大环境污染,保持着较淳朴的学生气质,这是社会上球员所缺乏的。男足球员过早地涉足社会使得他们失去了一份纯真,或想得太多,要得太多,参与的太多,把本来简单的体育运动交织在一个复杂的社会利益网络中。相对来说,女性本来就比男性天然拥有情怀和感性,好胜心强,又得不到社会重视,中国女子群体赛事普遍表现比男性好,应该与此有点关系。中国男人,年龄不老,心老的太早了。
5,国家应明确禁止引进外籍非华裔球员和教练
如果中国把全世界最杰出的球员都买来,国籍归化,这些黑白球员帮中国拿个世界冠军,作为中国人或海外华人,您真的体面吗?丢人!!是你人种不行,还是什么原因,使得必须引进外籍人员?国际竞赛不同于高科技企业的引进人才,高科技企业看结果,不看过程和参与人员。但体育则不同。国际竞赛是本国国民体育事业发展的结果,而不是为结果而结果。中国足球只要在正确轨道上发展,对全国足球普及有推动作用,就够了,拿好成绩是早晚的事,搞一个靠别的种族弄来的冠军没有意义。中国毕竟不是个移民国家,不需要靠外籍非华裔球员来满足这种国家虚荣。只有自己拼出的成绩,才是真正值得骄傲的。
同样的道理,中国没必要花巨资聘请外籍非华裔教练。女足的表现足以证明,中国是可以造就高水平教练的。球员素质太差不行,再好的教练也不行。正如一套一流的设计图,交给三流技师去加工零部件制造,最后做出来的只能是次品。
这种靠外籍归化的做法是典型的急功近利思想作祟——这本来就是中国足球扶不起来的根本原因之一。
从体育的社会价值来看,非华裔体育人才可以带来名次,但无法带给国民发自内心的国家荣誉感(对海外华人则无法产生民族荣誉感),更不具有女排那样的励志意义,相反,可能让国人产生错觉——中国人足球上面真不行,要成功只能靠外族!
如果归化非华裔球员作为主力队员获得国际大赛好名次,甚至多进几个球,进而成为国人的偶像,让中国人加速习惯于黑人或白人面孔代表中国出战,对社会传递的一个潜在信息是:外族的涌入慢慢被公众所接受。这对于未来那些试图推动吸引外国移民中国的人来说,是个可以借题发挥的好素材。
体育竞赛虽然有巨大商业价值,但本质上不是商业,更多一分文化色彩。中国足协不仅管球不行,也缺乏基本的文化敏感。中国足球只要在正确轨道上发展,即便暂时没有好成绩又如何?当我们对男足恨铁不成钢时,女足给我们提供了信心基础。
我这样一位伪球迷,虽不太懂球,但和正牌球迷一样希望能看到中国男足成为劲旅去蹂躏半个世界,抽空写这些,班门弄斧,抛砖引玉。
dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-80771757558778517542022-01-16T04:11:00.005-08:002022-01-16T04:11:56.749-08:00英特尔妄言涉疆之类问题的应对之道<p><span style="color: #2b00fe;"> 【该文发表后,位于旧金山的八方论坛坛主史东先生安排了一次访谈,题目是《英特尔,联想,台积电》,欢迎去Youtube搜索】</span></p><p><br /></p><h1 class="rich_media_title" id="activity-name" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 1.4; margin: 0px 0px 14px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">英特尔妄言涉疆之类问题的应对之道</h1><div class="rich_media_meta_list" id="meta_content" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 0px; hyphens: auto; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px 0px 22px; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 1;"><span class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight rich_media_meta icon_appmsg_tag appmsg_title_tag weui-wa-hotarea" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" id="copyright_logo" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.05); border-radius: 2px; display: inline-block; font-size: 12px; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 1.67; margin: 0px 8px 10px 0px; max-width: 70%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: normal; overflow: visible; padding: 0px 4px; position: relative; text-overflow: ellipsis; vertical-align: middle; white-space: nowrap; width: auto;" wah-hotarea="click">原创</span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_text" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle;"><span class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight weui-wa-hotarea" datacanreward="0" datarewardsn="" datatimestamp="" id="js_author_name" role="link" style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" wah-hotarea="click">董玉振博士</span></span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_nickname" id="profileBt" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: middle;" wah-hotarea="click"><a class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight weui-wa-hotarea" id="js_name" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #576b95; cursor: pointer; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">南洋智库</a></span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_text" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" id="publish_time" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle;">2021-12-24 12:00</span></div><div class="article-tag__list" data-len="4" id="js_tags" style="background-color: #f7f7f7; border-radius: 8px; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 0px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px 0px 16px; outline: 0px; padding: 12px 16px; user-select: none;" wah-hotarea="click"><div class="article-tag-card__title" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.5); font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">收录于话题</div><div class="article-tags" style="display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;"><div aria-labelledby="js_article_tag_name__2193175050948870145 js_a11y_comma js_article_tag_num__2193175050948870145 js_article_tag_tips__2193175050948870145" class="article-tag__item-wrp js_tag weui-wa-hotarea js_wx_tap_highlight wx_tap_link" data-album_id="2193175050948870145" data-tag_id="" data-tag_source="3" data-url="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/mp/appmsgalbum?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&action=getalbum&album_id=2193175050948870145#wechat_redirect" role="link" style="display: flex; margin: 6px 12px 0px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span aria-hidden="true" class="article-tag__item" id="js_article_tag_name__2193175050948870145" style="color: #576b95; display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">#英特尔</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="article-tag__item-num" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" style="border-radius: 8px; display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px 0px 0px 4px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span id="js_article_tag_num__2193175050948870145" style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">1</span><span class="weui-hidden_abs" id="js_article_tag_tips__2193175050948870145" style="height: 1px; left: auto; margin: 0px; opacity: 0; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 1px;">个</span></span></div><div aria-labelledby="js_article_tag_name__2193175051183751169 js_a11y_comma js_article_tag_num__2193175051183751169 js_article_tag_tips__2193175051183751169" class="article-tag__item-wrp js_tag weui-wa-hotarea js_wx_tap_highlight wx_tap_link" data-album_id="2193175051183751169" data-tag_id="" data-tag_source="3" data-url="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/mp/appmsgalbum?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&action=getalbum&album_id=2193175051183751169#wechat_redirect" role="link" style="display: flex; margin: 6px 12px 0px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span aria-hidden="true" class="article-tag__item" id="js_article_tag_name__2193175051183751169" style="color: #576b95; display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">#新疆</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="article-tag__item-num" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" style="border-radius: 8px; display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px 0px 0px 4px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span id="js_article_tag_num__2193175051183751169" style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">1</span><span class="weui-hidden_abs" id="js_article_tag_tips__2193175051183751169" style="height: 1px; left: auto; margin: 0px; opacity: 0; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 1px;">个</span></span></div><div aria-labelledby="js_article_tag_name__2193175050747543553 js_a11y_comma js_article_tag_num__2193175050747543553 js_article_tag_tips__2193175050747543553" class="article-tag__item-wrp js_tag weui-wa-hotarea js_wx_tap_highlight wx_tap_link" data-album_id="2193175050747543553" data-tag_id="" data-tag_source="3" data-url="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/mp/appmsgalbum?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&action=getalbum&album_id=2193175050747543553#wechat_redirect" role="link" style="display: flex; margin: 6px 12px 0px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span aria-hidden="true" class="article-tag__item" id="js_article_tag_name__2193175050747543553" style="color: #576b95; display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">#芯片</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="article-tag__item-num" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" style="border-radius: 8px; display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px 0px 0px 4px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span id="js_article_tag_num__2193175050747543553" style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">1</span><span class="weui-hidden_abs" id="js_article_tag_tips__2193175050747543553" style="height: 1px; left: auto; margin: 0px; opacity: 0; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 1px;">个</span></span></div><div aria-labelledby="js_article_tag_name__1571665702279839744 js_a11y_comma js_article_tag_num__1571665702279839744 js_article_tag_tips__1571665702279839744" class="article-tag__item-wrp js_tag weui-wa-hotarea js_wx_tap_highlight wx_tap_link" data-album_id="1571665702279839744" data-tag_id="" data-tag_source="1" data-url="https://mp.weixin.qq.com/mp/appmsgalbum?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&action=getalbum&album_id=1571665702279839744#wechat_redirect" role="link" style="display: flex; margin: 6px 0px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;"><span aria-hidden="true" class="article-tag__item" id="js_article_tag_name__1571665702279839744" style="color: #576b95; display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">#中美关系</span><span aria-hidden="true" class="article-tag__item-num" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" style="border-radius: 8px; display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px 0px 0px 4px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span id="js_article_tag_num__1571665702279839744" style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">4</span><span class="weui-hidden_abs" id="js_article_tag_tips__1571665702279839744" style="height: 1px; left: auto; margin: 0px; opacity: 0; outline: 0px; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: absolute; width: 1px;">个</span></span></div></div></div><div class="rich_media_content" id="js_content" style="background-color: white; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; hyphens: auto; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: justify; visibility: visible; z-index: 0;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">英特尔妄言涉疆之类问题的应对之道</strong></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;">新加坡南洋出版社社长 董玉振博士</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">最近,美国芯片业老大英特尔被曝光禁止其供应商使用来自新疆的产品,引发轩然大波。 英特尔中国 随即在微博上就此事发表公开声明,称对“中国深怀敬意,对于此事“引起诸多的疑问和顾虑深表遗憾”,并宣称致供应商的“信中关于新疆的段落只出于表述合规合法的初衷,并非它意或表达立场”。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">这件事让很多国人如鲠在喉,这个“鲠”就是英特尔在CPU领域近乎垄断的地位,中国现在还没有企业可以肩负起完全替代的能力。所以,对英特尔这种公司似乎完全没有办法,而如鲠在喉。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">自特朗普时期开始动辄封杀中国企业至今,中国的黑名单制度至今引而不发。美国封杀的中国机构已经超过600家,而且还会继续增加下去。美国之所以如此大胆,也导致美国企业如此大胆,一个根本的原因是:<span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">风险近乎为零!</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">不难判断,如果中国继续采取绥靖策略,中国还会有更多的企业进入美国的黑名单。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">其实,在中兴和华为相继被封杀之后,我曾撰文出注意,重点对付美国一些战略工业,其中就包括英特尔(见《<a data-itemshowtype="0" data-linktype="2" hasload="1" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247483960&idx=1&sn=7319a3f8d8631fa441e8c5762af1e0d3&chksm=9739c0c1a04e49d76fd1d2db0c69bf9554501b419eccc367ff89622796fb604dbd83e6315ec3&scene=21#wechat_redirect" imgdata="null" imgurl="" linktype="text" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); box-sizing: border-box; color: #576b95; cursor: pointer; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" tab="innerlink" target="_blank" textvalue="针对中美贸易战的中国策略" wah-hotarea="click">针对中美贸易战的中国策略</a>》(2018.6)、《<a data-itemshowtype="0" data-linktype="2" hasload="1" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247484489&idx=1&sn=866182b621ba433e58c51e0296783723&chksm=9739c6b0a04e4fa6e0a6278b4c170aed30f3e2d919d619b11e04f997321be3b8772e0e42975d&scene=21#wechat_redirect" imgdata="null" imgurl="" linktype="text" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); box-sizing: border-box; color: #576b95; cursor: pointer; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" tab="innerlink" target="_blank" textvalue="华为生死关分析及公司和国家策略" wah-hotarea="click">华为生死关分析及公司和国家策略</a>》(2020.5))。对付这类公司,就要学习毛主席抗美援朝决策时的思路“打得一拳开,免得百拳来”。过去三年来,正因为我们采取戒急用忍的策略,美国和走狗们更加肆无忌惮。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">暴打英特尔,实有必要</span></strong><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">面对英特尔这种公司,在其中国分公司已经声明解释的情况下,是否还要追责呢?<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">仔细读那个声明,倒也不虚,确实反应一些公司不得不跟随美国政府的舞步起舞,毕竟英特尔从美国政府那里可以拿到钱,也可以收到棍棒。但中国每年给英特尔200亿美元的市场业绩,该公司确实应该说说清楚。当然,如果能不说清楚,就这样过关也可以,但需要有实际的行动来弥补,这个可以是不公开的,正如最近外界传出苹果公司曾对中国政府私下承诺2700亿美元在中国采购金额,也就不难解释:当年北京电视台爆出苹果后台搜集用户位置的消息,但却没有处理的下文,我一直在嘀咕:除将中国用户数据留在国内(贵州的苹果数据中心),还有这个采购金额的承诺不知是何时的事;反正苹果这几年在中国稳坐钓鱼台做生意赚钱,绝对不是偶然的。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">不少网友感叹:英特尔的芯片无可替代,中国哑巴吃黄连,只能加速国产化为上策。认识到国产化的重要性,这值得肯定,但<span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">要说中国无法对付英特尔则不是事实。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">英特尔前些日子将大连存储工厂卖给了韩国海力士。最近其成都封测厂扩产没有获得美国政府的批准(如果小步快跑的方式扩产,需要美国政府批准吗?)英特尔是否看到中美关系的不稳定而有意逐渐撤退,值得留意,因为不能一方面收缩在中国的布局,一方面照样赚钱。</span><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">必须清楚:英特尔CPU并非完全不可替代。</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">还有家美国公司AMD,自从其ZEN架构推出后,这几年从英特尔手中抢回不少份额,虽然后来推出ZEN2升级版,但第一代ZEN架构授权天津海光,却让英特尔如芒刺在背,所以AMD受到美国政府的压力而第二代不再授权中国公司。这和当年麦道和上海合作MD-82、90被波音收购后立即终止和中国的合作一样,老大唯恐中国这个大蛋糕被中国自己的企业分食。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">今日英特尔的个人电脑台式和笔记本用X86 CPU及部分服务器用CPU,海外有AMD可以取代,国内有兆芯、海光。这就给中国拉一个打一个提供了空间。也就是说,英特尔并非伟大到不可揍的地步。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">所以,中国政府可以借机要求英特尔公开道歉,收回涉疆言论。可以想象英特尔为不得罪美国政府,是不可能收回,而是绞尽脑汁玩文字游戏。那就为中国暴揍英特尔提供了借口:中国宣布,自某月某日起,凡是有英特尔某某几种型号的CPU的电脑不得在中国销售(选市场占有率高,又可以在其它厂家找到替代的型号)。结果是什么?英特尔股票狂跌。当然,中投、外管局等投资机构不会错过提前积累足够的卖空盘,借此机会捞一笔,足以支持未来一两年中国半导体补贴。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">英特尔和AMD最大的区别是,AMD依赖台积电,而英特尔却有着一个庞大的成熟制程芯片制造能力。如果市场不好的话,英特尔这种有着巨大产能的企业是非常难过的,要养活这些工厂是个负担,这也是当年IBM把一座工厂免费送个格芯还倒送了几个亿的原因。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">英特尔属于重资产公司,这对于美国投资界来说,不是好事,一旦和贪得无厌的华尔街财狼们捆绑在一起,那就有趣了,中国的可操作空间将进一步扩大。如果中国市场大幅度微缩,英特尔再建最先进制程产线的能力将打个问号,这将导致美国在集成电路制造工艺方面将进一步拉大和台积电及三星的距离。要知道,<span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">美国推动半导体制造能力的提升已经上升到国家战略,而肩负美国这一重任的操盘手就是英特尔</span>。拉三星和台积电投资,那只是现阶段的权宜之计。因此,大幅度削减英特尔的盈利能力,就是弱化美国芯片本土制造的前景。只要美国无厂芯片公司如高通、苹果、AMD、英伟达高度依赖台积电,美国在台湾问题上就不得不小心处理。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">AMD和英特尔二者之间,强大的AMD只是设计能力,而强大的英特尔则是设计和制造兼备,因此,<span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">中国用英特尔的市场份额养肥AMD,对美国不利,对中国有利。</span><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">中国借机推动国产CPU的规模化应用及联想的责任</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">中国政府也可以借此机会将海光及兆芯这两个X86架构的CPU推动直接替代应用,还有自主架构的龙芯和<span face="Arial, "Hiragino Sans GB", STHeiti, "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, "Microsoft Yahei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #404040; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">申威CPU</span>。华为自研鲲鹏ARM架构CPU已经在华为服务器出货中占到一半的份额,这是国产CPU的在商业化方面非常可喜的进步(ARM架构)。国家可以补贴支持来分食英特尔在服务器芯片方面的中国份额。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">作为全球最大的PC制造商的联想,是时候好好表现一下了。</strong></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">这么多年来,联想不支持国产芯片,是不可原谅的</span>。这里<span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">不是一个纯粹的商业问题,而是联想这类终端产品制造商对上游产业链的培育和支持的道义责任问题</span>,这里还必须将国家责任提到一定的高度。联想从政府采购获得那么多好处,难道不该支持一下国产供应链吗?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">使用国产CPU商业上并非不可行。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">作为最大的电脑制造商,其产品覆盖高中低端,国产CPU在欧美甚至中国个体消费者这里可能不太受欢迎,但南亚、南美、非洲广大发展中国家的庞大低端市场,中国大量的学校教学用电脑,则可以接受国产CPU。实际上,我2017年买的笔记本至今用的非常顺手,除大型游戏,国产CPU丝毫不影响一般办公用途。如果联想用国产CPU,即使在新加坡这个高收入国家,也有一定市场,像笔者和中老年华人中,不少人对使用中国产高科技产品有兴趣。因此,国产CPU电脑完全可以成为联想的一个盈利板块,而不仅仅是做公益。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">华为的研发投入中,也有部分投入和项目短期内看不到商业利益,但作为一个大公司,不能只盯着眼前的钱包。华为如果能尝试推出自产CPU和国产x86CPU的个人电脑,不仅具有极大的广告效果,也一定会有不错的市场回报。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">联想这么多年的责任缺位,是到了该检讨的时候了</span></strong>。即便联想不赚钱,如果能借机帮国产芯片厂家积累起发展实力,也算是功德一件。<span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">对于这个规模的电脑公司,难道多培育几家国产供应商,也更有利于自己未来和英特尔这类大鳄议价能力。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">综合来看,中国找机会暴揍英特尔,也是对美国政府泛化国家安全概念提个醒,为中国下一步讨价还价创造更多的筹码。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">但不知智囊们在顾虑什么,我们至今没有去积累筹码?</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">(全文完)</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: #800180;"><b>新加坡南洋出版社是南洋高素质出版的金字招牌。出版物虽然不多,但在国际学术界有重大影响。南洋金学大系是其中代表性的出版系列。具有极高收藏价值。这里介绍其中部分代表性书籍:</b></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></p><div style="color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br /></div><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">金瓶梅词话本古籍传本制作上,自1933年由鲁迅胡适主持的古佚小说刊行会制作的“古佚本”之后最重要的一次版本出版——台北故宫藏《金瓶梅词话》灰度影印本,精装本只剩50套,线装本所剩无几,而且以后不会再版。极为有限的市场存量和不断扩大的收藏市场,其价值必将会不断升高,并最终成为稀有藏书。</strong></span></span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆、加州大学伯克利东亚图书馆购藏)</span></strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">该书介绍请参考:</strong></p></li></ul><div><span style="color: red;"><b><br /></b></span></div><div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </strong></span></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">精装本:</strong></span></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_JiexiuHC.htm</strong></span></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgq4tB5xnQuxoTNjOcQWtqBxkRnAuGe8HHX8mw5rnDGZBQxHi4PLw3GdB4Q83BjiXsLSQ9Xjv18KWpR0-SnYSmDCVuogWGfrsO67tyM0IxMSwpToM5OUm6AAJTbhhIbHXbw323QgliUaPjWeAU6zgyt5dx6EgY52qbpi1BMerdfam148M4dvUyQHg=s728" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="728" data-original-width="600" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgq4tB5xnQuxoTNjOcQWtqBxkRnAuGe8HHX8mw5rnDGZBQxHi4PLw3GdB4Q83BjiXsLSQ9Xjv18KWpR0-SnYSmDCVuogWGfrsO67tyM0IxMSwpToM5OUm6AAJTbhhIbHXbw323QgliUaPjWeAU6zgyt5dx6EgY52qbpi1BMerdfam148M4dvUyQHg=s320" width="264" /></a></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center; text-indent: 32px;"><br /></p></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">线装本:</strong></span></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_Jiexiuxian2.htm</strong></span></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjUzxAK2DsmExS7vG25IgBAIF6J2CH9PijlyXeL_mHKD9XH6oLzv3kMyV6PcNstvnmaxOsSWZuykxndQSGzC1kEUuPbH3QixF2fJ4OvxwAv3Pkpjaki3HyT7v-wfFB-dKxbmFZEJYvWRL2DDBQMcv8Jjjw2vw9k4xl3JMbMPVf1KCqYaEiuAe-NBQ=s1024" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="636" data-original-width="1024" height="199" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjUzxAK2DsmExS7vG25IgBAIF6J2CH9PijlyXeL_mHKD9XH6oLzv3kMyV6PcNstvnmaxOsSWZuykxndQSGzC1kEUuPbH3QixF2fJ4OvxwAv3Pkpjaki3HyT7v-wfFB-dKxbmFZEJYvWRL2DDBQMcv8Jjjw2vw9k4xl3JMbMPVf1KCqYaEiuAe-NBQ=s320" width="320" /></a></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </strong></span></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">百度百科词条:</strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">https://baike.baidu.com/item/%E9%87%91%E7%93%B6%E6%A2%85%E8%AF%8D%E8%AF%9D/50678771</strong></p><div style="color: #333333;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></strong></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">南洋出版社本年度重大影印本制作——日本内阁文库藏崇祯本《全像金瓶梅》,当代唯一高度尊重原著的制作,为中华文化之重要古籍传承再做贡献:<strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆购藏)</span></strong></span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></strong></span></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjscHCe668cVDkuV791i9CtBP0xqCNsuMn5wCkkBBzLj_C2Mg-9KOgqc8QKtNeUj0IRJTBM0RUIxB2nyYg8gcGGS_vFqizMfACx2LS946rsMEJgNwxGdX2zsCFHB5vqfAv2tvjDr6UuRkw2_5T7-bL9ObhfD-N7Z18rwduyYFBoRfrmnOCxUWGudw=s655" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="655" data-original-width="484" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjscHCe668cVDkuV791i9CtBP0xqCNsuMn5wCkkBBzLj_C2Mg-9KOgqc8QKtNeUj0IRJTBM0RUIxB2nyYg8gcGGS_vFqizMfACx2LS946rsMEJgNwxGdX2zsCFHB5vqfAv2tvjDr6UuRkw2_5T7-bL9ObhfD-N7Z18rwduyYFBoRfrmnOCxUWGudw=s320" width="236" /></a></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">详细介绍,请参考:</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_Neige_hardcover.htm</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">南洋出版社开创性重大制作,为古典文学整理出版探索新方向;“南洋金学大系”再添殿堂级巨制——黄霖教授辑著<strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">《五色彩印汇评全本金瓶梅》在香港和新加坡隆重上市</strong>:(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆购藏)</span></strong></p></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiONizdKZHLk0SGV_F3yQ0imR3xfSXM0kusDnZCFqVOX_bfy7YlJTkjE27JriK0x4aQSdPPH52h80fjl92Eh_4YHasKo6xBALKQyMRqrVvhQ4i6PCLNtRekBQwTCN_WbDShzM1C66x6qtqQ7xj-sGApov3J2BYkLuRnqYPYghKKgrXktNXyVqqmoQ=s775" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="775" data-original-width="440" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiONizdKZHLk0SGV_F3yQ0imR3xfSXM0kusDnZCFqVOX_bfy7YlJTkjE27JriK0x4aQSdPPH52h80fjl92Eh_4YHasKo6xBALKQyMRqrVvhQ4i6PCLNtRekBQwTCN_WbDShzM1C66x6qtqQ7xj-sGApov3J2BYkLuRnqYPYghKKgrXktNXyVqqmoQ=s320" width="182" /></a></div><br /><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: circle; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">近现代出版史上首次五色彩印古典文学排印整理著作;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">近现代出版史上首次将古籍批点以原著位置体现,对未来古籍整理具示范价值;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">金学出版史上首次高度尊重原著文字的制作,为未来古籍整理立下高标准;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">复旦大学文科资深教授(院士待遇)、金学会会长、当代古代文学研究权威黄霖教授历多年遍访世界各金瓶梅藏馆的心血整理,金学出版史上首次汇集所有主要</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">传</span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">本批点,创汇评本新高度;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">黄教授五万言长序更为此书不可替代的财富。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">毋庸置疑的收藏价值,赏心悦目的阅读体验,精选高级材质制作</span></p></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">详细介绍,请参考:</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_huanglin.htm</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">该书的出版,进一步巩固了新加坡南洋出版社在古典文学之金学出版领域的行业和学界地位。也成为新加坡在中文文化产品领域难得一见的国际影响力品牌。对新加坡脆弱的中华文化传承建立信心。</span></p><div style="color: #333333; letter-spacing: 0.544px;"><br style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;" /></div></div>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-61216947809058138982022-01-16T04:01:00.010-08:002022-01-16T04:03:48.865-08:00华夏幸福基业的衰败之路<p> </p><h1 class="rich_media_title" id="activity-name" style="font-size: 22px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; margin: 0px 0px 14px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">华夏幸福基业的衰败之路</h1><div class="rich_media_meta_list" id="meta_content" style="font-size: 0px; hyphens: auto; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px 0px 22px; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 1;"><span class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight rich_media_meta icon_appmsg_tag appmsg_title_tag weui-wa-hotarea" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" id="copyright_logo" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.05); border-radius: 2px; display: inline-block; font-size: 12px; line-height: 1.67; margin: 0px 8px 10px 0px; max-width: 70%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: normal; overflow: visible; padding: 0px 4px; position: relative; text-overflow: ellipsis; vertical-align: middle; white-space: nowrap; width: auto;" wah-hotarea="click">原创</span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_text" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle;"><span class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight weui-wa-hotarea" datacanreward="0" datarewardsn="" datatimestamp="" id="js_author_name" role="link" style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" wah-hotarea="click">董玉振博士</span></span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_nickname" id="profileBt" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: middle;" wah-hotarea="click"><a class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight weui-wa-hotarea" id="js_name" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #576b95; cursor: pointer; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">南洋智库</a></span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_text" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" id="publish_time" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle;">2021-12-02 19:40</span></div><div class="rich_media_content" id="js_content" style="hyphens: auto; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: justify; visibility: visible; z-index: 0;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">华夏幸福基业,这个产业地产领域曾经的先锋地产商,今天走到穷途末路的境地,不免令人感到可惜,但也不让人太感惊奇。2016年我第一次花点时间研究这家公司时就感觉哪里不对劲。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">我没时间去翻找那么多的数据,随手用点零碎时间写一下自己的粗略判断。长期培养的战略直觉,有时候比琐碎数据更靠谱。我常在飞机上无法查找数据的情况下根据直觉写文章,下飞机后找数据放进去,一般都不会有大的偏差。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">我和华夏幸福有过擦肩之缘。我于2011-2017年在新加坡两家城市规划公司任职时,公司曾做过华夏的项目,有个项目我还参与了部分意见。2016年,猎头公司还曾撮合我和他们一个高管见面。该公司一位区域高管任政府官员时曾作为我公司的客户和我相识,并通过交流成为相互欣赏的好友(很有趣的是,我的不少客户成为彼此欣赏的朋友),他后来转职华夏幸福任区域高管,他始终坚信我是华夏幸福需要的人才,所以,于2017-2018年先后三次介绍我和不同部门的三位高管见面,但结果都是一样:我不被录用。哈哈,我其实一点也不感到意外。因为职场上欣赏我的客户很多,但愿意聘请我的经理人确实难找。2011年把我引入城市规划和顾问行业的那位规划公司创办人廖总,是我这么多年职场生涯中唯一的伯乐,他和我从不认识,只是和我见一面,之后电邮给我两份某产业园区项目报告(国内一个经济学博导做的产业部分)让我谈谈看法,就直接将我这个机械系毕业,毫无相关职业背景个学历背景的人任命为副总规划师,入职立即担纲项目经理,并在三个月后提拔我任副总裁。上班一个月才想起来给我要份简历以方便给客户介绍。如果你是老板,您敢把几百万的项目交给这个初来乍到,只见过一面的外行吗?之后我在产业园战略定位和产业规划、文旅产业、生态城研究等多类项目没让廖总失望。后来廖总卖掉股份后我跳槽到新加坡一家国有企业任副总时,廖总给我写了一篇充分抬举的推荐信。廖总,极少数让我信服的上司,真牛人也。这可能是老板与职业经理人的区别吧。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">闲话这些个人的经历。我的职业生涯与华夏的业务有交集,我对华夏幸福多少有过点留意,如果三四年前我能有缘进入华夏任职,我会将我对这家公司的战略方向的隐忧写成报告提交上去,不论是否采纳。无缘合作,省了我的脑细胞,华夏幸福继续末路狂奔。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">华夏幸福从河北固安起家,这是个环北京的县城,毗邻北京大兴,房地产业繁荣时,这样的区位提供了地产商一个很好的产品类别发展机会——都会区外围住宅地产,为都会区居民以低得多的价格拥有第二套周末或退休房提供了机会。北京城南向和东向的拓展趋势,似乎为华夏幸福带来了更多的机遇。虽然华夏幸福产业地产方面投入不少资源,但其现金流还是要靠配套的住宅地产;或者说是产业搭台,住宅地产唱戏。这对于地方政府来说,要比那些纯住宅地产商更受欢迎,毕竟产业园区如果能招进来一些企业,这是地方产业发展的长期利好,也更容易纳入政府的政绩。应该说,华夏幸福的这条路线在住宅地产火热时期,是个颇具眼光的发展战略。并籍此迅速取得业界认可的地位,也成为一些城市政府青睐的招商引资的对象。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">但这个方向随着房地产业的退烧,房子造出来就不愁卖的时代成为过去,这种远离都会区的房产的可选择余地增多,华夏幸福的模式终究要面临尴尬的境地。位置,位置,位置,重要的说三遍。房地产不论如何做,所处的区位都是核心要素。当房地产退烧后,华夏幸福住宅地产的位置,曾经是他起家的卖点,现在则成了他的弱点。看看都会区周边大量有价无市的房子,不难想象华夏幸福的尴尬。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">华夏幸福产业园与地方政府以PPP模式合作,我判断(没看过财务报告,只是猜测)也给公司带来不少压力。因为财政富足的城市,不愁没有投资,未必欢迎华夏幸福的低价拿地模式(中新合作苏州工业园差点烂尾,很多人搞不清楚根源,新加坡政府对苏州搞新区横加指责。根本原因就在这里。新加坡政府带着造梦规划和金钱而来,中国1989年后特殊时期热烈欢迎,到之后苏州政府突然猛醒发现自己这个邻近大上海的不愁嫁的公主身份而后悔给新加坡分食,再后来就搞新区吃独食,苏州市无可指责,因为合同中有这个漏洞;再后来李光耀头疼不已直至不得不认栽重签合约也总比半死不活强。其实都是一个道理),凡是低价供地搞PPP的不少地方政府自身财政并不富有,这就埋下了另一个隐患——回款困难。想从并不富裕的地方政府手里把合同上写明的收益款要回来,是个技术活。即不能打官司,也不能申请仲裁,尤其地方政府一把手的流动,更增加了要钱的难度。零时工只确保自己在位时财政有钱就行。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">一个大企业在市场高烧时的良好表现,很容易被理解成管理层的高超能力,正如牛市时每个人都以为自己是投资家,缺乏行业前景的正确判断,最终必把优势转为劣势。金字塔顶端的一流玩家永远是少数。更遗憾的是,公司管理层似乎以为自己已经具有一流的管理能力,开始盲目向外拓展业务,浪费金钱无数。有钱乱花多发生在公司高速发展冲昏头脑的时刻,并埋下隐患。中国地产界自以为了不起的企业家和经理人比比皆是,现在海水慢慢退潮后就看得出谁没穿泳裤。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">华夏幸福大概自2016年开始向外寻找机会。他们的管理团队从东南亚到中东埃及,甚至欧美,到处寻找复制中国内地成功模式的舞台。越南胡志明市、印尼雅加达、缅甸仰光、菲律宾等,他们大手笔为每个城市绘画梦想的蓝图,当然,给城市规划公司创造了不少商机,也为这些城市政府免费提供了城市拓展的远景思路,在新加坡高薪聘请一批规划师算是给新加坡就业市场做出贡献(管理层完全不清楚起步阶段什么人才是急需的),但唯独没给公司带来一毛钱收益,华夏幸福成了规划公司和外国城市当局眼中钱多人傻的代表。也不明白他们的团队是如何想的,地产商在所有发展中国家都与各国政要有密切的或明或暗的关系,这是这个行业牵扯太多方面利益,资金过于庞大的特点所决定。就你们一群热血沸腾的理想主义年轻人就想在这里靠高水平渲染的设计图画大饼就能打动各地政府?未免想得太美妙。中国人对埃及的认识到底有多深?那个政局不稳的国家,居然也能被华夏幸福的海外拓展团队转悠一大圈,除非旅游观光和公司的资金浪费,实在看不到任何的价值。仰光都会区拓展规划这样大的项目会给一个中国公司?这些不切实际天马行空的资金投入,真不如做做慈善。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">当然,我不是说中国地产商不可以对外拓展,但地产行业涉及面广,在一个国家能够五年站稳脚跟就不错了,研究相关政策法律,适应当地文化和居民住宅需要,都需要时间和金钱的投入。如果涉足产业地产,涉及面更广。没有一个地产商这样天女散花般到处撒银子的。中建、京冶等央企在新加坡从事建筑本行站稳脚跟后,开始进军房地产业,即熟悉本地法律,也了解本地买家的口味,均取得不错的成绩。在新加坡毗邻的马来西亚城市新山,一路走过去也可以看到一些中企地产的楼盘,从区位看都属于不错的项目,应该有不错的收益(马来西亚的中资房企采取与当地机构合作的模式,就凭这一点就比华夏幸福成熟;但碧桂园的森林城市“新加坡旁”颇有点天马行空,可能战略规划团队里招募了太多的诗人,我犹豫要不要写写这个奇特的项目。这个项目本来当作卖点的区位,恰恰是它弱点,但愿碧桂园能收回本钱)。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">华夏幸福三大板块:产业园区、依托于产业新城的都会区外围住宅地产和海外业务,在国内地产降温大势下全部成为负担而收效缓慢,最后暴雷也就是必然的了。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">过去几年,中国环都市圈所建的低价房子存量太大,坐高铁或打开谷歌地图卫星图很容易发现遍地的楼盘,这种盲目扩张必然会耗死一些地产商。当然也浪费了巨量的资源。中国房地产政策的漏洞,使得地产商以为从漏洞钻进去就是财富,没想到后面是悬崖。如果考虑到70年地契的国家法律(很多国人还没睡醒,曾经有个很有学问的中老年人告诉我:政府到时候不可能把老百姓都赶出去。太天真了,中国政府这么多年房地产政策中,这是不多的亮点。<strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">请参考旧作:</strong><a data-itemshowtype="0" data-linktype="2" hasload="1" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247483675&idx=1&sn=7b820a110e9e464a17bf182d3ff837da&chksm=9739c3e2a04e4af4f5b7f1d6639096126247c0f53d7900fe46120451421a5c97aecfcf09d072&scene=21#wechat_redirect" imgdata="null" imgurl="" linktype="text" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; cursor: pointer; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" tab="innerlink" target="_blank" textvalue="中国唯一伟大的房地产政策——设定70年产权期限" wah-hotarea="click"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">中国唯一伟大的房地产政策——设定70年产权期限</strong></span></a>),这些房子中到底有多少投资价值值得怀疑。华夏幸福如果在五年前看到这一点,即使分散部分资源用于其它类型房地产投资,今天就不至于如此糟糕(参考万达)。中国虽然地产公司多如牛毛,现在不少在叫苦,但房地产的商机永远存在,只是发现商机所需要的眼光要求更高了而已。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">对于一个城市化进程远没有结束的人口大国,房地产会继续成为重要产业支柱,只是市场机会随着消费需求的变化而会出现转移。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">(全文完)</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">+++++++</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 14px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">作者董玉振博士曾在新加坡两家顾问公司任负责战略研究的副总裁,其中一家是新加坡国有企业。是当今不多见的多元化全方位战略咨询专家。先后主导、执笔或参与的项目包括产业园区、文旅规划、生态城专题研究、物流区规划、双创基地规划等。跨越多个理工科、人文和社会科学等全方位的专业知识和从业经验,并在至少八个不同的领域有学历背景、专著、核心刊物论文、工作经验,为从事无边界的战略研究提供了罕见的知识背景和广域的思考维度。欢迎有此需要的政府部门、产业园区管委会、地产商等机构接洽,电邮dongyz@yahoo.com</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 14px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">机械装备、IT行业、食品生产,知名品牌的企业有软硬件优势,值得作为优先合作的对象。但战略研究是个特殊工作,任何名牌大学或大公司都不会培养战略研究人才,这类人才是自生的。咨询业唯一的优质资产是人,人到哪里,资产就到哪里。一些知名咨询公司在中国糊弄了不少钱,估计一大半的开发区和城市都吃过这种苦头,因为不论多大的公司,真正做你这个项目的可能就是两个刚毕业不久的年轻人,那些高管们即不会花太多精力去研究项目,也未必是真正的战略性研究人才,职场上升到高位的更多是一批高情商人士,但战略性研究拼的是智商和眼界(全方位信息储备)。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: #333333;">++++++++</span><span style="color: red;">本次世界性大瘟疫的纪念性出版物,值得收藏</span><span style="color: #333333;">++++++</span></p><div class="row service-v1 margin-bottom-40" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; margin-bottom: 30px; margin-left: -15px; margin-right: -15px; text-align: start;"><div id="introduce" style="box-sizing: border-box;"><ul style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; list-style-type: none; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-top: 0px; text-indent: 2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box;">书名:古法宣纸线装《瘟疫论》(一函两册)</li><li style="box-sizing: border-box;">作者:(明)吴又可</li><li style="box-sizing: border-box;">出版日期:2020年5月</li><li style="box-sizing: border-box;">国际书号ISBN:978-981-14-5241-3</li><li style="box-sizing: border-box;">标价:188新元</li><li style="box-sizing: border-box;">装订特点:16开本,高档宣纸,一蓝布函套,书面用古朴面料</li></ul></div></div><div id="BookIntro" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; text-align: start;"><h3 style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 1.1em; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 24px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/wenyilun.htm</span></span></h3><div><span style="color: #333333; font-family: Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEg82VxL6XeFi3W4xjxr7JEZjqYAzHUdBSABUDG4zmZtMv9URRKIXl5jI2tkJZhHyn3FFwHN1CM3IMd0atP7LdHAYO1cZw_pGrHXFdo-XCbRD6C32RENRCMP7Rxy7gMh1SP3QNDqHylNg0_yWMrtVyKMBoDc7zIdmMKfRgeLEgdFv4hlI1x9IPA-Bw=s768" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; 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font-family: Open Sans, Arial, sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: 24px;"><br /></span></span></div><h3 style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 24px; line-height: 1.1em; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;"><br /></h3><h3 style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 24px; line-height: 1.1em; margin-bottom: 20px; margin-top: 20px;">简介</h3><p style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 27px; margin: 0px 0px 10px; text-indent: 2em;">公元2019年冬以來的这场大瘟疫,再次证明了中医药文化的伟大价值。南洋出版社负文化传承之责,在此瘟疫蔓延未消之际,推出这本古代伟大的温病学著作,一为纪念这场重大事件及哀悼亡者,二为中医学界及中医爱好者提供参学书籍,希望以此次瘟疫为警醒,唤起对中医智慧的重视。 《瘟疫论》作者吴有性,江苏吴县人,是明末清初传染病学家,是“温疫学派”创始人。电影《大明劫》的主角就是这位传奇人物。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 27px; margin: 0px 0px 10px; text-indent: 2em;">该书出版的价值不仅在于文化传播的价值,其纪念意义更是不可替代。这场瘟疫必将在人类历史上留下浓重一笔,也借机推动中医药的大复兴。因此,制作一个时代的纪念品,该书的线装宣纸影印本无疑是最佳的选择。随着未来中医进入中小学大学,送给晚辈或后人的一份礼品中,2020年大瘟疫期间出版的这本标志性纪念出版物将是稀缺的传世藏品。最多印三百套。 本书以灰度影印,原书中个别文字不可读,用本书文字补配,单页有大面积损伤,则以其它类版书同页补配。 本书将于6月初发货。</p><img alt="" class="img-responsive " src="http://www.nanyang.ws/img/wy1.jpg" style="border: 0px; box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; display: block; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; height: auto; max-width: 100%; vertical-align: middle;" /></div><div style="color: #333333; font-size: 17px;"><br /></div></div>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-30280017873926759262022-01-16T03:59:00.002-08:002022-01-16T03:59:49.854-08:00台湾远东集团被查只是重拳惩治台独金主的开始<p> </p><h1 class="rich_media_title" id="activity-name" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 22px; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 1.4; margin: 0px 0px 14px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">台湾远东集团被查只是重拳惩治台独金主的开始</h1><div class="rich_media_meta_list" id="meta_content" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 0px; hyphens: auto; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px 0px 22px; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 1;"><span class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight rich_media_meta icon_appmsg_tag appmsg_title_tag weui-wa-hotarea" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" id="copyright_logo" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.05); border-radius: 2px; display: inline-block; font-size: 12px; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: 1.67; margin: 0px 8px 10px 0px; max-width: 70%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: normal; overflow: visible; padding: 0px 4px; position: relative; text-overflow: ellipsis; vertical-align: middle; white-space: nowrap; width: auto;" wah-hotarea="click">原创</span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_text" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle;"><span class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight weui-wa-hotarea" datacanreward="0" datarewardsn="" datatimestamp="" id="js_author_name" role="link" style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" wah-hotarea="click">董玉振博士</span></span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_nickname" id="profileBt" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: middle;" wah-hotarea="click"><a class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight weui-wa-hotarea" id="js_name" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #576b95; cursor: pointer; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">南洋智库</a></span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_text" color="rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3)" id="publish_time" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle;">2021-11-22 18:06</span></div><div class="rich_media_content" id="js_content" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; hyphens: auto; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: justify; visibility: visible; z-index: 0;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">国台办祭出“台独顽固分子”惩戒名单,点名制裁三位台湾官员:行政院长苏贞昌、立法院长游锡堃、外交部长吴钊燮。制裁的范围包括家属和支持他们的相关企业。大陆长期的惠台政策不但没有获得应有的民意支持,而且在绿</span><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">营<span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">操纵,蓝营无能的情况下,成了肉包子打狗。而这次的制裁,则是表明大陆在反台独反分裂方面,已经卸下了过去的顾虑,并亮明旗帜。奖惩分明,将是未来大陆处理两岸关系上的着力点。</span></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">自惩罚措施公布后,到底第一刀砍向哪里,关注此事的朋友都在翘首以待,极端台独分子甚至以被制裁为荣,他们可能以为大陆只是在表明一下立场而已。但以当今大陆的行政风格,必然会有强力的措施才能真正起到震慑作用而达到杀鸡儆猴的目标。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;"> 台湾这次自产高端疫苗的鲁莽施打,昭示了民进党的从政风格——金权政治。即企业界的利益绑定,是李登辉金改以来台独力量的一贯政治风格。因此,对付支持绿营的企业,就是在刨绿营的祖坟。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;"> 因此,大陆对付那些在大陆赚钱的绿企,就成了方便、有力的着力点。这不,新华社报道了一个不太令人意外的消息:台湾远东集团被大陆联合执法:</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: black; font-family: "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 0.48rem; line-height: 0.8rem; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0.266667rem 0px; word-break: normal;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">新华社北京11月22日电 近期,上海、江苏、江西、湖北、四川等五省市有关执法部门开展执法检查,发现台湾远东集团在当地投资的化纤纺织、水泥企业在环保、土地利用、员工职业健康、安全生产及消防、税务、产品质量等方面存在一系列违法违规行为,依据国家法律法规对涉事企业采取罚款、追缴税款、限期整改等措施,并收回该企业闲置建设用地。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">远东集团涉事企业承认存在违法违规事实,已缴纳或正按程序缴纳罚款及税款。</span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">查处违法违规问题仍在进行中。</span></strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: black; font-family: "Microsoft YaHei"; font-size: 0.48rem; line-height: 0.8rem; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0.266667rem 0px; word-break: normal;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">远东集团成立于1930年代的上海,当年跟随老蒋带着设备去了台湾,逐渐发展成为多元化财团,业务涵盖众多领域,是台湾五大财团之一。但其集团新一代管理层商业利益至上,完全不顾老一辈来自于大陆的根源,放弃大企业应有基本社会责任和家国情怀,成为绿营主要金主。</span><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">据台湾媒体披露,苏祯昌的任立法会议员的女儿苏巧慧的政治献金,第一大来源就是远东集团、</span><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">第二则是润泰集团。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Noto Sans SC", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #464646; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: 0.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">新华社发布的稿件中最后一句显示,远东集团的案子不会轻易结束,会一直追查下去,不彻底打怕打痛,难以给其他台企真正的警告。只有当企业处于生死存亡关头,他们的股东们才真正搞清楚何为民族大义。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">台湾企业,好自为之吧。大企业只考虑赚钱是行不通的。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">李嘉诚</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">让我对他的观感变差,也是因为他2019年的一个表白:我是一个商人,希望大家不要给我戴上什么帽子,无论高的,还是矮的,我都不想有。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">但当您在北京受到党和国家历届领导人的高规格接待,被请入无数个政府相关的顾问团体并享受殊荣时,您咋就不说自己是个纯粹的商人?纯粹的商人就别去享受国家所给的政治荣誉,就该专门去展销会、土地拍卖会、股票交易所好了。这才是一个纯粹的商人该去的地方,而不是去中南海,参加香港那么多政治组织。商人参合政治,就要有足够的心理准备,要么获得政治好处和商业好处并承担必要的责任,要么死于政治。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">(当然,不能因此否定李嘉诚资助汕头大学等社会贡献)</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">商人搞不对自己的位置,在大明大义面前装糊涂,最后必然会被碰的头破血流。而远东集团徐旭东为代表的富二代传承人更是过分,导致今天这样的败局。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">不见棺材不落泪。大量支持绿营的台企该睁开眼睛看看大势了。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">南洋出版社本年度重大影印本制作——日本内阁文库藏崇祯本《全像金瓶梅》,当代唯一高度尊重原著的制作,为中华文化之重要古籍传承再做贡献:<strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆购藏)</span></strong></span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></strong></span></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjscHCe668cVDkuV791i9CtBP0xqCNsuMn5wCkkBBzLj_C2Mg-9KOgqc8QKtNeUj0IRJTBM0RUIxB2nyYg8gcGGS_vFqizMfACx2LS946rsMEJgNwxGdX2zsCFHB5vqfAv2tvjDr6UuRkw2_5T7-bL9ObhfD-N7Z18rwduyYFBoRfrmnOCxUWGudw=s655" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="655" data-original-width="484" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjscHCe668cVDkuV791i9CtBP0xqCNsuMn5wCkkBBzLj_C2Mg-9KOgqc8QKtNeUj0IRJTBM0RUIxB2nyYg8gcGGS_vFqizMfACx2LS946rsMEJgNwxGdX2zsCFHB5vqfAv2tvjDr6UuRkw2_5T7-bL9ObhfD-N7Z18rwduyYFBoRfrmnOCxUWGudw=s320" width="236" /></a></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">详细介绍,请参考:</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_Neige_hardcover.htm</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">南洋出版社开创性重大制作,为古典文学整理出版探索新方向;“南洋金学大系”再添殿堂级巨制——黄霖教授辑著<strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">《五色彩印汇评全本金瓶梅》在香港和新加坡隆重上市</strong>:(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆购藏)</span></strong></p></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiONizdKZHLk0SGV_F3yQ0imR3xfSXM0kusDnZCFqVOX_bfy7YlJTkjE27JriK0x4aQSdPPH52h80fjl92Eh_4YHasKo6xBALKQyMRqrVvhQ4i6PCLNtRekBQwTCN_WbDShzM1C66x6qtqQ7xj-sGApov3J2BYkLuRnqYPYghKKgrXktNXyVqqmoQ=s775" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="775" data-original-width="440" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiONizdKZHLk0SGV_F3yQ0imR3xfSXM0kusDnZCFqVOX_bfy7YlJTkjE27JriK0x4aQSdPPH52h80fjl92Eh_4YHasKo6xBALKQyMRqrVvhQ4i6PCLNtRekBQwTCN_WbDShzM1C66x6qtqQ7xj-sGApov3J2BYkLuRnqYPYghKKgrXktNXyVqqmoQ=s320" width="182" /></a></div><br /><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: circle; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">近现代出版史上首次五色彩印古典文学排印整理著作;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">近现代出版史上首次将古籍批点以原著位置体现,对未来古籍整理具示范价值;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">金学出版史上首次高度尊重原著文字的制作,为未来古籍整理立下高标准;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">复旦大学文科资深教授(院士待遇)、金学会会长、当代古代文学研究权威黄霖教授历多年遍访世界各金瓶梅藏馆的心血整理,金学出版史上首次汇集所有主要</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">传</span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">本批点,创汇评本新高度;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">黄教授五万言长序更为此书不可替代的财富。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">毋庸置疑的收藏价值,赏心悦目的阅读体验,精选高级材质制作</span></p></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">详细介绍,请参考:</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_huanglin.htm</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">该书的出版,进一步巩固了新加坡南洋出版社在古典文学之金学出版领域的行业和学界地位。也成为新加坡在中文文化产品领域难得一见的国际影响力品牌。对新加坡脆弱的中华文化传承建立信心。</span></p><div><br /></div><div><br /></div><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">金瓶梅词话本古籍传本制作上,自1933年由鲁迅胡适主持的古佚小说刊行会制作的“古佚本”之后最重要的一次版本出版——台北故宫藏《金瓶梅词话》灰度影印本,精装本只剩50套,线装本所剩无几,而且以后不会再版。极为有限的市场存量和不断扩大的收藏市场,其价值必将会不断升高,并最终成为稀有藏书。</strong></span></span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆、加州大学伯克利东亚图书馆购藏)</span></strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">该书介绍请参考:</strong></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></strong></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">线装本:</strong></span></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_Jiexiuxian2.htm</strong></span></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjUzxAK2DsmExS7vG25IgBAIF6J2CH9PijlyXeL_mHKD9XH6oLzv3kMyV6PcNstvnmaxOsSWZuykxndQSGzC1kEUuPbH3QixF2fJ4OvxwAv3Pkpjaki3HyT7v-wfFB-dKxbmFZEJYvWRL2DDBQMcv8Jjjw2vw9k4xl3JMbMPVf1KCqYaEiuAe-NBQ=s1024" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="636" data-original-width="1024" height="199" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjUzxAK2DsmExS7vG25IgBAIF6J2CH9PijlyXeL_mHKD9XH6oLzv3kMyV6PcNstvnmaxOsSWZuykxndQSGzC1kEUuPbH3QixF2fJ4OvxwAv3Pkpjaki3HyT7v-wfFB-dKxbmFZEJYvWRL2DDBQMcv8Jjjw2vw9k4xl3JMbMPVf1KCqYaEiuAe-NBQ=s320" width="320" /></a></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </strong></span></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">精装本:</strong></span></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_JiexiuHC.htm</strong></span></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgq4tB5xnQuxoTNjOcQWtqBxkRnAuGe8HHX8mw5rnDGZBQxHi4PLw3GdB4Q83BjiXsLSQ9Xjv18KWpR0-SnYSmDCVuogWGfrsO67tyM0IxMSwpToM5OUm6AAJTbhhIbHXbw323QgliUaPjWeAU6zgyt5dx6EgY52qbpi1BMerdfam148M4dvUyQHg=s728" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="728" data-original-width="600" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgq4tB5xnQuxoTNjOcQWtqBxkRnAuGe8HHX8mw5rnDGZBQxHi4PLw3GdB4Q83BjiXsLSQ9Xjv18KWpR0-SnYSmDCVuogWGfrsO67tyM0IxMSwpToM5OUm6AAJTbhhIbHXbw323QgliUaPjWeAU6zgyt5dx6EgY52qbpi1BMerdfam148M4dvUyQHg=s320" width="264" /></a></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center; text-indent: 32px;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">百度百科词条:</strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">https://baike.baidu.com/item/%E9%87%91%E7%93%B6%E6%A2%85%E8%AF%8D%E8%AF%9D/50678771</strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p></div>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-79874368634251069812022-01-16T03:54:00.003-08:002022-01-16T03:54:41.957-08:00新加坡《联合早报》人物报道:理工科博士的人文坚持(2017年5月29日)<p style="text-align: center;"> <span style="font-size: large;">理工科博士的人文坚持</span></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></p><p style="clear: both; margin: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px;"><span style="font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">【2017年5月29日新加坡《联合早报》发表了人物报道《理工科博士的人文坚持》,报道了南洋出版社社长兼新加坡国有某顾问公司副总裁的董玉振博士的文化贡献。经本文撰稿人,该报特约记者张金宇女士的“赤道雨之音<span style="background-color: white; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"> </span>”同意,转载入本公众号存档】</span></p><p style="clear: both; margin: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">来自中国山东的董玉振是理工科出身,却对社科、文学等多方面有广泛兴趣,甚至为古老的珠算古籍做注释。</strong><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">他曾为理想耗光积蓄,但在妻子的支持下,一直坚守着对事业与理想的追求。</strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" data-fileid="100001402" data-imgqrcoded="1" data-ratio="1.5408163265306123" data-s="300,640" data-type="jpeg" data-w="490" src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/wiaV8gCgdD6ahsbFia0rp99vibDvokaiaFVG7PQjzp6JaGw3c1laqf77jS5tVeYv9YxVXicNoVJhHc8fkZoYBKkv2ow/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; height: auto !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; vertical-align: bottom; visibility: visible !important; width: 490px !important;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></strong><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #888888; font-size: 14px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </strong></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #888888; font-size: 14px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;" /></strong></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><img class="__bg_gif rich_pages wxw-img" data-fileid="100001401" data-imgqrcoded="1" data-ratio="0.15916955017301038" data-type="gif" data-w="578" src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_gif/wiaV8gCgdD6ahsbFia0rp99vibDvokaiaFVGT0UiassZkY0ANCRrgJHrFZgb0JAAEicCrOQ6q6BmGrmiajSl9wFZdUEqg/640?wx_fmt=gif" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; height: auto !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; vertical-align: bottom; visibility: visible !important; width: 578px !important;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></strong><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0080ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">他,是机械工程师、电子工程师、康复工程学博士、智能材料博士后。</span><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0080ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">他,是城市规划师、战略咨询和产业研究、旅游及物流策划专家。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0080ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">他,专注时政及毛ZD研究,是《金瓶梅》学者、企业管理学者、珠算传承人和出版人。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这个越界跨行的杂家,就是来自中国山东,定居狮城20载的南洋出版社社长,曾任裕廊顾问公司副总裁的董玉振博士。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">董玉振清华大学博士毕业后,于1996年来到新加坡,进入南洋理工大学做博士后研究。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">日前,董玉振以南洋出版社社长的身份接受了笔者的采访,采访的话题主要围绕他的著作及所出版的书展开。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><h3 style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0080ff; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.3em; margin: 0px 0px 1em; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">为出书成立出版社</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0080ff; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.3em; margin: 0px 0px 1em; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></h3><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">虽然是理工科背景,董玉振在社科、文学等方面也有广博学识,常在报刊及网络发表时政文章,他的多篇文字被转载,粉丝众多,“新加坡学者董玉振”这个冠以“新加坡”的名字成了新媒体时代的“网红”。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">时光追溯到1998年,董玉振用一星期时间完成了著名的网络文章《为毛泽东辩护》,其对毛泽东时代经济、社会和基础建设成就的特殊分析方法,后来被学术界和政界人士广泛引用。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">2002年,他将该文扩充成《巨人的背影》一书,并辞去半导体行业工作,成立了南洋出版社出版此书。董玉振因该书而获得毛泽东研究专家的称谓,同时该书引起中共高层关注。</strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">该书出版后,新马两地的媒体对董玉振做了大篇幅报道。该书与董博士的另一研究著作《如何分析直销公司》已被中国国家图书馆收藏!</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0080ff; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">成为金瓶梅研究学者</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0080ff; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">在对毛泽东的研究中,毛泽东对《金瓶梅》的评价“《金瓶梅》是《红楼梦》的祖宗”这句话引起了董玉振对该书的好奇。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">2002年他着手研读《金瓶梅》三大版本,敏锐的学术直觉告诉他,当代学术界具代表性的观点,即“词话本是祖本”的论点可能有问题,崇祯本更可能是依祖本刻印,便尝试寻找“崇祯本”是祖本的证据。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">在资料缺乏的新加坡研究古典文学自然不易,工学博士的研究方法让他独辟蹊径,历时半个月,在崇祯本的评点中找到一明确证据。<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">之后,他主编出版了一套双版本《金瓶梅》,以消除读者的版本困惑,同时这套书也成为了全球唯一的简体完整版、双版本《金瓶梅》!</strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">2016年在暨南大学召开的第12届《金瓶梅》国际学术研讨会上,董玉振发表的关于版本研究的论文,受到与会学者的关注,被编在论文集的第一篇。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><h3 style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0080ff; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.3em; margin: 0px 0px 1em; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">注释珠算古籍</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0080ff; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.3em; margin: 0px 0px 1em; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></h3><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">珠算已被列入联合国人类非物质文化遗产。然而,当代珠算教学广泛采用新式珠算,一些古老的珠算口诀正在被遗忘。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">董玉振1965年生于山东曹县孙老家公社董庄。其家族几百年传承下来一本誊抄了常用珠算口诀和应用算学的书。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">他9岁时曾在父亲指导下用该书习演珠算。由于该书污损严重,书中一些古老打法已少有人懂,只有加注解才能更好地传于后世。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">经过董玉振两年的努力,以高档宣纸印制的珠算及古代算学书籍《曹县董家祖传·经典珠算术集萃》终于在2016年面市。</strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><h3 style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0080ff; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.3em; margin: 0px 0px 1em; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">妻子的理解与支持</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0080ff; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.3em; margin: 0px 0px 1em; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></h3><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">有这样一句行业咒语叫“要破产搞出版”,的确,董玉振辞职办出版社几年后,就几乎耗尽了他的大部分积蓄。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">虽说是一段艰难时光,但董玉振回忆起来却面带笑容,浑身洋溢着幸福。笔者不解地询问原因,他说,是因为她。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这个她名叫周妍,比董玉振小17岁,获得英国威尔士大学的MBA后留在本地工作,后来考取了英国注册会计师。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">董玉振财务上的尴尬、两人年龄上的差距都没有让周妍止步,尽管朋友质疑、亲人反对,但她还是毅然决然选择嫁给了董玉振。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">周妍对董玉振在文化理想上的追求给予了充分理解和支持。在出版《曹县董家祖传·经典珠算术集萃》一书时,董玉振投入了大笔资金,而且市场预期并不乐观,即便如此,周妍也毫无抱怨。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">婚后两人育有一对儿女。长子华仁念小四,在校表现优异,被选拔进入学长团和武术校队。女儿乖巧可爱,刚刚学会走路。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">多年来,董玉振都会在所居住的地方做社区义工,笔者约他访问时,他正忙着为儿子所在的武术校队参加校际比赛当义务摄影师。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">董玉振在坚持学术及文化理想的同时,于2011年加入城市规划与咨询行业,以其跨越多个理工科、社会科学的广博知识,在战略咨询行业如鱼得水,与同事们一道将新加坡成功经验分享给各国客户。</strong></p><p style="clear: both; margin: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px;"><br style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="clear: both; margin: 0px; min-height: 1em; padding: 0px;"><br style="color: #333333; font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;" /></p><p style="text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: large;"><br /></span></p>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-22962566306965116582022-01-16T03:51:00.000-08:002022-01-16T03:51:06.163-08:00苦海无边,回头是岸:新加坡防疫路线检讨及再研判<p> </p><h1 class="rich_media_title" id="activity-name" style="font-size: 22px; font-weight: 400; line-height: 1.4; margin: 0px 0px 14px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px;">苦海无边,回头是岸:新加坡防疫路线检讨及再研判</h1><div class="rich_media_meta_list" id="meta_content" style="font-size: 0px; hyphens: auto; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px 0px 22px; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; z-index: 1;"><span class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight rich_media_meta icon_appmsg_tag appmsg_title_tag weui-wa-hotarea" id="copyright_logo" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); background: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.05); border-radius: 2px; color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3); display: inline-block; font-size: 12px; line-height: 1.67; margin: 0px 8px 10px 0px; max-width: 70%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: normal; overflow: visible; padding: 0px 4px; position: relative; text-overflow: ellipsis; vertical-align: middle; white-space: nowrap; width: auto;" wah-hotarea="click">原创</span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_text" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle;"><span class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight weui-wa-hotarea" datacanreward="0" datarewardsn="" datatimestamp="" id="js_author_name" role="link" style="margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;" wah-hotarea="click">董玉振博士</span></span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_nickname" id="profileBt" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative; vertical-align: middle;" wah-hotarea="click"><a class="wx_tap_link js_wx_tap_highlight weui-wa-hotarea" id="js_name" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: #576b95; cursor: pointer; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; position: relative;">南洋智库</a></span> <span class="rich_media_meta rich_media_meta_text" id="publish_time" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.3); display: inline-block; font-size: 15px; margin: 0px 10px 10px 0px; outline: 0px; padding: 0px; vertical-align: middle;">2021-10-30 12:41</span></div><div class="rich_media_content " id="js_content" style="color: #333333; font-size: 17px; hyphens: auto; margin: 0px; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; overflow: hidden; padding: 0px; position: relative; text-align: justify; visibility: visible; z-index: 0;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">【作者按:本文于9月23日投稿《联合早报》没被采用,这不让我意外,当时新加坡政府已经坚定而明确地走与病毒共存的路线,我这个清零的研判,与政府唱反调,早报作为官方报纸,不刊登这类文章是正常的。当时新加坡确诊病例飙升到每日一千人的形势下,我还是抱着一线希望,能够为决策者提供另一个视角。长期以来,新加坡政府总觉得清零策略对于这个与外界有紧密联系的国家是不可行的。以为共存策略就可以打开大门,重新启动与外国的密切联系,带动旅游业的复兴,在民众健康和吃饭之间寻找平衡。但是,我的判断是:要迎接客人,首先自己家里要打扫干净,因为没有人愿意到一个确诊病例高企的国家去冒险。不出所料,新加坡政府所采取的策略导致今天已经达到每日5000例的惨况,新加坡防疫决策团队所期盼的旅行走廊因为疫情失控而受阻,美国、德国这两个新加坡热情拥抱的国家先后把新加坡列为高风险地区而发出旅游警告。更别说过去第一游客来源地的中国。<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">事实证明,新加坡共存的策略是不够谨慎的。如果按照我的这个思路,新加坡继续清零策略情况下一样可以密切与国际社会的关系</span>。但很遗憾,这只是我的一厢情愿。未来相当长一段时间,新加坡这种放任的策略,都会让很多国家的游客止步。政府最后即牺牲了民众的健康,又没能迎来他们期待的潮涌般游客。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">作为知识分子,笔者看到问题都希望自不量力地献策献计,很显然,这远不如拍马屁唱赞歌受欢迎。过去二十多年来,我经常期望我对中、新官方某些政策和做法的不同看法能最终证明我是错的,但遗憾的是,最终经常证明我的担忧是对的,而令我倍感难受!</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">一些新加坡人可能觉得清零对于新加坡来说力量不够,对于这一点我不同意,新加坡可以充分借助于国际资源,至于给居民普筛需要的医生护士人力,看看新加坡各民众联络所免费给民众接种疫苗的力量,加上各个护理学校学生力量的动员,人力根本不是问题,大不了临时聘请一千名外国护士一周(每人两千新元薪水,也不过是两百万新元的薪水额外开支)。如果类似于武汉普筛那种方法,测试部分如果新加坡本地资源不够,可以空运到海外机构检测。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 新加坡已经每天达到五千新确诊病例,加上轻症可以不上报,确诊轻症在家隔离(全球无双的创意,新加坡部长讲话已经明确立场:每个新加坡人可能都会传染一遍。新加坡防疫事实上已经变成分批逐渐全民感染),新加坡实际感染人数可能是官方公布的数倍,现在普筛可能有点晚了,因为已经不可能建立这么大容量的方舱。<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">当然,政府只要有决心,也许永远不晚!!走走看吧,历史会做出判断。</span>选举制度的优点就在于,如果最终证明政府决策有误,让民众付出这么大的代价,民众的选票会让执政党对自己的过分自信付出代价。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> <span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">新加坡抗疫政策至今没有获得国际社会的任何认可,相反,新加坡以外的机构和媒体已经不少声音否定了新加坡现行抗疫策略。<em style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">苦海无边,回头是岸。</strong></em></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">只要执政党下定决心U转,机会还是有的</span>。就看看部长们的超凡脱俗的大脑是如何判断的了。</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 该文转入本号时的标题做了改变。】</p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="background-color: inherit; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">新加坡防疫路线展望及再研判</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">董玉振</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left;"><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">本地疫情以比政府和专家预期的更快速度传播,多日新增病例破千,向着与病毒共存的目标迈出一大步。政府允许轻症确诊患者无需报备,家中隔离,全国一波大范围传播似乎难以阻挡。随着住院和重症患者增加,医疗资源开始紧张。不断爆出学校幼儿园病例,笔者作为三个小孩子的父亲,对这一趋势和很多本地父母一样深感忧虑。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">过去曾经有专家认为,死亡比例低,轻症占比高,使得新冠肺炎将成为类似于流感一样的地区传染病。国家传染病中心主任梁玉心教授最近强调:目前对冠病<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">19</span>病毒的了解还不够多,不知道它会怎么演变,且过去很多预测都不成立,……现在认定会像流感还为时过早。《纽约时报》中文版<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">6</span>月<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">16</span>日发表《研究显示新冠感染者或面临长期后遗症》,指美国有<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">23%</span>的新冠患者受到后遗症的困扰。这么高比例的后遗症患者,未来将会给患者家庭、国家医疗补贴带来不小的财政负担和精神压力!结合梁教授的观点,是否对政府专家团早期“流感化”的判断带来修正?正是这种流感化的判断,是推动“共存”策略的依据。按照当前这个抗疫思路,大部分国民感染一遍只是个时间问题,想想上面后遗症的比例及梁教授的判断,能让我们安心地去“共存”吗?<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">在新加坡确诊病例持续攀升的状态下,并不能指望多少外国游客到来,西方个人主义文化下人们视死如归地出去消费,在新加坡这样的东方社会是难以复制的。政府期待的经济快速恢复在疫情广泛传播情况下难以实现。疫情前新加坡三大游客来源地中国、印尼、印度,在本地每日确诊病例高企的情况下不可能有太多游客到来,我们期待的服务业恢复暂时还主要指望本地民众的内需消费来驱动。而当前的疫情发展趋势,无法给民众出去消费创造一个安心的环境。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">现在,面对新冠传染病,经验不足并不必被指责。我们更需要集思广益,心平气和地讨论一下未来的出路在哪里。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">当初制定“共存”策略,是希望新加坡能尽快各方面恢复正常,即</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">保健康和保生计之间寻找平衡</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">。作为弹丸小国,与国际市场有非常密切的联系,内循环经济动能不足,以及冠病“流感化”,这是当初制定“共存”策略的出发点。但现在看来,有点太乐观了。当前每天一千新增病例已经让医疗资源吃紧,那政府预测的每天新增三千病例时,医疗体系保证将面临更大挑战,因此,笔者斗胆判断,当前的抗疫策略需要再检讨。我们是否有更有效的,可以不牺牲民众健康的途径?</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">笔者在此</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">尝试重新探讨一下已经被政府否定的“清零”策略的可行性。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">我注意到,当我们否定清零策略时,只是基于概念性逻辑分析,并没有一个较细致的量化分析测算,也许数据中可能隐藏着“健康与生计”并存的机会。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">去年武汉疫情控制住之后,民众心有余悸而对走出屋外顾虑重重。政府启动全市<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">1100</span>万民众的普筛检测,总耗资<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">22</span>亿元人民币(人均<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">200</span>元人民币,合<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">40</span>新元)。检测阳性者隔离,其余民众立即回复正常生活,当时一张民众挤满游泳池的照片对受疫情困扰的国家来说带来不小的震撼。武汉乃至整个中国的服务业尤其是旅游业立即恢复到疫情前状态。<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">新加坡劳动力成本高,测试药剂成本应该和中国差不多,假设新加坡每人检测成本<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">100</span>新元,常驻人口<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">570</span>万人,则新加坡做一次全民检测的总成本为<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">5.7</span>亿新元。<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">一轮检测结束后,检测阳性立即方舱隔离,其余民众继续戴口罩情况下可以放心地外出消费,不太依赖旅游业的服务业部门很快恢复活力。因为新加坡与外界联系紧密,难免会有输入性病例发生,假设经过四个月又迎来一次传播高峰,第二次全民检测再次启动,这样,只要疫情不结束,新加坡每四个月做一次全民检测,每年总检测预算为<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">17.1</span>亿新元。<span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">我没有查到今年政府疫情期间给低收入家庭和小商户的补贴总数据,但我相信,17.1亿新元相对于政府的疫情补贴和确诊住院及重症医疗补贴来说,应该是个小数字。实际上是将当前的抗疫补贴和新冠治疗补贴转化为更节省的检测成本。如果联想到未来后遗症的长期负担,每年17.1亿元的检测成本投入是非常值得的“投资”。新加坡疫情得到很好控制,而不是与病毒共存,才能吸引国际上高净值人士设法来新加坡休假避疫,旅游业才真正看到点希望。当民众恢复正常消费,带来的税收增加就将远超过这个检测成本,淡马锡手中本地企业的股票增值就可以轻而易举地覆盖这笔开支,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">真正实现政府财政、民众健康和就业机会的多赢局面</strong>。相对来说,当前的共存策略经过这段时间的检验初步显示,更可能带来多输的后果,“健康和生计”终将是水中捞月。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">根据以上推算,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14pt; line-height: 28px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">重新检讨当前的“共存”策略,实行清零策略,是走出当前危局的有效途径,也是最省钱、最快捷的途径。对于政府和执政党来说,民众健康放在首位,才是最得民心的选择。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: right;"><span style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #1d2228; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 18.6667px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">作者是本地出版人,战略与产业咨询专家</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">南洋出版社开创性重大制作,为古典文学整理出版探索新方向;“南洋金学大系”再添殿堂级巨制——黄霖教授辑著<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">《五色彩印汇评全本金瓶梅》在香港和新加坡隆重上市</strong>:(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆购藏)</span></strong></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiONizdKZHLk0SGV_F3yQ0imR3xfSXM0kusDnZCFqVOX_bfy7YlJTkjE27JriK0x4aQSdPPH52h80fjl92Eh_4YHasKo6xBALKQyMRqrVvhQ4i6PCLNtRekBQwTCN_WbDShzM1C66x6qtqQ7xj-sGApov3J2BYkLuRnqYPYghKKgrXktNXyVqqmoQ=s775" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="775" data-original-width="440" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiONizdKZHLk0SGV_F3yQ0imR3xfSXM0kusDnZCFqVOX_bfy7YlJTkjE27JriK0x4aQSdPPH52h80fjl92Eh_4YHasKo6xBALKQyMRqrVvhQ4i6PCLNtRekBQwTCN_WbDShzM1C66x6qtqQ7xj-sGApov3J2BYkLuRnqYPYghKKgrXktNXyVqqmoQ=s320" width="182" /></a></div><br /><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: circle; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">近现代出版史上首次五色彩印古典文学排印整理著作;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">近现代出版史上首次将古籍批点以原著位置体现,对未来古籍整理具示范价值;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">金学出版史上首次高度尊重原著文字的制作,为未来古籍整理立下高标准;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">复旦大学文科资深教授(院士待遇)、金学会会长、当代古代文学研究权威黄霖教授历多年遍访世界各金瓶梅藏馆的心血整理,金学出版史上首次汇集所有主要</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">传</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">本批点,创汇评本新高度;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">黄教授五万言长序更为此书不可替代的财富。<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">毋庸置疑的收藏价值,赏心悦目的阅读体验,精选高级材质制作</span></p></li></ul><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">详细介绍,请参考:</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_huanglin.htm</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">该书的出版,进一步巩固了新加坡南洋出版社在古典文学之金学出版领域的行业和学界地位。也成为新加坡在中文文化产品领域难得一见的国际影响力品牌。对新加坡脆弱的中华文化传承建立信心。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">南洋出版社本年度重大影印本制作——日本内阁文库藏崇祯本《全像金瓶梅》,当代唯一高度尊重原著的制作,为中华文化之重要古籍传承再做贡献:<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆购藏)</span></strong></span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><div><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></strong></span></div></li></ul><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjscHCe668cVDkuV791i9CtBP0xqCNsuMn5wCkkBBzLj_C2Mg-9KOgqc8QKtNeUj0IRJTBM0RUIxB2nyYg8gcGGS_vFqizMfACx2LS946rsMEJgNwxGdX2zsCFHB5vqfAv2tvjDr6UuRkw2_5T7-bL9ObhfD-N7Z18rwduyYFBoRfrmnOCxUWGudw=s655" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="655" data-original-width="484" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjscHCe668cVDkuV791i9CtBP0xqCNsuMn5wCkkBBzLj_C2Mg-9KOgqc8QKtNeUj0IRJTBM0RUIxB2nyYg8gcGGS_vFqizMfACx2LS946rsMEJgNwxGdX2zsCFHB5vqfAv2tvjDr6UuRkw2_5T7-bL9ObhfD-N7Z18rwduyYFBoRfrmnOCxUWGudw=s320" width="236" /></a></div><br /><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #656565; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">详细介绍,请参考:</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_Neige_hardcover.htm</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">金瓶梅词话本古籍传本制作上,自1933年由鲁迅胡适主持的古佚小说刊行会制作的“古佚本”之后最重要的一次版本出版——台北故宫藏《金瓶梅词话》灰度影印本,精装本只剩50套,线装本所剩无几,而且以后不会再版。极为有限的市场存量和不断扩大的收藏市场,其价值必将会不断升高,并最终成为稀有藏书。</strong></span></span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆、加州大学伯克利东亚图书馆购藏)</span></strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">该书介绍请参考:</strong></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><div><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></strong></div></li></ul><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">线装本:</strong></span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_Jiexiuxian2.htm</strong></span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjUzxAK2DsmExS7vG25IgBAIF6J2CH9PijlyXeL_mHKD9XH6oLzv3kMyV6PcNstvnmaxOsSWZuykxndQSGzC1kEUuPbH3QixF2fJ4OvxwAv3Pkpjaki3HyT7v-wfFB-dKxbmFZEJYvWRL2DDBQMcv8Jjjw2vw9k4xl3JMbMPVf1KCqYaEiuAe-NBQ=s1024" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="636" data-original-width="1024" height="199" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjUzxAK2DsmExS7vG25IgBAIF6J2CH9PijlyXeL_mHKD9XH6oLzv3kMyV6PcNstvnmaxOsSWZuykxndQSGzC1kEUuPbH3QixF2fJ4OvxwAv3Pkpjaki3HyT7v-wfFB-dKxbmFZEJYvWRL2DDBQMcv8Jjjw2vw9k4xl3JMbMPVf1KCqYaEiuAe-NBQ=s320" width="320" /></a></div><br /><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </strong></span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">精装本:</strong></span></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_JiexiuHC.htm</strong></span></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgq4tB5xnQuxoTNjOcQWtqBxkRnAuGe8HHX8mw5rnDGZBQxHi4PLw3GdB4Q83BjiXsLSQ9Xjv18KWpR0-SnYSmDCVuogWGfrsO67tyM0IxMSwpToM5OUm6AAJTbhhIbHXbw323QgliUaPjWeAU6zgyt5dx6EgY52qbpi1BMerdfam148M4dvUyQHg=s728" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="728" data-original-width="600" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgq4tB5xnQuxoTNjOcQWtqBxkRnAuGe8HHX8mw5rnDGZBQxHi4PLw3GdB4Q83BjiXsLSQ9Xjv18KWpR0-SnYSmDCVuogWGfrsO67tyM0IxMSwpToM5OUm6AAJTbhhIbHXbw323QgliUaPjWeAU6zgyt5dx6EgY52qbpi1BMerdfam148M4dvUyQHg=s320" width="264" /></a></div><br /><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center; text-indent: 32px;"><br /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">百度百科词条:</strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">https://baike.baidu.com/item/%E9%87%91%E7%93%B6%E6%A2%85%E8%AF%8D%E8%AF%9D/50678771</strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p></div>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-81503484306015984892022-01-16T03:39:00.011-08:002022-01-16T04:07:33.142-08:00新加坡红灯区管理及性产业漫谈<p style="text-align: justify;"> (该文首先于2021年10月27日发表与南洋智库公众号)</p><p style="text-align: justify;"><br /></p><p style="text-align: justify;"><strong style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 24px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 36px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 新加坡红灯区管理及性产业漫谈</span></strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 36px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></strong></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">南洋出版社社长 战略咨询专家 董玉振博士</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 新加坡这个花园城市的建设成就有目共睹并给世人留下不错的印象,但当不少朋友,尤其是来自于中国内地的朋友得知新加坡有合法的红灯区时,都大感意外。法制昌明的花园城市怎么能藏污纳垢呢?</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 说到新加坡的红灯区合法存在及其管理,不能不了解开国领袖李光耀。对他的从政风格做个最简单的总结,就是彻底的实用主义。在李光耀的政治字典里没有政治正确,只有适用与否。他的一些明确的主张放在任何国家来看都是极右,或政治错误的,比如:面对华人出生率较低的残酷现实,他明确指出:维持新加坡种族比例的稳定至关重要。啥意思?就是华人生育率低,我就通过引进华人来稳定华人占总人口的比例。对于新加坡这个三大种族构成的城邦国家,李明确点名这一点是非常需要勇气的,但李光耀之所以成为伟大的政治家,就在于从来不回避问题,而是毫不含糊地直面问题,并设法解决之(法国总统面对巴黎一半的新生儿是穆斯林,他敢放个屁?)。至于政治正确与否,见鬼去吧,解决不了实际问题,对国家长远发展不利的政治正确有毛用!</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 1959</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">年,李光耀成为殖民地政府的总理。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">1965</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">年他的大马来西亚梦被击得粉碎,新加坡最终被踢出马来亚联邦而独立建国。当时的新加坡失业率严重,城市管理混乱。那时有多处红灯区,最大的两处分别是芽笼和牛车水(唐人街)。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 以老李的强硬手腕,政府下令取缔卖淫并不难,但一些现实的问题必须面对而不能回避:</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">1</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">,要彻底取缔,断无可能。人类历史上最古老的职业,也是最具有生命力的职业就是卖淫业。要彻底取消,谈何容易。与其被迫地下经营,传染疾病,偷税漏税,不如规范引导。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">2</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">,新加坡属于热带国家,女性普遍衣服单薄,保留一定的性服务业,可以有效降低强奸案发案率,对保护女性有实际意义。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">3</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">,这些老式妓院的老鸨和妓女无一技之长,尤其这些老鸨都有些道上的背景,他们能从事什么?适当保留一些妓院,可以让这些人有事做,有饭吃,在政府严格监管下规规矩矩,而不至于危害社会。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 基于这些现实的考虑,新加坡的性产业得以保留下来,并集中片区管理,现在牛车水的红灯区早就消失,只集中在离市中心不远的芽笼片区的几条小巷子里。每个妓院的门牌号都有个灯箱。政府定期对妓女进行健康检查。为避免嫖客和妓女之间因为价格起争执,这些政府批准的妓院收费统一为每次四十新元,约合</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">200</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">元人民币(也可能是行业协会统一的价格)。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="font-size: 12px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="text-align: justify;"></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><p></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 因为芽笼是著名的红灯区,所以,一些外国短期来新加坡旅游的流莺也在这里晃荡找生意,当然是政府打击的对象。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 借助于新加坡红灯区管理,笔者谈一下现代国家性产业的敏感话题。这类话题不可能因为刻意回避就自动解决或消失。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 国家治理,一是以道德理念治理,即以德治天下。这种治理天下的模式,很少能够持久,因为德的标准定得太高,超越多数人的修养层次,一样难以达到好的治理效果。就中国来说,毛泽东时代争做社会主义新人,提倡大公无私,克己奉公,曾经取得过不错的治理成效,但可持续性受到局限。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 世界上不少资本主义国家,性产业也没有合法化,但在这些国家里也没有真正销声匿迹过,甚至不少半明半暗的卖淫女游荡在大街小巷。笔者去美国硅谷出差回程时在旧金山过了一晚,加州卖淫非法,但从旅馆出来的大街上走几步就碰到白女用广东话</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">+</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">英文向我招揽生意(估计是香港来的有钱人给卖淫女一个印象,会广东话更容易赚钱)。旧金山红灯区穿着半透明露三点衣服的脱衣舞厅女掌柜大街旁招揽顾客,据去过几次美国的脱衣舞厅的朋友说,美国的脱衣舞厅制度上不允许卖淫,但带出去交易则不受管制。美国加州卖淫非法的制度,完全形同虚设。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 世界上不少卖淫非法的国家,实际上是基于宗教、道德和政治的考虑,而并不是真正要解决社会的现实问题。政治人物都不愿意去碰触这个敏感的问题,因为对自己的职业生涯没有半点好处,但很容易得罪宗教界人士,睁只眼闭只眼,似乎成了政客们的利益算计必然。旧金山卡斯楚街上的同性恋聚集区、商店里赤裸的图片,一点也看不出这个卖淫非法的州到底道德高在何处。但艾滋病泛滥的直接恶果则祸害很多无辜的人们。同样在加州,对人们伤害更大的大麻合法化却得以实现,因为这只关乎健康,不关乎信仰,政治风险要小的多。吸大麻上瘾不会影响选票,推动卖淫合法不会得到多数人的欢迎。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 中国目前各方面都在进行着国家发展战略的探索,一个飞速发展的国家也必然不断出现新课题,新挑战。以什么样的心态和思路去面对新课题,可能带来不同的后果。长</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">期计划生育导致男性比女性多出四千万</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">,加上城市化、生活压力、女性找对象的标准提高,导致单身大龄男士人数持续增加,</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">这数千万单身男士的心理和生理健康</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">,是否可以通过打坐念经,修身养性来完善,本人无法判断。俗世的人,难以摆脱俗人的需要。作为社会管理者,可以假装这种需要不存在。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">公序良俗</strong></span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">,这是任何时代社会治理的目标。新加坡红灯区的设立,对新加坡社会公序良俗的不良影响可以忽略不计。芽笼不仅是妓院的集中地,也是著名的佛堂、教堂、道观、协会组织、宗乡会馆、教育机构、榴莲摊和美食集中地。这里任何一项对新加坡社会的影响,都超过那些妓院对社会的影响。这里有密宗的会所,佛教总会的总部,乩童的小道观,有各门派基督教堂,我来新加坡的最初几年基于对宗教的强烈兴趣经常来这里听经拿资料。这里有很多著名的本地美食,也有各类教育机构和行业组织,离妓院区不远处就是居民楼。英国注册会计师培训学校也在这个区域,为新加坡工商界培养了一大批财会界人才。良家姑娘们从妓院不远处的街道上独行,或拖家带口地穿梭在这些场所,夜里两点还有些大排档热闹非凡。新加坡人对马路对面小胡同里的妓院泰然处之,各过各活,没有人觉得这些小胡同是邪恶的或与自己有什么关系,也没有人因为有这些妓院的存在而感觉新加坡的社会风俗被破坏。新加坡的男人们也无从得知有多少人进去过这些场所(即使有人进去,也没必要去发布全社会知道。<span style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">新加坡大量的外国劳工和派出公干人员想必需要这些场所</span>),几个寂寞的老大叔在旁边开放式咖啡店喝着便宜的黑咖啡以饥渴的眼神挑逗一下路过的流莺,聊解晚年的孤独。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"></span><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 那些对社会最有破坏力的行为随便找几项都远超过那几个小妓院的破坏力,这些最具有破坏力的事件发生在红灯区之外。贪污、特权、幕后交易、洗黑钱、庞氏骗局等,金融中心的光怪陆离和人类社会的自私阴暗面在任何大都会都不鲜见,最邪恶的多数都发生在那些高档写字楼或高级会所里。我来新加坡</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">20</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">多年看到骗走百姓上亿新元的金钱游戏都有多起,骗投资人对赌的期货公司就在新加坡金融区标志性的摩天大楼里交易着,和这些比起来,芽笼那几个泰国妓女的破坏力可以忽略不计。事实上,多数新加坡人也压根就不关心这些妓院的存在。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 早几年我负责一些文旅园区项目时,和一些客户领导也私下探讨过这个问题。城市管理者是否要认真研讨和解决这个问题,见仁见智。也有些来新加坡的官方考察团在我司开会结束后,坐车带他们走马观花地过一趟,咱可不想让公职人员被人误解。只许看(考察)不许干,这是底线。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 性产业的规范化,其实对妓女这个生活在最底层见不得光的弱势群体来说,是真正的保护。</span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">当然,所谓的规范化,是伴随着一系列配套制度的设计实施,不可能简单地任其发展。比如,可否考虑特许大龄单身男士,单身残疾人获得消费权。对性工作者要由妇女组织和政府的律师联合进行调查核准,确保不存在强迫卖淫发生,定期心理辅导。对人数、规模和从业区域做严格限制。媒体不得进行相关报道等。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 新加坡芽笼的妓女多数都是从外国来的,据说主要是来自于泰国,因为这么低廉的服务价格,新加坡本地女子是肯定看不上眼的。倒不是本地女子没有卖淫的,好逸恶劳,贪图高消费的女子哪里都有。但本地这些都是非法的地下工作者,他们游荡在一些高档酒店和会所。也可能没那么直接,他们可能更接近于交际女郎,一样贩卖着自己的青春去获得物质的满足。这种游走在灰色地带的卖淫女哪个社会都有,在中国一样存在。早几年有报道说,一些东欧女孩子到中国来以旅游工作名义出入娱乐场所,兼职赚外快。这是否可能会是个需要引导的方向,也可以纳入评估。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">被封禁的东西,往往一点小事件都会引起社会的关注;没有封禁的,人们反而习以为常,见怪不怪。性产业就属于这方面的典型。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> 面对卖淫这个特殊的职业,因为涉及道德、宗教、意识形态和文化习俗等因素,各国政府谨慎对待是可以理解的。当有钱人养几个情人而见怪不怪时,或换女朋友像换衣服一样频繁的富家子只是被当作网络轶闻,却对单身男人的嫖娼行为狠下杀手,给予名誉和事业上的毁灭性打击,对一个人道德和社会行为的评判标准到底是什么?是否你自以为高举道义大旗时却有选择性?有钱人出入有舞女和客房的高档会所,或包明星,养情人,社会何曾对这些人往死里整?但又为何对嫖娼的人却置之死地而万人称快?毁灭一个人是容易的,关键是,社会是否因毁灭那个嫖娼者而有所收获</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">?</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">谨以此文,抛砖引玉。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="color: #800180;"><b>新加坡南洋出版社是南洋高素质出版的金字招牌。出版物虽然不多,但在国际学术界有重大影响。南洋金学大系是其中代表性的出版系列。具有极高收藏价值。这里介绍其中部分代表性书籍:</b></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br /></p><div style="color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em; text-align: justify;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">金瓶梅词话本古籍传本制作上,自1933年由鲁迅胡适主持的古佚小说刊行会制作的“古佚本”之后最重要的一次版本出版——台北故宫藏《金瓶梅词话》灰度影印本,精装本只剩50套,线装本所剩无几,而且以后不会再版。极为有限的市场存量和不断扩大的收藏市场,其价值必将会不断升高,并最终成为稀有藏书。</strong></span></span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆、加州大学伯克利东亚图书馆购藏)</span></strong></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">该书介绍请参考:</strong></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></strong></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">线装本:</strong></span></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_Jiexiuxian2.htm</strong></span></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjUzxAK2DsmExS7vG25IgBAIF6J2CH9PijlyXeL_mHKD9XH6oLzv3kMyV6PcNstvnmaxOsSWZuykxndQSGzC1kEUuPbH3QixF2fJ4OvxwAv3Pkpjaki3HyT7v-wfFB-dKxbmFZEJYvWRL2DDBQMcv8Jjjw2vw9k4xl3JMbMPVf1KCqYaEiuAe-NBQ=s1024" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="636" data-original-width="1024" height="199" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjUzxAK2DsmExS7vG25IgBAIF6J2CH9PijlyXeL_mHKD9XH6oLzv3kMyV6PcNstvnmaxOsSWZuykxndQSGzC1kEUuPbH3QixF2fJ4OvxwAv3Pkpjaki3HyT7v-wfFB-dKxbmFZEJYvWRL2DDBQMcv8Jjjw2vw9k4xl3JMbMPVf1KCqYaEiuAe-NBQ=s320" width="320" /></a></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"> </strong></span></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">精装本:</strong></span></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_JiexiuHC.htm</strong></span></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgq4tB5xnQuxoTNjOcQWtqBxkRnAuGe8HHX8mw5rnDGZBQxHi4PLw3GdB4Q83BjiXsLSQ9Xjv18KWpR0-SnYSmDCVuogWGfrsO67tyM0IxMSwpToM5OUm6AAJTbhhIbHXbw323QgliUaPjWeAU6zgyt5dx6EgY52qbpi1BMerdfam148M4dvUyQHg=s728" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="728" data-original-width="600" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEgq4tB5xnQuxoTNjOcQWtqBxkRnAuGe8HHX8mw5rnDGZBQxHi4PLw3GdB4Q83BjiXsLSQ9Xjv18KWpR0-SnYSmDCVuogWGfrsO67tyM0IxMSwpToM5OUm6AAJTbhhIbHXbw323QgliUaPjWeAU6zgyt5dx6EgY52qbpi1BMerdfam148M4dvUyQHg=s320" width="264" /></a></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center; text-indent: 32px;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">百度百科词条:</strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: black; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">https://baike.baidu.com/item/%E9%87%91%E7%93%B6%E6%A2%85%E8%AF%8D%E8%AF%9D/50678771</strong></p><div><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; font-family: "Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></strong></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em; text-align: justify;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">南洋出版社本年度重大影印本制作——日本内阁文库藏崇祯本《全像金瓶梅》,当代唯一高度尊重原著的制作,为中华文化之重要古籍传承再做贡献:<strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆购藏)</span></strong></span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></strong></span></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjscHCe668cVDkuV791i9CtBP0xqCNsuMn5wCkkBBzLj_C2Mg-9KOgqc8QKtNeUj0IRJTBM0RUIxB2nyYg8gcGGS_vFqizMfACx2LS946rsMEJgNwxGdX2zsCFHB5vqfAv2tvjDr6UuRkw2_5T7-bL9ObhfD-N7Z18rwduyYFBoRfrmnOCxUWGudw=s655" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="655" data-original-width="484" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEjscHCe668cVDkuV791i9CtBP0xqCNsuMn5wCkkBBzLj_C2Mg-9KOgqc8QKtNeUj0IRJTBM0RUIxB2nyYg8gcGGS_vFqizMfACx2LS946rsMEJgNwxGdX2zsCFHB5vqfAv2tvjDr6UuRkw2_5T7-bL9ObhfD-N7Z18rwduyYFBoRfrmnOCxUWGudw=s320" width="236" /></a></div><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"></span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">详细介绍,请参考:</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_Neige_hardcover.htm</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br /></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em; text-align: justify;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">南洋出版社开创性重大制作,为古典文学整理出版探索新方向;“南洋金学大系”再添殿堂级巨制——黄霖教授辑著<strong style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;">《五色彩印汇评全本金瓶梅》在香港和新加坡隆重上市</strong>:(该书已经被中国国家图书馆、国内一流大学图书馆及哈佛大学燕京图书馆购藏)</span></strong></p></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: square; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em; text-align: justify;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiONizdKZHLk0SGV_F3yQ0imR3xfSXM0kusDnZCFqVOX_bfy7YlJTkjE27JriK0x4aQSdPPH52h80fjl92Eh_4YHasKo6xBALKQyMRqrVvhQ4i6PCLNtRekBQwTCN_WbDShzM1C66x6qtqQ7xj-sGApov3J2BYkLuRnqYPYghKKgrXktNXyVqqmoQ=s775" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="775" data-original-width="440" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/a/AVvXsEiONizdKZHLk0SGV_F3yQ0imR3xfSXM0kusDnZCFqVOX_bfy7YlJTkjE27JriK0x4aQSdPPH52h80fjl92Eh_4YHasKo6xBALKQyMRqrVvhQ4i6PCLNtRekBQwTCN_WbDShzM1C66x6qtqQ7xj-sGApov3J2BYkLuRnqYPYghKKgrXktNXyVqqmoQ=s320" width="182" /></a></div><br /><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br /></p></li></ul><ul class="list-paddingleft-2" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; list-style-type: circle; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px 0px 0px 2.2em; text-align: justify;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">近现代出版史上首次五色彩印古典文学排印整理著作;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">近现代出版史上首次将古籍批点以原著位置体现,对未来古籍整理具示范价值;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">金学出版史上首次高度尊重原著文字的制作,为未来古籍整理立下高标准;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">复旦大学文科资深教授(院士待遇)、金学会会长、当代古代文学研究权威黄霖教授历多年遍访世界各金瓶梅藏馆的心血整理,金学出版史上首次汇集所有主要</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">传</span><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">本批点,创汇评本新高度;</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">黄教授五万言长序更为此书不可替代的财富。<br style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;" /></span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">毋庸置疑的收藏价值,赏心悦目的阅读体验,精选高级材质制作</span></p></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #656565; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">详细介绍,请参考:</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">http://www.nanyang.ws/books_details/JPM_huanglin.htm</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face=""Open Sans", Arial, sans-serif" style="box-sizing: border-box; color: #0052ff; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 700; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">该书的出版,进一步巩固了新加坡南洋出版社在古典文学之金学出版领域的行业和学界地位。也成为新加坡在中文文化产品领域难得一见的国际影响力品牌。对新加坡脆弱的中华文化传承建立信心。</span></p><div style="color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify;"><br /></div><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span face="楷体" style="box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></p>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-47813749629387709522022-01-16T03:32:00.000-08:002022-01-16T03:32:06.373-08:00吉利购沃尔沃:从11年前《联合早报》旧作再论中国市场优势的运用<p> </p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">吉利购沃尔沃:从11年前《联合早报》旧作再论中国市场优势的运用</strong></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;">南洋出版社社长 战略与产业咨询专家 董玉振 工学博士</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">2021年10月底,沃尔沃汽车在瑞典上市,拟筹集<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;">约合26.7亿美元的资金,获得投资界热烈回响,上市首日就比IPO价上涨<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">22.35%</span>,沃尔沃汽车的市值也达200亿美元。</span><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;">毫无疑问,吉利十年前对沃尔沃的收购,以此为结果,无论是吉利自身技术提升,还是投资收益来看,都大获全胜。当时吉利汽车总共拿出27亿美元获得沃尔沃百分之百的股权。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;">然而,当时吉利收购沃尔沃的蛇吞象,在国内反而被很多人怀疑,直接导致吉利当时为筹集这笔资金的国内融资并不顺利。中国大陆以外的财经界更是不看好,大型媒体的财经版出现不少质疑的声音,毕竟,沃尔沃在福特手里都搞不好,何况一个当时最多只能算三流的中国汽车厂家吉利。<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;">但是笔者得知并购成功后,则弹冠相庆,我当时就忍不住对很多人说:吉利捡了个超级大便宜,这是中国公司对外并购当中少有的经典,从任何方面看都是成功的。为此,我于2010年4月7日在《联合早报》言论版头条发表文章《</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">从吉利收购</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: Calibri; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">看中国市场的神奇魅力</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;">》,高度肯定了这次收购。在该文的最后预测到,李书福可能适当时候让沃尔沃独立上市。这个预测十年后变成了现实。(全文附录在本文后)</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"></span></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUw9_5wJXNt8XV4vDVAc-K4K5v2Ee-abn35zT9E4xwSzASQX9glcZ7fyyiuXlMqmXfR7y862P4g-4t0yjo6kA3EvaGfS79RqkfuZJiI6Avbo2e_uoPgLHTFRLHSFmxlptTHUTPSu1cvA/" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img alt="" data-original-height="745" data-original-width="1080" height="252" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUw9_5wJXNt8XV4vDVAc-K4K5v2Ee-abn35zT9E4xwSzASQX9glcZ7fyyiuXlMqmXfR7y862P4g-4t0yjo6kA3EvaGfS79RqkfuZJiI6Avbo2e_uoPgLHTFRLHSFmxlptTHUTPSu1cvA/w364-h252/image.png" width="364" /></a></div><br /><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /><p></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;">从十一年前的这批文章,到后来关于中美贸易战的策略分析,新疆棉花事件的应对之道,直到最近关于英特尔关于新疆话题的处理方式,十多年来,我的很多分析都建立在一个不变的预设条件基础之上,这个条件就是中国市场在任何对抗和对外投资方面,都是核武器级别的优势条件。中国政府和企业界要始终善用这一优势资源,这是全世界独一无二的资源。但是,我很遗憾的看到,这个资源在中美贸易战等很多时候都没有发挥作用,相反,不少人总过于强调中国相对欧美在技术方面的劣势,而忽略了中国市场对很多企业是决定生死的关键要素。或者说,正因为我们对自身优势的认识不足,导致错失了一些机会,也导致多方面的被动。比如,EUV光刻机限制对华出口,极大地阻碍了中国半导体技术的进步和国际竞争力,用好我们的优势,以中国市场对西方战略性工业的重要性,给对方二选一,未尝不能取得阶段性成功。但这是国家层面的安排,不是企业层面。<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: "Microsoft Yahei", Avenir, "Segoe UI", "Hiragino Sans GB", STHeiti, "Microsoft Sans Serif", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", sans-serif; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">2020年蒋尚义重回中芯国际就职,就有不少媒体认为,蒋尚义的回归与光刻机引进相关,可能蒋利用他的人脉来促成ASML出售EUV光刻机给中芯——这种媒体报道显而易见是意淫。</span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;">回顾十一年前,当时的中国实力远不如现在,面对美国的封锁,我们完全可以自己的优势来换取需要的技术装备。这不是做梦,是国家之间的生死劫。<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;">战略性研究,首先就是明确各自的优劣势,并恰当运筹之。在中国市场的“核武器”面前,对手的手段要原始的多。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"><br /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"><span style="letter-spacing: 0.544px;">+++++++</span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; line-height: 36px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">从吉利收购</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; line-height: 36px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; line-height: 36px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">看中国市场的神奇魅力</span></span></strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">(该文刊登于</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">2010</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">年</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">4</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">月</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">7</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">日新加坡《联合早报》言论版头条</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">)</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">董玉振</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 中国民营吉利汽车收购世界著名豪华汽车沃尔沃(</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">)轿车</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">100%</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">股权,是中国企业海外收购最具标志性的一个事件。它与其它欧美日大汽车公司的兼并收购不同的是,收购方不是以技术、管理和资本优势来实现收购,而是典型的蛇吞象,无论是技术实力、品牌价值、管理技能,收购方都不占任何优势;如果说它能给被收购对象绘画一个美丽的未来的话,唯一的优势就是:中国迅速扩充的庞大市场,使得被收购对象的利益相关方对</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">必然能迅速盈利并继续前进,抱有非常乐观的期待。这也是为什么在世界汽车版图上还处于第三梯队的吉利汽车,在资金也谈不上优势的情况下,却能得到中国的信贷支持和瑞典政府的低息信贷担保的原因。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 只要想一下,贷款的总额度</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">27</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">亿美元甚至已经超过吉利汽车的总资产,就能看出其中的奥妙。对于中国政府来说,大量购买美国国债实属无奈投资的情况下,遇到这次收购海外优质汽车资产,政府在外汇上给予信贷支持是没有问题的。而瑞典政府和</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">工会则相信,这次改变主人将能够使得</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">轿车扭转亏损的局面,避免未来更糟糕局面的发生。对于瑞典来说,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">轿车作为这个只有几百万人口国家的一个重要产业,只要能生存下去,避免继续亏损和裁员,就是“政治正确”的。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">必然成功的收购案</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 这次收购案,在中国国内不乏怀疑论者。但有趣的是,海外则少有持怀疑态度者。从吉利董事长李书福先生的“吉利还是吉利,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">还是</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,二者是兄弟关系”的谈话可以看出,李书福在此问题上是相当成熟的。他看到</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">的真正问题不在管理和技术,而在于产量过低,使得技术研发的分摊成本偏高导致亏损。也就是说,只要将销量从</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">2009</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">年的</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">30</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">万辆提到到</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">37</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">万辆,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">轿车就开始盈利,因此,吉利的唯一任务就是设法把这需要增加的</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">7</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">万辆市场空间打开。这次收购就算是大功告成了,在中国市场来实现这</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">7</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">万辆的增加值,是没有任何问题的。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 在收购案正式签约前,吉利就已经为这</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">7</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">万辆做好了规划,即在中国建设生产线。一旦实现国产,可以肯定的是,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">在中国生产的任何系列轿车,都将以最快的速度进入政府采购清单,因为属于外国人的奥迪汽车在中国官方采购中倍受青睐,那么属于中国自己汽车公司的豪华</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">中高档汽车,实在没理由不受到政府的重视;加上中国高收入人群的购买,实现这</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">7</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">万辆的增加值可以说是手到擒来的。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 对于吉利来说,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">只要不继续赔钱,就已经是大赚了。这次收购案,不仅为吉利做了个最有价值的广告,而且</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">的所有技术,吉利汽车都可以无偿使用。因此,吉利汽车将很快成为中国汽车行业中,汽车技术全面达到国际先进水平的汽车品牌,这才是吉利最大的收获。再配合中国的低成本优势,可以想象,这次收购对吉利在中国汽车业的残酷竞争中将迅速获得的主动地位,具有挑战外资品牌轿车的技术实力,并极大地提高吉利的品牌形象。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">借助资本市场实现并购利益的最大化</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">的品牌价值达</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">100</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">亿美元,而</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">自有现金</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">4</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">亿多美元,吉利这次投进去的</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">18</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">亿美元收购资金,账面上来看是相当合算的,如果公司不继续失血的话。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">按照李书福的规划,自</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">2011</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">年开始</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">将实现盈利,如是,笔者估计李书福很可能会在适当的时候让</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">在中国或者香港上市,这样,不仅将</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Volvo</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">的品牌价值和商业价值体现出来,而且将可以通过上市获得大笔现金,在握有控股权的情况下轻松偿还这次收购的部分或全部贷款,还可以为企业的后续发展提供充裕的资金。到时候回头再来看这次的收购案,就不难发现吉利做了一笔多么美妙的买卖。这一切都源于吉利最充分地利用了中国企业的一个巨大优势:世界上最大并将持续快速扩充的市场。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: PingFangSC-Regular, Helvetica, Arial, "Microsoft Yahei", sans-serif; font-size: 18px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: right;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">作者是本地出版人</span></p>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-41958095624116980752021-11-15T03:11:00.001-08:002021-11-15T03:11:19.037-08:00董玉振《联合早报》发文:中美贸易战的前景预判及警惕<p> <span style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify;">【该文在中芯国际被制裁的第二天写出后突然出版社有点紧急事务需要处理就没得空本公众号刊发。前两天有位新加坡的老朋友问我为啥好久没见我的文章见报,随稍作修改压缩先投《联合早报》。首发于2020年10月20日的《联合早报》言论版头条】</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><img _width="677px" alt="图片" class="rich_pages" crossorigin="anonymous" data-fail="0" data-ratio="1.5173025732031944" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7KaPJicImxZkiaRHicPeib281g1gWNV9fEnKt24rHmXncDDhFI9alkIeGeNFR8iaQb7icCcmCMDu5nSormA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1127" src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7KaPJicImxZkiaRHicPeib281g1gWNV9fEnKt24rHmXncDDhFI9alkIeGeNFR8iaQb7icCcmCMDu5nSormA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&tp=webp&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&wx_co=1" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; height: auto !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; visibility: visible !important; width: 677px !important;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">继华为之后,中国最大的半导体企业中芯国际被美国制裁,中美贸易战的本质,不再是追求双边贸易平衡,而是封杀“中国制造2025”,将中国永远钉死在全球产业分工的中低端环节。<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">中国对于第一阶段贸易壁垒式的手法还以牙还牙,以关税对关税,但对于美国封杀中国高科技工业的残酷手段,中国至今按兵不动,任由美国对华为等公司欺凌,值得玩味。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">当然,美国大选期间,中国戒急用忍,可以理解;但无论大选结果如何,对中美贸易关系走向的预判,则是必要的。美国很早就宣布对华为彻底制裁,但中国完全没有任何反制措施;坦率讲,这种绥靖政策,鼓励了美国的主战派。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">中美贸易关系的未来走向,取决于双方对损益的判断和意志力。如果应对不当,脱钩的风险是存在的。作为交战双方,彼此互有优劣势。美国优势显而易见,是全球制造业产业链中高端环节的主要控制者,是美元体系的主导者。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">中国作为上升中的人口大国和制造业大国,是联合国产业分类所有门类中唯一齐全,中下游制造能力最强,供应链配套最完善的国家,制造业产值相当于美日德三国的总和。庞大的制造业和全球最大的中产阶层消费群体,决定了中国不仅是终端产品的巨大市场,也是原材料和中间产品的最大购买方。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">以上优势换个角度看,彼此又成为各自的劣势和对手国家可资利用的弹药。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">首先,美国高科技工业是靠全球市场来维持其继续发展的动力,因为原创高科技基础研究到产品开发所需的庞大资金,必须靠市场来支撑;然市场的最大份额却在中国,无论是飞机、软件、芯片及高端电子元器件,中国都是最大市场。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">因此,对美国来说,封杀中国高科技公司,将面临一个自相矛盾的结果,就是制约本国高科技企业的市场机会,同时极大刺激中国进口替代,以及同中国市场密切的跨国公司“去美国化”。没有中国市场支撑,美国高科技工业的后续研发资金减少,将从根本上弱化其长远竞争力,这与美国企业的长远利益相悖。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">就拿半导体产业来说,中国集成电路市场占全球的六成,这样的市场规模虽然暴露中国对外供应链的依赖,也同时表明中国具有足以左右很多半导体公司命运的市场手段。美国把中国的需求当攻击的穴位,而对中国来说,这何尝不是对某些美国半导体公司定点清除的死穴!美国主战派似乎只看到前者。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">就拿数百亿美元规模的存储芯片来说,如果中国严禁美光芯片进口,韩国和台湾公司将渔翁得利,美光的未来会非常暗淡;如果中国限制高通,七成市场在中国的高通将会休克。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">对于美国以外的半导体公司如台积电、三星来说,中国的庞大市场和华为这样的大客户是诱人的。可以预见,两家公司构建没有美国技术的生产线将是必然选择,一旦这样的生产线在高阶制程方面取得成功,对美国半导体设备和原料企业来说,将是悲剧的开始。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">任由美国封杀华为等,中国不进行报复,则是符合美国的期望。中国至今没有行动,很多人认为中国缺乏强有力的手段来反击美国的封杀。这种思维有点冒险,因为这会鼓励美国进一步行动并逼迫中国出手。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">在全球化的商业时代,技术和市场是人类工业文明不断进步的两条腿。有技术没市场,则高科技所需要的巨大投资难以收回;有市场没技术,消费者难以获得技术所带来的便利。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">就技术和市场二者的重要性来说,如果一个国家具有较强的研发能力,则有足够大的市场将必然推动技术的进步。这也是为什么全球市值最大的互联网公司,被美中两国所垄断,而日欧韩台则难有建树的原因。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">从另一个角度看,当中国认清美国的意图,看着自己的高科技企业被整死,是否同时允许做美国产品的庞大市场,允许美国公司在中国继续卖汽水、汉堡包、咖啡、汽车、飞机、美国品牌服装鞋帽、化妆品,继续让美国大学、会计师事务所在中国开展业务?美国如何保证中国不会关闭四千多家星巴克,不会限制美国咨询公司业务?如果出现了这样脱钩的景象,美国跨国公司的前景在哪里?华尔街金融市场失去这些跨国公司所带来的股息期望,将会如何?</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">当特朗普政府摆出不惧和中国脱钩的姿态,正是“能见百步之外而不能自见其睫”,只看到美中贸易的逆差和中国对美高科技的依赖,却忽略中国人不喝星巴克咖啡,不驾通用汽车,不用美光芯片,不搭乘波音飞机,丝毫不影响生活质量,但那些将退休金压在金融市场的美国民众,如何保障未来的财务需求?这种政治人物的理想化思维如果不能被警醒,而肆无忌惮地走下去,中美走向脱钩将是可能的。张伯伦式的错误不应该重演。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">韩国被日本禁运三种半导体工业原料时,韩国公司开始测试中国的原料,这是值得美国留意的信号。中国不是前苏联,在半导体装备和材料领域不仅没有缺位,而是全面布局,在台积电、中芯国际、海力士的半导体车间里,已出现越来越多中国制造的设备和原料,美国的制裁吹响中国本土相关产业的进军号。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">日本至今并没有从对韩国的制裁中获得任何好处,却激发韩国进口替代的产业投资;美国制裁会让中国相关企业面临短期的困难,但更大趋势是在几年后,逼出一个全产业链的竞争对手,美国相应领域企业的未来命运,就只有自求多福了。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box; clear: both; font-family: 微软雅黑, "lucinda grande", "trebuchet ms", verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 19.2px; letter-spacing: 0.384px; margin: 0px 0.2em 1.2em 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">(作者是出版人、战略与产业咨询专家)</p>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-21132696335404968082021-11-15T03:09:00.003-08:002021-11-15T03:09:49.612-08:00《联合早报》刊发董玉振文章:中国制裁美国官员:实效及期望<p> 【该文2021年1月23日刊发于新加坡《联合早报》言论版头条】 </p><p><strong style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 24px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; line-height: 36px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></strong></p><p><strong style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 24px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; line-height: 36px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 中国制裁美国官员:实效及期望</span></strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">董玉振</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 在美国上一届政府结束任期后的第一天,中国政府即公布了制裁美国上届</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">28</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">名政府官员的决定,其中包括前国务卿蓬佩奥——这是中国制裁美国官员的最高级别。</span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 这次颁布的制裁决定,与去年因涉及香港问题而制裁美国官员时有所不同的是,这次明确了制裁的实施范围:</span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这些人及其家属被禁止入境中国内地和香港、澳门,他们及其关联企业、机构也已被限制与中国打交道、做生意。</span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.1px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">中国去年因涉港问题而制裁美国官员的决定,被很多西方媒体认为是一种形式和姿态,实际效果不大。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">也报道了相关美国官员对被中国制裁的“不屑一顾”。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">但这次被制裁的范围已经明确划出,可能相关美国官员未必还能如此潇洒。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 美国政商界高层有个著名</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">“旋转门”</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,即退休高官离开公务员队伍后,转入到私人企业界,他们因过去的从政背景和人脉而具有约见当政官员以为工商界游说的便利条件,而美国政府高官中也不乏来自于企业界的高管。政府高官和企业高管之间的这一“旋转门”特色,李光耀就曾警惕并明确反对,将此作为新加坡高级公务员高薪酬体制的反面参照。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 可以说,美国这一制度性的便利或既得利益集团刻意保留的制度“漏洞”,为很多高级公务员提供了离开政坛后谋求私利的便利条件,也为有关企业获取特殊利益创造了一个高效的渠道。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 而中国政府这次制裁美国官员的范围中,恰恰就包括堵死这些被制裁官员未来进入工商界以谋取利益的“旋转门”入口。可以说,这要比美国制裁香港官员不能使用大型银行户头涉及到更大的私人利益。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 今日中美两国不论有多大的矛盾和冲突,但短期内不会改变的事实是:全球最大的两个市场,各领域联系的密切程度也是世界之最,无论是贸易涉及到的工商业领域,还是文化学术交流涉及到的大学等文化教育机构,要找一个与中国没有任何来往的美国大型机构几无可能。而这些大型机构因可提供丰厚的收入甚至股权奖励,而成为退休官员的“旋转门”黄金入口。很显然,在今日的美国,没有哪个机构愿意冒和中国交往受阻的风险来聘请这28位前高官,毕竟,他们虽然是有政府公关能力的候选人,但并不是太稀缺的人力资源,更非不可或缺。美国四年一次的换届,为大型机构储备了一大批这类没有年龄限制的特殊“人才”,其中包括甚至可坐满几巴士的前国务卿、前部长、前国家安全顾问,和一长队的前总统和前副总统。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 38px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这次制裁范围扩大到这28位前官员的家属,是一个引人注目的特点。如果这个家属的范围包括成年的子女,那这个打击力度就未免有点太大了,甚至有点赶尽杀绝的意味。涉及到自己亲人的事业发展机会,这些前官员们想继续潇洒地“不屑一顾”,可能有点太理想化了。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 38px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">简单地说,如果家人是在与中国有贸易往来的公司工作,那现在只有离职。如果是某个美国咨询或会计公司要继续中国业务,那这些人的子女就无法聘用,如果美国大学继续招中国留学生,那这28人的家属就无法在这些学校工作……,关键是,中国是否真的会认真去调查这些前官员的家属就业背景了。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 38px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这次中国对离任高官的撕破脸皮制裁,是中美关系四年风雨飘摇的结果,希望这次制裁是个阶段性、标志性句号。纵观过去四年中美关系的发展,似乎有一个明确的迹象,就是中国对美国各类制裁的反制措施,有样学样,甚至有“青出于蓝而胜于蓝”的看头。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 38px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">希望新一届美国政府能够反思川普政府的对华政策,制裁大棒当慎用。正如李显龙总理所说:没有多少国家希望加入把中国排除在外的联盟。已经道明:国际社会需要的是合作,制裁只会带来反制裁。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 38px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify; text-indent: 38px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 16px; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">作者是本地出版人,战略与产业咨询专家</span></p>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-42254313891850579392021-11-15T03:07:00.002-08:002021-11-15T03:07:20.136-08:00新加坡《联合早报》:从养猪到挖煤看华为的企业精神<p> <span style="background-color: white; color: #0052ff; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify;">【自2018年始,筆者写过多篇与华为有关的文章,这些文章主要在本公众号刊出。2020年华为被美国全面封杀后,接受了旅居美国的台湾媒体人史东先生主持的八方论坛的越洋访谈视频谈“论华为面对的问题和展望”(可上油管搜“董玉振”),获得热烈反响。这篇文章是筆者第一次在主流纸媒上刊文谈华为,新加坡《联合早报》2021年3月3日刊发】</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><img _width="677px" alt="图片" class="rich_pages" crossorigin="anonymous" data-fail="0" data-ratio="1.3246013667425969" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7LRJc2RVnyPrxEGbVsariccuLJLu5mhNMibCAYkRqicCVJWbV9dGjiaL5ias2dibvegcgW31K25RIeKTfkA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="878" src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7LRJc2RVnyPrxEGbVsariccuLJLu5mhNMibCAYkRqicCVJWbV9dGjiaL5ias2dibvegcgW31K25RIeKTfkA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&tp=webp&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&wx_co=1" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; height: auto !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; visibility: visible !important; width: 677px !important;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><em style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #3e3e3e; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: right;"></em></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 18pt; line-height: 36px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">从养猪到挖煤看华为的企业精神</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">董玉振</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 这两天,华为养猪的消息引起各类网上聊天群和自媒体的热议。当然,几乎是一面倒的嘲讽,认为华为在美国打压下走投无路开始养猪赚钱了。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">起因是这样的:华为宣布了“智慧养猪解决方案”,在自媒体兴风作浪的时代里,一些写手并不了解这类技术的伟大意义,以及这类技术的难点,而随意撰文嘲讽华为不无正业。但笔者作为跨越多个理工科和人文社科领域的学者,却从中看到华为那令人敬佩的伟大企业精神——以科技造福社会。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 自从</span><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">5G</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">开始全球推广,围绕</span><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">5G</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这一划时代基础设施建设而开展的应用研究也就同步启动,相对于</span><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">5G</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">本身,其应用才是直接面对社会需要,才能真正开发利用</span><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">5G</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">的潜在价值。应用层面的开发因涉及到各类传感器、物联网、各种复杂场景适应性,及其相关的安全可靠性要求,一样有较高的技术要求和开发难度。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 在自动驾驶汽车概念充斥各类媒体的今天,最让笔者感动的,却是华为创办人任正非先生所讲关于农业机械最应该首先应用自动驾驶技术的理念。任先生的理念实际点到了科技造福人类的核心领域——那些最危险和最辛苦的领域应该首先得到科技的青睐和关注,这不仅是一种伟大的企业精神,也体现了企业家的情怀。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">笔者来自中国鲁西南农村,那里是华北平原,农业耕种是最让年轻人排斥的领域,即使机械化非常普及的今天,在小麦收割季节,高温天气,加上尘土飞扬,收割机昼夜不停抢收,驾驶员的辛苦可想而知;秋种时期拖拉机昼夜耕地,驾驶员浑身尘土,体能消耗巨大;南方水稻种植区的农民耕作面对日晒水浸、蚊蝇飞舞的环境,辛苦非常;各类饲养业一样不轻松。农业的现代化,长期以来并没有得到科技界的足够重视,拥有雄厚开发力量的华为的介入,从最辛苦的养猪着手开发相关物联网技术,实现养殖业智能化,无疑是对中国乃至全人类农业和养殖业发展的重大推动,这比特斯拉的自动驾驶、华为</span><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">5G</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">手机对人类的进步有着更直接的意义和迫切的需要。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 前些日子报道华为和中国煤炭大省山西合作开发煤矿开采物联网解决方案,任先生说,要实现矿工打着领带挖煤,这是多么伟大的构想和情怀。中国是煤炭大国,其煤炭产量几乎占全球总产量的一半。而这一成就背后,则是几百万来自于农村底层的煤矿工人在极端恶劣的地下矿井中常年辛苦的劳作,各种矿难导致的伤亡不时发生。把这几百万劳动者从地下矿井的恶劣环境下解放出来,是大德大善之举。华为作为一家民营企业,能脚踏实地,关注民生,看到这些人类生产活动中最迫切的需要,主动以自己的技术积累去带动整个矿业行业的技术革命,其价值和社会贡献已经不再是商业利润和税收可以涵盖,甚至比中国政府的相应科技发展规划做的更细,看得更远。这要比绞尽脑汁提高点手机的卖点,将更深远而广泛地推动社会的进步。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 公司自然追求商业利润,但只有将科技开发与最需要它的人们建立联系,才能体现科研的最大价值和科技企业家精神,毫无疑问,华为走向最危险和最辛苦的生产活动一线去主动解决人类生产活动面对的迫切问题,为企业界竖起了一面旗帜。华为在</span><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">5G</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">基础设施领域已经成为行业领袖,可以预期,在以</span><span lang="EN-US" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">5G</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">为基础的应用开发领域,华为将更广泛地改变人类生活和生产活动的面貌,并进而成为各类物联网应用方面的领袖企业。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 新加坡拥有多所理工科大学和众多的科技公司,以及完善的基础设施,在基于5G的广泛应用领域,新加坡和其它国家处在同一条起跑线上,华为的经验和企业精神对于本地科技界有借鉴价值。<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #1d2228; font-family: "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: right;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">作者是本地出版人,战略与产业咨询专家</span></p><div><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 12pt; line-height: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br /></span></div>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-39080018459164305372021-11-15T03:04:00.006-08:002021-11-15T03:04:54.879-08:00摧毁BCI,抓好新疆棉花话题壮大自控行业协会的契机<p> 【该文2021年3月27日发表于公众号南洋智库。之后youtube频道“八方论坛”进行了越洋访谈】</p><p><br /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">摧毁BCI,抓好新疆棉花话题壮大自控行业协会的契机</span></strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;">南洋出版社社长,战略研究专家 董玉振工学博士<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">位于瑞士的</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">BCI</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">(良好棉花发展协会</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">Better Cotton Initiative</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">)行业组织,是一个非营利性的多利益方共同管理组织,该组织制定可持续发展标准,并对符合标准的棉花农场进行认证。其目的在全球</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">21</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">个国家和地区推广更好的棉花种植标准及行动。当然,发达国家(尤其欧美澳)有不少这样的行业组织,看似非营利性,但其高昂的会员费,使得他们有不错的收益;对行业的巨大影响力,也使得他们有国际商贸中扮演着一个看不见的手的角色。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">而这些炒作新疆棉花话题上,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">BCI</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">则成为美国的打手。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">2020</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">年</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">9</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">月</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">22</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">日,美国国会通过《防止强迫维吾尔劳动法》,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">BCI</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">随后有抵制新疆棉花的倡议。这也暴露了西方所谓的不参与政治的中立行业协会角色,随时可以扮演起政治打手角色。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">BCI</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">中国区分支机构发表了支持新疆棉花的声明,但是《国际金融报》随后沟通中,上海分支机构则明言其声明不代表总部。实际上成为中国分支机构的自言自语,没有国际影响力,也许出于好意,但只是给那些会员机构的生意不受影响暂时抹了层防晒霜而已。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">通过这个事件,其实暴露了中国必须认真对待的一个现实挑战:就是遍布欧美的各类行业组织。</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这类组织不仅吸引很多跨国公司成为其会员,也吸引很多中国大型公司纷纷加入,甚至以加入这些机构作为自己达到一定国际水平的可炫耀资本。去年美国彻底封杀华为时,位于美国西雅图的蓝牙技术联盟就积极跳出来抵制华为,已经是个值得关注的现象。<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">当然,像蓝牙这类技术联盟因为其发起机构均是原创技术公司,所以,在这些国家的事实并不容易被撼动。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">但像BCI这样的技术含量不高的国际组织,中国该动动脑筋了:将中国具有优势产业的国际行业组织的话语权,要逐渐的夺回来!!!</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">好,现在就把棉花的话语权夺回来,因为BCI给中国提供了一个把柄。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">既然BCI这样的组织跟着美国的指挥棒,他事实上已经不再具有独立性和政治中立性,这无关国际贸易规则。所以,中国可以借机制定自己的如下游戏规则:<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">1,中国立即成立功能完全相同的棉花行业组织,比如叫亚洲良好棉花协会ABCI。先在中国境内注册,未来谋求国际认可。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">2,鉴于BCI这次糟糕的表现,中国应利用这个机会对BCI下杀手,一个抢夺棉花话语权,二是为其它行业组织立规矩。具体做法是:</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28.5px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">中国政府明确声明,支持自由贸易,但对于借助于谎言来伤害中国利益的机构,绝对不会宽容。由于BCI肆意干涉中国内政和中国企业的正常经营,从今日算起两周后,任何BCI会员的产品,未来十年内均不得在中国上市。<br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">要在中国经营,BCI会员唯一的选择就是公开声明退出BCI组织。</span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">现在BCI全球有1800名会员,会员费收益维护者组织的运作。一旦大部分大型公司退出,BCI将很快名存实亡。</span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">3,上述新成立的ABCI趁机吸收会员。最先加入的享有会员费优惠。并在和政府沟通方面,给与支持。</span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">4,为扩大ABCI的国际影响力,可以参考亚投行的某些做法。比如,通过理事会改选,来给跨国公司一点甜头,体现其国际化特点,吸引他们加入的积极性。</span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 楷体; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">经过这样一个回合,中国成功获得较大的棉花行业话语权。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">对于其它行业组织,均可参考这个模式,逐渐获得行业话语权,尤其是中国是主要生产国或主要市场的行业,中国有着力点来改变目前欧美控制话语权的局面。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">当然,如果能配合资本运作,这次新疆棉花事件,可以给中国带来几十倍于中国棉花产值的投资收益,这个话题就点到为止吧。</p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;">哈哈,有些话真不能太公开,但也无奈。希望中国政府能尽快留意到这个稍瞬即逝的机会。</p>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-42383459190881207532021-11-15T03:02:00.001-08:002021-11-15T03:02:15.284-08:00从加拿大原住民儿童惨案再看天津教案和义和团<p><span style="color: red;">[该文2021年6月8日发表于微信公众号“南洋智库”. 写此文的背景是加拿大爆出教会上百年持续屠杀土族的劣迹。转入本处时,<span style="background-color: #f6f7f8; font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif;">又爆出法国天主教会70年,性侵33万儿童都丑闻,令人发指。在中国被侵略的情况下,这些白人教士能懂得爱护中国孩童?天津教案,中国必须重新评价。</span>] </span></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify;"><br /></span></p><p><span style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: justify;">6月23日,加拿大原住民组织宣布在萨斯喀彻温省马里瓦尔印第安寄宿学校的旧址新发现751个无名墓。就在上个月,另一所位于不列颠哥伦比亚省的一所原住民寄宿学校旧址发现215具儿童遗骸,其中有的孩子死亡时年龄还不足3岁。上述两所学校都是天主教会主办的。据加拿大“真相与和解委员会”2015年公布的调查报告,从1831年至1996年,加拿大寄宿学校制度迫使15万原住民儿童与父母分离,至少有4100名儿童在寄宿学校被虐致死。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 这些惨死的孩子,都是欧洲白人殖民者强制同化原住民的牺牲品,而教会不过是披着善良、大爱外衣下的豺狼。这符合我一向的判断:基督教从来就不会让欧洲白人中心主义者们变得善良,虽然他们会建造雄伟的教堂,创作优美的圣歌,穿戴整齐的燕尾服和看上去优雅做作的绅士风范。儒家道德中的仁义思想,在欧洲基督教世界里压根就不存在。在华人基督徒中是存在的,但不是来自于《圣经》,虽然他们习惯于归功于《圣经》</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 加拿大这类惨案远不止这两起,也不只是发生在加拿大。白人殖民者所到之处,都不难找到这类悲剧,不论他们转身在教堂祷告的多么虔诚。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">另外一个过去几十年持续上演的新闻,就是教会</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">神父娈童丑闻</strong></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,从欧洲到北美,这类丑闻每隔段时间就会被揭发出一批,受伤害儿童的数量以数千计。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> 笔者由此可以判断</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">:由白人主导的教会,在宗教外衣下所干的肮脏勾当,自古有之,而且不断发生,到处发生。想象一下,一直到1960年代,他们还在如此残忍地种族屠杀,甚至可以推断,在过去信息不畅通,舆论被统治阶级完全把持的年代里,考虑到教会和统治者之间的密切关系,不知有多少人成为这些手捧《圣经》,语言优雅,文质彬彬,道貌岸然的魔鬼教士手下的冤魂。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">再进一步想,清朝末年,鸦片战争战败后,白人侵略者趾高气扬地横行中国大地,开路先锋就是教会。在中国遍地出现欧洲传教士主导的教堂。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">如果你认为这些传教士会比同时期加拿大天主教会的那些畜生们善良,您的逻辑能力算得上奇葩!</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">我常举的一个例子来说明中西文明的差距:</span></strong></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这是一位参加过朝鲜战争的美国黑人老兵的记录,他和自己的黑人连队成为志愿军的俘虏。有次,一个黑人士兵不小心掉入河里,一位瘦小的志愿军战士迅速跳入河中去抢救。岸边的黑人俘虏看到这一幕,各个激动大哭:他们在美国成长的记忆中,从来没有人把一个黑人的命当回事,但中国士兵却去拯救一个黑人俘虏。这个消息后来在美国军人中传开,导致黑人士兵与中国军人作战时战斗力减弱,使得美军不得不取消了专门的黑人连队而改为与白人混编。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">对于中国人来说,这个志愿军士兵可能不识字,但那份善良和仁义精神,是从小生活环境的口耳相传中传承的种族文化基因,并形成和条件反射,但对于欧美白人,这种文化基因压根就不存在。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: underline;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; line-height: 31.2px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">再议历史叙述的疑点,还死难同胞真相:(!!)</span></strong></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">由此联想到,清末</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">天津望海楼教堂事件,和后来的义和团事件</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,那就一点都不令人意外了。反思一下至今海内外华人社会对这两个事件的荒谬看法,悲哀油然而生,尤其是一些中国读书人将“义和团”作为狭隘排外主义的负面代名词时,实在令人无语。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><img _width="432px" alt="图片" class="rich_pages" crossorigin="anonymous" data-fail="0" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.7592592592592593" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7Iw0OWDqia17s6xrYayiaiasO4jubE0Dper2puYXecA38iaxDrKk2dcBbpRicRyRmLMePFGV0WVhQoIEfQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="432" src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7Iw0OWDqia17s6xrYayiaiasO4jubE0Dper2puYXecA38iaxDrKk2dcBbpRicRyRmLMePFGV0WVhQoIEfQ/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&tp=webp&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&wx_co=1" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; height: auto !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; visibility: visible !important; width: 432px !important;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-size: 12px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">天津望海楼教堂里不知有多少中国儿童的冤魂,凶手不仅没有得到族人的追究,反而被描绘成善人好人。这个教堂的地下不知还埋有多少被残杀中国孩子们的遗骸。</span><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">就天津望海楼教堂事件,据百度百科的描述:</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">1870年4、5月间,天津发生多起儿童失踪绑架的事件。6月初,天气炎热,疫病流行,法国天主教仁慈堂收容的中国儿童因发生瘟疫大批死亡。育婴堂中有三、四十名孤儿患病而死,教堂将之葬于河东盐坨之地,每二三人一棺,尸骸暴露,惨不忍睹,引起群众愤恨。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">【笔者按:这么多儿童大量死亡,可瘟疫伤害最大的是中老年人,教堂的神职人员死几个?为什么瘟疫面前如此多儿童死亡?我们这么多年在教科书中所描述的,是否符合历史事实,还是按照白人神职人员编造的谎言来照本宣科?或是中国人压根就想不到这些神职人员会如此邪恶?联想到加拿大天主教会所做的恶,反思这段历史,<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">我更相信这些孩子是被害死的!!!</strong>】</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #d92142; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">当时天津不断发生迷拐儿童事件,1870年6月20日,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">一名被居民扭送官府的匪徒武兰珍口供中又牵连到教民王三及望海楼天主堂。被捕案犯供称系受教堂指使,一时民情激愤,舆论大哗。同时民间开始传言“</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">外国修女以育婴堂为幌子,实则绑架杀死孩童作为药材之用</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">”等荒谬谣言</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">【笔者按:何为荒谬?欧洲食人的历史是悠久的,至今还时不时传出一些欧洲人吃掉自己朋友甚至伴侣的奇闻,野蛮的欧洲人一直到19世纪还有人肉入药的传统。不知有多少人因为那些权贵阶级的医疗配药而被害死,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">请参考本号转载文章:</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: underline;"><a data-itemshowtype="0" data-linktype="2" hasload="1" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247484773&idx=1&sn=cc4be9c7d94381a3ba08ff71df37eeb0&chksm=9739c79ca04e4e8a90b375a5db0fceae008fada35d302e85225d381a30848827d06b869f8846&scene=21#wechat_redirect" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #576b95; cursor: pointer; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" tab="innerlink" target="_blank" wah-hotarea="click"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">人肉入药:欧洲惊悚 “尸疗” 史</strong></a></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">】</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,反洋教情绪高涨,士绅集会,书院停课。第二天清晨,天津知县刘杰带人犯武兰珍去教堂对质,发现该堂并无王三其人,也没有武兰珍所供的席棚栅栏,“遍传堂中之人,该犯并不认识,无从指证”。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">故证明,此为对教堂和仁慈堂的误解误会</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,但此时群众已经无从分辨真假。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">【笔者按:教堂隐藏一个人,何难之有?再说,那个时候的中国官府怕洋人,官府敢到洋人的教堂里肆意搜索吗?敢抓一个洋人严刑逼供吗?天津官府敢冒惹恼洋人的风险而丢乌纱帽吗?别说当时,看看现在还有些国人面对国内黑人时的姿态,就能想象当时面对高高在上的白人又能如何了。当时面对强者时体现的是懦弱,现在则是不知道基于什么莫名变态</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">心理的犯贱。】</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><img _width="677px" alt="图片" class="rich_pages" crossorigin="anonymous" data-fail="0" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.9472222222222222" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7Iw0OWDqia17s6xrYayiaiasO4OianQ8ghWJubSbuiaxicvB886AA3hhBIbE2ekmaUNcyNCzqkibJ40A0qNw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="1080" src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7Iw0OWDqia17s6xrYayiaiasO4OianQ8ghWJubSbuiaxicvB886AA3hhBIbE2ekmaUNcyNCzqkibJ40A0qNw/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&tp=webp&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&wx_co=1" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; height: auto !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; visibility: visible !important; width: 677px !important;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: center;"><img _width="677px" alt="图片" class="rich_pages" crossorigin="anonymous" data-fail="0" data-galleryid="" data-ratio="0.85" data-s="300,640" data-src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7Iw0OWDqia17s6xrYayiaiasO4eGBRD7OIv6zj5VIxTK0vzAn9dCvNkh2tZeGRbrkcNN43b5JW6URFKA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg" data-type="jpeg" data-w="720" src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7Iw0OWDqia17s6xrYayiaiasO4eGBRD7OIv6zj5VIxTK0vzAn9dCvNkh2tZeGRbrkcNN43b5JW6URFKA/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&tp=webp&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&wx_co=1" style="box-sizing: border-box !important; height: auto !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; visibility: visible !important; width: 677px !important;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; line-height: 18.2px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">欧洲食人的历史是“多彩”和悠久的。</span><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">百度百科的这个叙述,实际上和中国历史教材中的叙述是一致的,并已经成为中国正史的片段。(可悲啊!我们以最符合刽子手期望的方式书写中国历史,教育中国民众,那些孩子们的冤魂呢!!!)</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">关于义和团的正史描述是:</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">民众闹事的一个最主要的起因就是洋教堂杀婴的传说。当时社会上有传言,说洋教堂用一个馒头就换一个华人婴儿,后来传出洋教堂附近有很多被遗弃的死婴,而且传在教堂后面有埋葬死婴的坟地。这些传言引起社会对洋教堂的群愤,传言一传十,十传百,于是大家聚集起来围攻教堂,这后来促成了义和团运动的最初起因。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这个历史事件的结果我们今天都知道了,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">因为受西方影响的历史编写,把这个因为洋教堂残杀中国儿童的事件引起的西方教会和中国百姓的暴力冲突,说成是愚昧的民众被仇洋的人蛊惑了,才攻击教会。被攻击的教堂是在中国</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><em style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">做慈善的好人</em></strong></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,</span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><em style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">传教的教士也都是正经的传教士</span></em></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,向不开化的中国人传送耶和华的福音。于是中国群众攻击洋教堂的事件不仅激起了西方各国人民对中国的歧视,也造成了八国联军攻打北京的事件。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"> </span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">鸦片战争把一些中国读书人打成了脑震荡,不自觉地沿着西方的历史和文明叙述来书写中国历史和世界历史,里面有多少是真实的,已经到了必须检讨的时候了。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">那些冤死的孩子们,遭遇了和那些北美土族孩子一样的不幸命运,但他们更不幸的是,这些捧着《圣经》的禽兽们编造的谎言被其同胞信以为真而无人替他们鸣冤。</span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><br style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;" /></span></p><p style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 22.1px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: justify;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">国家提出要建立文化自信。这个大方向无疑是正确的。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">必须要明确,在被美化虚构的西方文明史和宗教史还在中国的教材里,并在中国读书人的脑海里形成根深蒂固的扭曲历史认知,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">中国知识分子在过去百年中已经潜意识里将西方传教士和学者们自然地理解为</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">善良和知识的化身,并影响</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">国人的认知,在这种病态的认识状态下,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">文化的自信就无从谈起。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 19px; line-height: 24.7px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; outline: 0px; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">甚至民国时期的那些文坛巨匠们也没人在他们的著作里对西方的文明进行过强烈的质疑(对中国的愚昧倒是刻画的很彻底)。</span>海外华人在英语主流化及当地土族压力的环境下生存,能够勉强传承中华文化不中断已经很不容易了。建立文化自信的重任,根本上还要仰仗中国政府和知识界的努力。海外华人在海外弘扬中华文化本来就难,面对英语体系下的洗脑环境,要恢复中华文化的有效传承,前途漫漫,任重道远。</span></p>dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-61034234391064186632021-11-08T00:22:00.003-08:002021-11-08T00:23:38.912-08:00抗疫清零,共存,及阴谋论<p> 该文2021年8月13日首先发表于公众号"南洋智库"被删除。此文写作的背景时新加坡开始推行与病毒共存策略。</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p></p><p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; text-align: center;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 18.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">抗疫清零,共存,及阴谋论</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; text-align: center;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">南洋出版社社长</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">战略咨询专家</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">董玉振</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">工学博士</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; text-align: center;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">一、两种策略的争执</span></b><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">随着英国和新加坡在疫情未控之际开放,以流感化对待新冠疫情,与病毒共存,而中国则面对这次的南京漏洞继续采取</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">“</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">动态清零</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">”</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">,引发了</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">“</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">共存</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">”</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">和</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">”</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">清零</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">“</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的网上拉锯战。我必须提醒一些自媒体,</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">对这类问题可以讨论和争执,但不应该为赚流量而上纲上线,人身攻击更不应该。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">在当今疫情控制成本越来越高和看不到尽头的局势下,出现这样的争论是正常的。而中国作为当今唯一</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">“</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">动态清零派</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">”</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">标准严格执行的大国,在外部环境极其糟糕的情况下,实现动态清零,实属难得和不易。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">二、我的意见</span></b><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b><span style="color: red; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">1</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">,病毒变异的方向问题:</span></b><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">由于此事事关十几亿人民的健康未来,我在百忙中抽空也写此文,表达一下自己的看法。供参考。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因为这不是一个纯粹的技术问题,因涉及因素众多而成为社会问题和政治问题。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">首先,新冠肺炎未来的变异趋势是否明确?答案是否定的。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">也就是说,未来可能会向着杀伤力逐渐弱化的方向变异,最终成为流感级别的传染病。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">另一种可能,就是有朝一日冒出一个超级杀伤力的变异,一旦出现这种情况,所有共存派的国家都将付出惨重的代价,死亡人口和医疗压力将大幅度增加。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">关键是:上述第二种情况,无论是海外的英国、新加坡的专家,还是国内专家都不敢,也绝对不可能给出明确否定的回答。即</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">病毒未来向着更强杀伤力变异的可能性是高度存在的。如果这种可能性发生,那么共存派的策略就成了高度冒险的选择。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">这里还有个当今所有的科学家都无法回答的问题:新冠肺炎的后遗症将会是什么?</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">群体免疫,或者共存论,都建立在一个幻想基础之上:新冠肺炎将如同流感一样康复后没有后遗症。目前看来,这可能属于幻想派。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b><span style="color: red; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">2</span></b><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">,中国走动态清零策略的必要性及有利条件</span></b><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">问题是,英国去冒这个险,中国有必要冒这个险吗?</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">英国之所以走共存策略,是因为对病毒围堵失败,已经在国家各个社区大面积传播,即清零已经不可能情况下的无奈选择。新加坡是个小国,</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">90%</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的蔬菜和肉类依靠进口,每天都有印尼、马来西亚、泰国的船只和车辆进出新加坡港口或海关,对于新加坡来说,要完全堵死这个漏洞,有现实的难度,所以,新加坡政府制造舆论让民众在接种疫苗后接受和适应躺平的策略,有其无奈。虽然如此,我对新加坡政府的做法还是有不同看法。新加坡政府并没有回答一个问题:如何保护那些没有接种疫苗的青少年和婴幼儿?</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中国经过一年多艰苦的防堵,在疫情控制上创造了教科书级别的案例。无论是</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">北京新天地,还是广州,政府都断然进行局部严格筛查和防堵。虽然付出巨大的社会成本和财政开支,但这种策略实际上让国家整体受惠。服务业得到很好的恢复,</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">社会恢复正常秩序后一个月创造的税收都远超过区域防堵筛查的成本开支。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">可以说,这种动态清零给国民一个相对踏实的心态去工作和消费,</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">对稳定国家经济发展是一本万利的。这个经济账,西方国家可能看得到,只是做不到而已。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">尤其是新冠肺炎到底会有怎样的后遗症,目前还很难说,</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">因此,在国家条件许可的情况下,动态清零是真正保护民众的健康,而</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">共存论则要冒病毒变异和后遗症的不确定风险,这种风险未来可能会拖垮国家的医疗预算体系。</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><br style="mso-special-character: line-break;" />
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">今天我们面对新冠肺炎这个还不是很摸底的敌人,</span><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中国正确策略就是,也只能是:抗疫未到根本绝望时期,绝不放弃清零策略;疫情没到最后关头,绝不轻言共存。</span></b><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">国家发展经济的目的是什么?增加</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">GDP</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的用途是什么?在此关键时刻,不论多大的开支,财富用于保护人民的健康,就是最值得的投资。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">和英国新加坡比,</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中国还有个全世界独有的优势:中国关紧国门对中国经济的发展影响甚微,中国自身的资源条件、产业配套能力、国内消费能力足以支撑中国在半封闭的状态下维持国家的稳定发展,这是任何其它国家都不具备的条件。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">既然如此,在疫情前景不明朗之时,实在找不到共存的理由。(从我自身利益的角度看,中国游客尽快出来,我的书多少还能销售点,现在我的南洋出版社已经难以靠自己的收益生存,支持中国关紧国门,这不是和自己的钱包过不去嘛?)</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">三,本次疫情有关的阴谋论及警醒</span></b><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">我上次写《</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><a href="https://weibo.cn/sinaurl?u=http%3A%2F%2Fmp.weixin.qq.com%2Fs%3F__biz%3DMzIwNDkzNzExMA%3D%3D%26mid%3D2247484762%26idx%3D1%26sn%3Da54668a5cbd7dec54a50ec23e69bd714%26chksm%3D9739c7a3a04e4eb55ca570a96aa48e0a2e93562ec830125be01654cb84381718667f8400714d%26scene%3D21%23wechat_redirect" target="_blank"><span style="color: #eb7350;">mRNA</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #eb7350; font-family: 宋体; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">疫苗风险的多方信息源及我的主张</span></a></span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">》一文最后提到会写篇阴谋论的文章,但后来一直犹豫不决,拿不准到底会对公众造成什么影响。今天接着这个话题,感觉有必要谈谈阴谋论,以为警醒。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">2018</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年我决定翻译出版被称为西方阴谋论鼻祖的著作《锡安长老会纪要》,之前虽有不少人建议鼓励,我还是犹豫两年多,谈论这类话题不能不有所谨慎。决定出版时,我特意写了个</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">13</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">页的序言,提出出版的动机及读者注意事项。作为一有较强社会负责感的学者和出版人,对待这类话题,一不能简单地否定,二要慎重评估正负社会效益。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">对阴谋论极端排斥的朋友请回避。阴谋论都是没经证实的,一旦被证实,就不再是阴谋了,当然,证实之日,可能已经太晚了。我一向主张:</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">老百姓少谈阴谋论,因为会搞得人心惶惶。政治家要多留意阴谋论,因为防微杜渐,留意任何可能对自己国家带来伤害的蛛丝马迹和阴谋策划,是政治家的基本素质要求</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。指望一个浪漫的诗人或政治意识等于零的工程师相信阴谋论,那就有点天方夜谭了。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">我这里谈阴谋论,与本文主题有些关系,所以,特扯一二。本人声明:本部分阴谋论就是随便扯,无所谓证据和真假。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">最好是假的。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">本次疫情爆发后,在油管上有个多年前上线的</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">“</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">盎格鲁</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">-</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">撒克逊计划</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">”</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的视频引起注意。一个英国人在油管上陈述他多年前在伦敦听一个参加秘密会议的朋友透露:</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">2020</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年中国会感冒!!</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">这可能只是巧合,也不排除是多年来进行的阴险策划。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">在武汉爆发疫情后,日本财务相麻生太郎吐槽某些欧洲国家此前对新冠肺炎疫情反应冷淡,麻生还提到某些国家的代表认为</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">“</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那是黄种人的病,不是我们的病</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">”</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。纽约州长科莫在纽约疫情泛滥时面对美国举国上下的轻视,说漏嘴:以为这个病毒主要传染亚洲人。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">这个病毒的变异打乱了某些阴谋家的策划而惹火烧身。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">但新冠肺炎下,匆忙投入市场的</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">mRNA</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">疫苗则引发了另一波阴谋论的遐想</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">:借助于新冠病毒来逼迫人们匆忙接种这种并没有得到足够长时间安全检验的全新疫苗,目的就是</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">……<o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"> </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">看图:</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p align="center" class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan; text-align: center;"></p><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgeuSSBST_SdwCMQye4-lmgAMwCat-L97f1pzZz_yY_SjGAdBK27JtwgPjUOMFcUQas-T168wuKloKayjWat4lx86JWkkWl2p6rbM4Zlol7FH0oObqfwGFnwHqt3SFU-Onf1scct6F8og/s531/Picture1+-+Copy.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="381" data-original-width="531" height="293" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgeuSSBST_SdwCMQye4-lmgAMwCat-L97f1pzZz_yY_SjGAdBK27JtwgPjUOMFcUQas-T168wuKloKayjWat4lx86JWkkWl2p6rbM4Zlol7FH0oObqfwGFnwHqt3SFU-Onf1scct6F8og/w408-h293/Picture1+-+Copy.jpg" width="408" /></a></div><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"><br /></div></div><br /><p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">这个报纸刊登了比尔</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"> . </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">盖茨</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">2011</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年在一个大型会议上关于环境的讲话,报纸的大标题是《零碳排放解决方案:通过强制接种疫苗来减少人口》</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">比尔</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"> . </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">盖茨的这个讲话可以在油管上搜到。早就公开的消息:比尔</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"> . </span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">盖茨基金会的一个主要</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">“</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">公益</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">"</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">事业就是投资疫苗研发和生产,要发展中国家如非洲人民用得上疫苗。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">这就怪了,疫苗本来是用来保护民众的,那怎么反而减少人口?</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">那只能是:某种疫苗可以加大人类患病的几率,或者降低人口寿命,或者降低人类的生育能力。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">(中国在进口推广任何比尔盖茨基金会持有股份或赞助的疫苗项目时,都要谨慎,因为他都告诉你了,自己不能犯傻。英国有钱人组团去中东接种中国产灭活疫苗,是个值得注意的信号。)</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">当这次疫情爆发后,我就特别留意这个病毒对生育能力的影响。看到一些人发出的信息:新冠病毒对</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">ACE2</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">受体有更多的亲和性。有报道说,生殖系统中这种</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">ACE2</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">较多,亚裔这种受体比白人多。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">mRNA</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">疫苗是截取病毒的一部分,一样会对这种受体有较高亲和性。现在还有个担心就是</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">mRNA</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">这种疫苗是否会影响到人类的基因并传承下去。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">高福院士曾在一个视频中提到:</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">mRNA</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">技术过去是给病人的,这是首次应用于健康人。以及,给健康人应用的疫苗,要确保</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">100%</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的安全性。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">我完全认同高院士的这个理念。庆幸的是,</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中国推广的灭活疫苗技术,目前还没有技术理论上存在风险的相关论述</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。我也在新加坡接种了科兴疫苗。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">关于共济会的一些阴谋论传说,就不啰嗦了。您当胡说,我当参考。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">人口规模</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">+</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">素质,二者缺一都不可能成为这个星球上的一支决定性力量。大英帝国因为其本身人口规模小,决定了其统治力难以持久的宿命。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">黑人能生,靠子宫征服欧洲,但对某些民族,这不是威胁。犹太人聪明,但人口少而分散,只能在某些方面有较大成就。中国庞大的人口规模,优秀的整体民族素质,某些人看的很清楚。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">加上将庞大人口凝聚起来的历史文化纽带和政治力量,阴谋家们很清楚他们有史以来遇到的最难对付的对手是谁。他们当然不甘心让出自己霸占一两百年的历史舞台,那又能如何?硬干不行,那就使阴招呗。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">过去他们(包括某些中国人民的老朋友)曾经假装好人使过阴招,迷糊了某些人三十年,但新一代硬是给破除了。(谢谢老大!再联想一下西方过去几十年媒体、学界鼓噪同性恋合法化,性开放,慢慢找到目的了没?你真以为是为人权考虑吗?国策顾问们如果忽略阴谋论,可能铸成大错。)</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"> <o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">回到那个清零还是共存的话题:</span></b><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中国对疫情的动态清零模式,使得任何阴谋操作在这里变得无可奈何。美国彭博社和</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">BBC</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">均报道:中国这种策略,将使中国走回封闭成为孤岛。哇靠,西方不一直想封锁中国吗?成为孤岛又能如何?</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">除病毒自己的变异,是否背后还有更阴险的人为操作,目前谁也不清楚</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">。疫情一波接着一波没有任何消停迹象情况下,</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">把好国门,做好检测,带好口罩,不论付出多大经济代价,坚定走动态清零的路线,就是当今和未来几年中国唯一正确的选择。只要民众健康得以保护,种族传承不受干扰,基本吃穿用度能够保证,再忙再累也多生几个,管他外部世界风吹浪打,我自岿然不动!</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #0052ff; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">学者可以提出观点讨论,但以不影响这一大政方针的宣传为底线。</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">学术的课题,多数人也不懂,专门负责给世界添乱的一些自媒体,请少扣帽子多喝水。多给别人留点阳光和宽容,也是给社会保留一点温情和轻松。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;"><o:p> </o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">(</span><b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">随议:</span></b><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">最近因为台湾艺人</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: red; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">小</span><span style="color: red; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">S</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">奥运期间称中华台北运动员为</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">”</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">国手</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">“</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">而被大陆一些自媒体讨伐,给喜欢小</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">S</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">的蓝营民众留下极坏的印象,感觉大陆一些极端分子不可理喻,摧毁蓝营群众对大陆印象。难道洪秀柱在台北喊一声</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">“</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">中华民国</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt;">”</span><span lang="ZH-CN" style="color: #333333; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">,大陆网友也去讨伐她搞台独吗?纯粹脑残!!一些自媒体为赚取流量,语不惊人死不休,杜撰不少垃圾文字,吹毛求疵,无限上纲上线,民粹色彩浓厚,撕裂社会,对国家和民族有百害而无一利,但这类文章容易让普通网友激动,往往大受热捧而广为转发。而本公众号不少文章多数可以纳入国家策论,收录文集,但理性分析无法让人心潮澎拜,能转发本号文章者都是比较有智慧和眼界的网友。</span><span style="color: #333333; font-family: "Arial",sans-serif; font-size: 13.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 宋体; mso-font-kerning: 0pt; mso-no-proof: yes;"><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shape
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<b>为什么习近平是改开四十年来被美国和公知攻击最多的领导核心?</b></h2>
<div style="text-align: center;">
董玉振</div>
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经常浏览境外网站,自然会发现,习近平是过去几届领导核心中被攻击最多的领导人,没有之一。尤其是修宪之后,这种攻击尤其凶狠。<br />
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根据毛泽东的斗争哲学,敌人反对的,我们拥护,敌人拥护的,我们反对。我们需要分析一下习近平到底哪些地方招致如此多的批判咒骂。<br />
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我大概梳理一下,习近平上任以来的如下举措,得罪太多人:<br />
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1,终止一胎化。<br />
胡锦涛时期,据说胡本人就主张终止一胎化,但受到很大阻力而没成功。但习近平上台后立即终止了这一祸害民族的措施。<br />
当年一胎化据说得到基辛格的智慧支持。<br />
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西方降低中国人口的阴谋,通过一胎化得以贯彻。一胎化中有遍地的践踏人权的残忍事件,但从来没有招致西方国家对人权问题的抗议。因为一胎化符合西方利益,而与中华民族的利益向左。这是一次愚蠢的民族自残。山东有些县甚至出现百日无孩运动,残杀任何一个即将出生的婴儿(这些县的县委书记不得好死,会遭报应的),但这些惨无人道的事情,西方世界从不过问。<br />
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感谢习近平,他上台后终结了一胎化,将中华民族即将面临的人口危机踩下刹车。<br />
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2,严厉反贪。<br />
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习近平上台以来关押撤职惩罚的巨贪和小贪,从副国级到乡镇,其被惩罚的官员总和超过改开四十年几届领导人反贪的总成绩。这些贪官都是牵一发而动全身,没打到一个贪官就会触犯几百上千人的利益,这些人有些还有权有势。习近平甚至裁断了某些人的白手套,将这些高干几十年的巧取豪夺一下子剥夺收归国有,他们能不恨习近平吗?<br />
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尤其这些贪官的孩子们很多移民海外,这些人闲着没事就到网上骂习近平自然不让人意外。<br />
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3,严格反对新自由主义经济学家将中国国有资产全部私有化的险恶用心,他们几年来已经取得巨大成功。但习近平上台后遏制了这种趋势,但可惜,他的阻力很大,中央高层有一批新自由主义经济学教导出来的徒子徒孙,他们极力推动混合所有制改革,甚至像原属上海市国有资产的巨型企业绿地集团都搞成国有民营,格力电器也搞成董明珠实际控制。优质国有资产一步步被掏空转到私人手里。上个世纪末页由朱镕基启动的国有企业改制,将几十万家国有企业一股脑送给私人,其中包括现在红透半边天的福耀玻璃等一系列优质国有企业。习近平遏制了这个趋势,但可惜没能完全终止。看来在中央高层,习近平的施政阻力是很大的。一些老不死的拼命把习近平的作为描绘为改革停滞,或返回文革。他们所谓深化改革就是把国有资产全部私有化。<br />
混合所有制改革,是继国企改制后,人类历史上最无耻的改革,没有之一。这个改革将国民财富无条件的免费送给私人。在本来高度平等的社会里人为制造一个剥削阶级,人为加大贫富差距,人为创造一个官僚资产阶级。<br />
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4,中国的体量已经大到不可能完全韬光养晦下去,和各国的贸易数据在那里无法造假。习近平上台后迅雷不及掩耳地完成南海造岛(胡锦涛时期启动),启动一带一路战略构想,创立亚投行,这些几乎都是让美国人来不及反应就铺开,美国人恨,日本人烦。<br />
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5,台独势力在台湾渐成气候,似乎台独就差一步,但习近平表现出来的强硬姿态和对军队的牢固控制,让蔡英文们不能不有所忌惮。绿营1450网军自然恨死习近平。而修宪延续任期似乎把解决台湾问题有可能在任内完成的预言,更是一个无形的压力。<br />
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6,修宪是令很多理想主义者或追求法制化建设的学者比较不喜欢的。为此,我曾写过一篇文章专门谈论此事(请在本博客找)。中国的现实下,如此艰难的反贪,除了有红二代基础背景的习近平,胡春华这些人有能力在北京这样权力关系纵横交错的圈子里进行如此大刀阔斧的反贪吗?<br />
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我相信历史会做出评判,习近平是毛泽东教育出来的最后一代人,这代人经历过上山下乡,对中国国情有清楚了解,对全民均富有追求的情怀。对廉政建设有过切身的实践。他对中华民族的贡献,会的得到历史的认可的。<br />
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<br />dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-73417289773257935952020-04-09T19:35:00.003-07:002020-04-09T19:35:54.522-07:00关于《方方日记》海外版,我不得不说的话<br />
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自从武汉爆发新冠肺炎疫情,我和所有的人们一样,对初期当局处理的不当及武汉红会的乱来而愤怒,看到一些人辗转多家医院无病床而不得不在家等死的信息,非常难过,人非草木,大丈夫岂能无情!我再次呼吁当局,在武汉疫情暂缓之际,对初期应对中的一些失职行为进行彻查,尤其是中国疫情反馈系统开通的情况下,居然湖北胆敢不上报,已经不是一般的违纪行为。固然,<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">疫情爆发初期的医疗资源不足导致一些人的惨死,在意大利、纽约的相似背景下看,武汉当初的无奈多了份可以理解的成分,但不能因此而忽略其中渎职行为的调查。</span><span style="color: black; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">严明纪律,才能避免类似悲剧的重演。</span></div>
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<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">方方日记的出现,我当时是感到欣慰的。有文人站出来为百姓请命,揭露民间困苦,这是积极的一面。因此,在过去一段时间,虽然很多人要我对方方日记写点东西,我一概保持沉默,只因为感谢她在初期曾经的贡献。人无完人嘛!每个人都有自己的个性和选择,我即便不理解,但也会宽容,社会也需要这份宽容。</span></div>
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<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">但方方日记的海外出版,则使得性质上发生了根本的转变。使得我不得不抽空来写此文。</strong></span></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">一个知名作家在这个非常时期出版一本相关题材的著作,不能不考虑各方面的影响。首先看一下国际局势:</span></strong></div>
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美国政府在去年9月和12月(参见雅虎新闻https://news.yahoo.com/a-timeline-of-trumps-missed-opportunities-on-coronavirus-193202249.html)收到了危险传染病的疫情报告,但特朗普政府一概不当回事。武汉爆发疫情后中国政府的强力措施下,不仅保护了本国国民,也给世界留下两个月的准备期,但是,西方精英阶层不知从哪里搞到一个情报,就是这种病毒只伤害亚洲人或黄种人(见纽约州长库莫讲话),欧美政府根本不把新冠肺炎当回事。但是,意大利、西班牙、纽约医疗体系迅速崩盘,严重打击发达国家经济。在这个时候,西方政客要做的第一件事不是亡羊补牢来救人,而是选票考量下的甩锅,把他们的优势完全葬送,如果不把锅摔出去,岂不要遗臭万年,在西方舆论占国际主导权的情况下,甩锅给中国就是理所当然的了,也顺势打击中国影响力的扩大。台湾1450网军、香港废青、轮子会员、海外反共势力(这些人反共,却邪门般地走向反华,顺带着把自己的祖坟和未来子孙生存的根基挖掉,真是一群蠢货),他们配合欧美的指控,甚至威胁要中国赔偿。总之,西方不能看着中国借疫情来扩大影响力,他们要让中国的对外援助变成赔罪。海外华人也成了替罪羊,美国已经发生多起针对华人的攻击行为。</div>
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<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">此时,方方日记的海外出版,则是火上浇油。</span></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">看一下方方日记最后一篇的文字:</strong></div>
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“<span style="color: black; font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: start;">非常有意思的是,<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">中美政客们</strong>在相互指责对方,怼得来劲时,而中美的医生们却联合了起来,他们在商量怎样拯救病人,讨论用哪些药物对于降低死亡率确实有效,哪种治疗方式更好。也谈怎样防护、怎样隔离之类的话题。在武汉疫情紧张时,华人扫空货架上的口罩,捐赠回国,而<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">此刻的美国医生</strong>,却遭遇到口罩和其他防护物资的缺乏。<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">有华人朋友说</strong>,我心里觉得好对不起他们。</span>”</div>
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方方真有国际范。<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">“中美政客”</strong>让你看上去不偏不倚,颇有文人嘲笑政治的洒脱风范。但这是”战争“,不是玩洒脱的时候。赵大使怒怼美国可能是病毒源头(中国外交人员一向发言谨慎,会自己出来乱放炮?),引起国际关注,扭转了舆论上的被动,现在基本可以说,美国病毒爆发比中国早已经有强有力的证据链,这个证据链就缺了一环,就是美国当局的承认和证据配合,但这一环永远别想补上。赵大使替中国利益发声,我后来紧接着写文助威(见《<a _href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247484426&idx=1&sn=fad2304f570e8ba7c409f9104a977e9f&chksm=9739c6f3a04e4fe5bb3ba14e00711863fd30203c0802a9fc2d75d5a284349d848125996bafb6&scene=21#wechat_redirect" data-itemshowtype="0" data-linktype="2" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247484426&idx=1&sn=fad2304f570e8ba7c409f9104a977e9f&chksm=9739c6f3a04e4fe5bb3ba14e00711863fd30203c0802a9fc2d75d5a284349d848125996bafb6&scene=21#wechat_redirect" style="color: #576b95; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" tab="innerlink" target="_blank">再谈阴谋论,及意、伊新冠肺炎与武汉无关</a>》),在方方的眼中赵大使这位<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">战士</span></strong>成为“政客”的一员。<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">难道作家无国界?作家不需要对外交人员在国际上维护国家正当利益的行为保持尊重?医生在医疗战场上救助生命是爱国,外交官发声维护国家利益也是爱国,厚此而否彼,是潇洒,还是无知,更或无教养?</span></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">她日记中突然插入的这一段尤其荒谬:</span></strong><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">“</span>在武汉疫情紧张时,华人扫空货架上的口罩,捐赠回国,而<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">此刻</strong>的美国医生,却遭遇到口罩和其他防护物资的缺乏。<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">有华人朋友说,</strong>我心里觉得好对不起他们。”</div>
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在武汉疫情爆发初期,中国口罩难求,但海外因为当地政府没有及时警告疫情爆发可能性,<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">国外华人聚集区商店的口罩是中国所急需,是当地闲置资源,海外华人毕竟与母国血肉相连,把海外闲置的口罩买下来捐赠国内,本是人之常情,</span>但两个月后,当美国疫情爆发,口罩难求,台湾1450网军部队、香港废青、轮子功会员、海外反共势力<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">把美国华人三个月前淳朴的行为,扭头变成对华人的责备,</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">这是多么险恶的心态</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">!</span></div>
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<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">将前后两个场景完全不同,并有两个多月时间差的行为</span></strong><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">,<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">搭配成因果关系,心态是病态的或险恶的</strong>。当初华人扫空口罩捐赠国内时,他们自己也没留多少口罩,他们那时也不知道会在美国爆发疫情,本来应该指责特朗普政府的渎职行为,</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">但现在却莫名其妙地让海外华人背上这个黑锅</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">!</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">如果当时美国</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">政府有疫情爆发的警告,或者不掩盖疫情(当时美国正忙着把白肺归咎于电子烟),我相信美国华人不会如此都寄回国内,他们在美国也有家人朋友同学同事需要口罩,美国市面上口罩存货也不多,哪还有多余资源全部捐赠国内!</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">方方的”<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">此刻的美国医生</strong>“把责任推到两个月前的行为,在航空运输的今天,不觉得太蒙太奇手法了吗?</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">没有海外华人捐赠口罩,今天美国就有足够口罩了吗?</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">你怎么确定当初华人从超市扫到的那点口罩是<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">医用标准</strong>而影响今天美国医生的使用?</span><strong style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">这些口罩救了多少武汉人的命,您作为武汉人,难道不觉得在您的文章中首先对美国华人表示感恩而不是责备吗?但我没有搜到任何您对此感恩的文字,挽救了自己的同胞不去感恩却去责备,另一边又对武汉同胞的没被挽救表现得出离愤怒。看来立场决定文字,你的立场决定了你的文字必然自相矛盾。</strong></div>
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<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;"><span style="color: black; font-family: Roboto, Arial, sans-serif; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-align: start;"><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">至于</strong><strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">“有华人朋友说,我心里觉得好对不起他们</strong>。”不知道哪个华人朋友如此表态,我每天浏览外网,从来没见到有人说对不起他们谁的,因为这些华人本来就没做错什么。</span></span></div>
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<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">方方日记不仅表现了这种基本政治观和道德观的丧失,也让自己加入到这股暗流。</span><span style="color: black; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">随着《方方日记》英文版的出版,不仅符合西方舆论的甩锅需要,方方作家的身份也成为他们值得发掘的强大舆论<strong style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">工具</strong>。我毫不怀疑,西方媒体一定会把方方抬得很高,把她的书描绘成良心的记录,然后给她个诺贝尔文学奖,因为在西方最需要一杆枪的时候,方方小姐及时黏在了那个枪头子的位置上。随着西方的一系列操作,方方的作品被翻译成几十种语言世界流传,武汉初期的失误经过方方的书,强化了中国对全球疫情泛滥负责的指责,淡化了美国的原罪,中国的对外救援全部变成了赎罪。瞬间多出几亿仇华者,他们包括那些因为疫情失业者、破产者、亲友死亡者、财富损失者,以及世界各国的没政治头脑而又自以为是的文学好者等。已经上演的对海外华人的攻击行为,将会更多,方方赚取丰富稿费的同时,不知道会带给海外华人多少遭受各类攻击和指责的风险。</span></div>
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<span style="color: black; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">我在《</span><a _href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247484435&idx=1&sn=319e9969fcaff83c9806c90ac61dffb2&chksm=9739c6eaa04e4ffc335a9f9431edcb73df9ac4919ebe151ebf680023e78e186bdf7fc884790f&scene=21#wechat_redirect" data-itemshowtype="0" data-linktype="2" href="http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s?__biz=MzIwNDkzNzExMA==&mid=2247484435&idx=1&sn=319e9969fcaff83c9806c90ac61dffb2&chksm=9739c6eaa04e4ffc335a9f9431edcb73df9ac4919ebe151ebf680023e78e186bdf7fc884790f&scene=21#wechat_redirect" style="color: #0052ff; margin: 0px; padding: 0px; text-decoration-line: none;" tab="innerlink" target="_blank">美国<连线>杂志引董玉振文章谈新冠肺炎的体制挑战</a><span style="color: black; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">》的前言中提到:</span></div>
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<span style="color: red; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">人性的丑陋任何时候都有,在大灾难面前,人性的光辉更值得费点笔墨。实事求是地只写黑暗,实事求是地只会赞美,及实事求是地平衡兼顾,属于不同心态,不同层次,不同责任意识。写日记或写报告文学或写时评,立场决定内容。</span></div>
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<span style="color: black; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">但事实是,方方的日记根本不是实事求是地只描写黑暗,而是在看似实事求是的内容里增加了这些轻率、情绪而不严谨的文字。</span></div>
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<span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">作家没有政治头脑,或有政治偏见,还是少写时政相关题材的。<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">至于那些骂她是美帝走狗的粗鲁行为,我是明确反对的,</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">但</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">英文版的出版使我认识到,她很无知</span><span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">。</span></span></div>
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<span style="color: black; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">方方日记这次走出国门,</span><span style="color: red; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">她无意中否定了自己,也损害了国家和海外华人利益</span><span style="color: black; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">,葬送了自己积累的荣誉和本来还拥有的同情甚至尊重。</span></div>
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<span style="color: black; margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">一步之错,成终身遗憾,是学识、心态和立场问题埋下了早晚都会走出这一步的悲剧。中国作家如果非要写时政问题,一个基本要求就是走出文学的圈子,去社会的大实践中丰富自己,带着<span style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px;">归零的心态</span>去认识国际政治斗争的课堂里学习,再好的文学技巧必须有素材才能写出高质量的作品,只有这样,当您试图振臂一呼为民请命时,才不至于弄巧成拙,扯破裤裆。</span></div>
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dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-75611585144919234022020-03-08T20:26:00.002-07:002020-03-08T20:26:59.143-07:00门槛与后门:《外国人永久居留管理条例》检讨<h2 class="rich_media_title" id="activity-name" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 1.4; margin: 0px 0px 14px; padding: 0px;">
<span style="font-size: small;">该文2020年3月8日首次发表于南洋智库公众号,但很快被和谐。很遗憾。</span></h2>
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门槛与后门:《外国人永久居留管理条例》检讨</h2>
<div class="rich_media_meta_list" id="meta_content" style="background-color: white; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 0px; letter-spacing: 0.544px; line-height: 20px; margin: 0px 0px 22px; overflow-wrap: break-word; padding: 0px; position: relative; word-break: break-all; z-index: 1;">
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随着国际交流的增加,中国完善绿卡制度(外国人永久居留权)是大势所趋。但立法机构必须搞清楚,这不是与国际接轨,这是针对中国国情和国家需要而制定的国内法律。在国际上也没有统一的移民条例。</div>
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中国制定移民条例,要始终抓住中国国情,否则必将后患无穷,甚至导致政府声望受损。</div>
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针对移民条例的制定<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,中国的国情是什么</span>:</div>
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1,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">中国是个民族国家,不是移民国家</span>。即中国这方面更类似于日本、韩国、俄罗斯,等,而不是美加澳或新加坡这类移民国家。在历史包袱和资源使用权上,民族国家首先其土地和资源是祖先千百年留下来给自己子孙后代的祖产,而移民国家则没这样的包袱。祖产与人分享,有个基本的要求,您必须帮我光宗耀祖,精神归附,忠于并敬重祖宗,并必须入乡随俗。当然,永久居民和国籍归化可以要求程度不同。</div>
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所以,中国接纳外国移民为永久居民,一个首要的要求:会中文听说及基本的书写能力。至少要自己会添个表格吧。中国所有移民相关的表格上不能有英文,否则,就是中国自己人首先精神上接受被殖民。这是殖民与主动接纳外国人士的根本区别,就是必须以我为主。</div>
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一个人不准备下功夫学中文,他可以用自己的专业技能在中国工作,但没资格申请永久居民和公民。</div>
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2,中国和其他民族国家有个很大的区别,就是<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">海外有五千万外籍华人。</span>这些人在中国的发展中做出过贡献,或因为其它原因迁居海外。当然,我在拙作和一些文章中一再强调,这些迁往全世界生根的炎黄子孙应该受到中国本国居民的尊重,原因是,他们完全靠个人的力量把中华民族的火种撒在全世界,他们是中华文化的义务传播者和中华民族生存空间的拓展者。虽然中国内地有些小肚鸡肠之辈动辄指责他们不爱国,但换个角度,美加澳新西兰那些广袤的土地,炎黄子孙难道就没资格去占领吗?太有权力了,我反对一胎化,也希望尽快放开二胎允许三胎,就是基于这样的考虑,那就是中华民族必须走向全世界,这14亿人哪够?</div>
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但是,全世界炎黄子孙对于中国这个祖产,既有在全世界光宗耀祖的责任,也有道义上的权利(人家的祖先也曾经为这片土地打拼过,贡献不比现在生活在中国的人少)。这个权力的体现,应该在移民条例上予以照顾,但这个条例却是缺位的。</div>
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3,中国曾经<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">实行过人类历史上最残酷的一胎化政策</span>,那些高举人权大棒的国家从来没有抗议过中国的这一问题,很明显,这很可能符合(是否包括中国人民在内本处不议)全人类的利益。上面提到,中国人收入提高到越来越多能走向全世界,14亿人哪够?</div>
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计划生育限制了中国人的人口扩张,如果给外国人进入的门槛太低,将存在严重的道德问题。因此,对外族,高门槛和配额限制必须兼顾。对绿卡可以做个配额限制:每年华人血统的外籍人士10000人,非华人血统的3000人。(这里包括工作需要,婚配,投资移民各类总和)非华人血统的外籍人士必须以给国家可以做出不可替代贡献的稀缺人才。比如,某个乌克兰人帮助中国解决了飞机发动机的关键技术问题,或类似于中芯共同CEO梁孟松那样的技术牛人(梁是中国台湾人,这里只是举例),反正就是您不可替代,国家从您身上可以获得其他人做不出的贡献。至于那些不涉及技术的纯粹管理CEO就算啦。</div>
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4,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">以婚姻为桥梁来接纳外国外族人口,要格外小心</span>。中国男性比女性多4000万,人口性别结构不平衡决定了,中女配外男,应该不受政策鼓励。相反,中男配外女,应该政策倾斜。这里不要给我争人权平等。中女必须配个靠自己有能力申请绿卡的外男(而不是靠老婆),这是娘家人本来就有权提出的要求。</div>
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5,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">中国公权力运用至今没有得到很好的监督,如何防止公权力的介入来特殊照顾某些不该照顾的人,则是个关键问题</span>,因为如果未来国外某个机构买通移民机构关键领导,那等于撬开了中国的围墙。过去发生过公务员被境外机构买通,在政策制定上为国外谋取特殊利益的案件发生。可以说,中国人自己在锅里如何炒,是个纯粹的家事,但如果有外人介入,不仅是个法律问题,还涉及民族问题及忠诚问题,甚至涉及国家安全问题。(据说还有个拉拢各国精英的共济会)</div>
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针对这个征求《中华人民共和国外国人永久居留管理条例(征求意见稿)》,我没时间做太多的精细研究。只简单提出一些可能存在问题的条目<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">(见下面的红色字体是我所写):</span></div>
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<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">第二章 申请条件</strong></div>
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第十条 外国人遵守中国法律,具备在中国生活的基本经济保障,并且符合本条例规定申请条件的,可以申请永久居留资格。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:基本经济保障,这个门槛太低,因为申请时符合条件,拿到绿卡后几年此人随着年龄增长和专业能力相对退化,他那点存款够吗?难道要成为中国的负担去卖淫贩毒?</span></div>
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外国人因外交、公务事由在中国境内停留居留期间,不得申请永久居留资格。</div>
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第十一条 外国人为中国经济社会发展作出突出贡献,属于下列情形之一的,经国家有关主管部门或者省、自治区、直辖市人民政府推荐,可以申请永久居留资格:</div>
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(一)为中国科技、教育、文化、卫生、体育等事业作出突出贡献;</div>
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(二)在中国境内从事公益活动,为中国公益事业发展作出突出贡献;</div>
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(三)为推进中外友好交流合作、维护世界和平、促进共同发展作出突出贡献;</div>
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(四)为中国经济社会发展作出突出贡献的其他情形。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:这个因为考核指标很难设定,所以,必须有严格指标限制。或人数限制。</span></div>
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第十二条 在经济、科技、教育、文化、卫生、体育等领域取得国际公认杰出成就的外国人,可以直接申请永久居留资格。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:有点抓不住重点。尤其是经济、文化、卫生和体育四个领域,有点莫名其妙。苏联不是被诺贝尔经济学奖获得者出的馊主意给搞死的吗?社科与人文,要谨慎,因为一个西方文化大师,对中国来说,最多的用处可能就是来大学上上课,他是弘扬西方文明的大师,对中国有啥好处?他们反而对自己的文化有发自内心的沙文主义或自负感,否则成不了文化大师。中国没必要让他们来这里自豪。体育更有意思,奥林匹克金牌得主算杰出成就,我也不希望看到中国足球队全是一帮拿着中国护照的黑人和南美人。他们拿到世界杯,中国爷们能自豪起来吗?中国的自豪感会有吗?扯淡吧,该咋地咋地,中国足球无法成为我们的兴奋点,咱就兴奋点别的。来个马拉多纳让中国国旗飘几分钟,如此而已,不知多少中国女孩子会倒霉。体育的才能多数不能遗传。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">但计算机图灵奖获得者,科学类诺奖得主们,菲尔兹奖获得者,多多益善,反正也不多。应该严格限制非科技类人才。尤其是经济学、政治学等领域社会学家,多数对中国社会不会带来实质好处。他们太大的声量与中国的国情可能格格不入。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">第十三条 因国家经济社会发展需要引进的外国人,属于下列情形之一的,可以申请永久居留资格:</span></div>
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(一)国家重点发展的行业、区域引进并经主管部门推荐的急需紧缺人才;</div>
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(二)国家重点建设的高等学校、科研机构引进并推荐的助理教授、助理研究员以上职称的学术科研人员,以及其他高等学校、科研机构引进并推荐的教授、研究员;</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:助理研究员和助理教授,要求太低,除非是外国女性单身28岁以下,外国名校毕业还可以考虑。如果是男性,至少有显著的贡献后再可以。</span></div>
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(三)高新技术企业、创新型企业以及国内知名企业引进并推荐的<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">高级经营管理人员</span>、高级专业技术人员。</div>
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(四)根据本条例第十二条规定取得永久居留资格的外国人推荐的专业人才。</div>
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前款所列推荐单位和个人应当出具真实、可靠的推荐函件,对引进事由及推荐对象相关资质的真实性负责。</div>
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第十四条 国家移民管理部门应当与外交、发展改革、教育、科技、人力资源社会保障、商务、文化、卫生健康、体育等国务院有关部门建立会商机制,就本条例第十二条和第十三条规定的具体标准等进行会商。</div>
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第十五条 外国人依法在中国境内工作,属于下列情形之一,且纳税记录和信用记录良好的,可以申请永久居留资格:</div>
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(一)具有博士研究生学历或者从国际知名高校毕业,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">在中国境内工作满三年,其间实际居留累计不少于一年</span>;</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">重大疑问:</strong>三年和一年这两个数据太低。现在<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">新加坡这边名校毕业要申请绿卡也很难。本条例多处出现“实际居住累计不少于一年”,这不是为舞弊创造方便条件吗?</strong>起草这个条款的人,请调查一下他是否有家人是外国国籍。如果批准,以后这些有权势的家伙,都可以给一个国内企业打个招呼,让自己外籍家人偶尔回国过些日子照顾老人,就凑够一年了,然后就可以申请绿卡了。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">博士研究生学历必须加个冠词:著名大学。MIT毕业的,和野鸡大学毕业的当然不可同日而语。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: #0052ff; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">不知是否巧合:</strong></span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">美、加中小学每年6-9月假期就三个月,三年内每年带孩子回来探亲一下,春节再回来几天,就凑够1年了,让国内一个大型民企给这些人挂个头衔,比如研发副总监兼驻美业务代表,行了,所有条件满足。国内的老人家用它手中的权力给这个民企随便一点好处(比如高新技术研发补贴)就远超越企业支付给这个美国定居家属的工资(这些人不差这点钱,和企业玩个你开工资,我付钱都行,他们缺的是时间,所以,这个国内停留时间不能太长,1/3还可以努力一下而不耽误在美国照顾孩子。<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这个时间长短巧合地特别适合那些加入美加国籍的高干子弟或富豪家属</strong>)。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">别怪我小人之心,<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这里留下了太方便钻的漏洞。或者很容易钻的后门。</strong></span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这是一个就连移民国家都没有的超低门槛。不知为何会出现在民族国家的移民条款中。</strong></span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;"></strong></div>
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(二)在国家重点发展的行业、区域连续工作满三年<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,其间实际居留累计不少于一年,</span>工资性年收入不低于上一年度所在地区城镇在岗职工平均工资的<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">四倍;</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">疑问:参考上一条。</span></div>
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(三)在中国境内连续工作满四年,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">其间实际居留累计不少于二年</span>,工资性年收入不低于上一年度所在地区城镇在岗职工平均工资的六倍;</div>
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(四)在中国境内连续工作满八年,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">其间实际居留累计不少于四年,</span>工资性年收入不低于上一年度所在地区城镇在岗职工平均工资的<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">三倍</span>。</div>
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前款第二项至第四项规定的工资性年收入为最低标准,具体标准由国家移民管理部门商省、自治区、直辖市人民政府确定。</div>
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第十六条 外国人按照外商投资法律的规定,以自然人身份或者作为控股股东的企业投资,属于下列情形<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">之一</span>,且连续三年投资情况稳定,纳税记录和信用记录良好的,可以申请永久居留资格:</div>
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(一)在中国境内投资折合人民币一千万以上;</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:这属于<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">投资移民</strong>。这个太低了。一千万就是在京沪深买套房子或办公室的金额。这种投资对国家有啥用。如果是工业投资,那些机器的价格你如何核算?一台自己随便搭建的测试台,成本五万元人民币,他说自己花费几年心血设计,总成本500万,那要批准吗?新加坡现在接受投资移民的条件,除投资金额,还有最近三年的营业额平均必须达到五千万新元(2.5亿元人民币)。营业额,这是一个最容易核算审计的量化数据。据我的朋友说,新加坡投资移民拿绿卡,没有一亿元人民币的各类投资(包括指定政府基金的投资),不用考虑。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这个一千万,似乎又是为某些特殊阶级量身定做的,回来买间办公楼或厂房或仓库,鼓捣一些玄乎的业务,因为太多人可以达到这个门槛,而绿卡不可能那么多,这就为权力寻租创造了空间。奇!</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">“连续三年投资情况稳定,纳税记录和信用记录良好的”必须量化,否则等于制造灰色地带。中国投资移民条款没理由比新加坡低,因为中国有个计划生育至今还在严厉执行着。</span></div>
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(二)在国家实行外商投资鼓励措施的区域投资,投资数额、纳税金额和聘雇中国公民人数达到规定标准的;</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:标准请细化并公开透明。含糊其辞等于没制度。这个数字以后可以三年检讨一次,但必须有量化并公开。对于那些非常想有中国绿卡的外国人,他们可以根据量化指标,自己来做计划。区域这个要小心,因为绿卡是全国性的,吸引一个外国人到甘肃投资和上海可以差别,但要明白,上海北京就连中国人的户口都不容易进去,外国人基本不用想,所以,如果甘肃贵州的指标可实现,上海北京基本上达标的都是全世界对顶尖的人才和企业。</span></div>
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(三)在中国境内设立高新技术企业、创新型企业,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">效益显著</span>并<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">经省、自治区、直辖市人民政府主管部门推荐的。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:效益显著</span>这句话等于没说。又是巨大的灰色地带可以运作。</span></div>
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前款第二项规定的具体标准由国家移民管理部门商国务院有关部门确定。<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">(好,商定好一定要公开透明,确定了再评论</span>)</div>
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第十七条 外国人有家庭团聚需要,属于下列情形之一的,可以申请永久居留资格:</div>
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(一)配偶为居住在中国境内的中国公民或者永久居留外国人,婚后已在中国境内与配偶共同生活五年,且<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">每年实际居留累计不少于九个月</span>,有稳定生活保障和住所;</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:参考我开头所说,中女配外男,原则上不批,除非这个外男符合上述顶尖人才条款,那么这个中女老婆算是加分。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-indent: 2em;">其实,新加坡女性公民与外国男性结婚,外男老公是很难靠婚姻拿到绿卡的。有认识几个这种情况,都有孩子了,外国老公就是拿不到绿卡。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这里有一个特别要素,就是外籍人士如果是华人,要适度照顾。因为不会对中国文化习俗和国家利益带来高风险。</span></div>
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(二)未满十八周岁的子女投靠居住在中国境内的中国籍父母或者在中国境内永久居留的外国籍父母;</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:这些子女成年后是否自动延续永久居民身份?是否有一定的考核指标?比如拥护中国共产党。哈哈,我真不是讲笑话。因为成年后,他们已经有自己的思想和自己的工作,就要完全靠自己来达到符合中国绿卡的标准。他们有独立责任承担能力的年龄,可以为中国发展服务,也可能被外国机构发展为他们的利益代表。</span></div>
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(三)年满六十周岁,在境外无直系亲属,投靠居住在中国境内的中国籍直系亲属或者在中国境内永久居留的外国籍直系亲属,已在中国境内连续居留五年,且每年实际居留累计不少于九个月,有稳定生活保障和住所。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:这个可以,体现人道主义。把他在国外挣一辈子的财富带回国内养老,比一样康养旅游产业还好。但要规定,他们不能在中国境内工作。且不得享受给与那些因为杰出贡献而获得绿卡的同等福利。</span></div>
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第十八条 外国人符合本条例第十一条、第十二条、第十三条、第十五条、第十六条规定条件,申请永久居留资格的,其配偶和未满十八周岁的子女可以同时申请永久居留资格。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:中女配外男同时申请,但不应批准。除非男方以自己的专业贡献单独申请时,可以加分。</span></div>
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第十九条 外国人因其他正当理由需要在中国境内永久居留的,可以申请永久居留资格。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">疑问:这个正当理由同样是灰色地带很大。</span></div>
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最近俗务缠身,每天都有网友要我对这个绿卡条例发表意见,我也觉得确实该关注一下,毕竟不是小事。就针对上面这几条谈一下看法,与大家交流。</div>
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我之所以对此不是很放心,其实是那个吸引外国留学生的奇怪制度给我造成心理阴影。世界各国都会以吸引他国最杰出的学生为目标,目的两个:一个是给自己国家吸引有潜质的人才,二是,为将自己的价值观和文化传播出去培养天下朋友。只有那些顶级人才,未来才可能成为他自己国家的精英力量。可国家教委那个“以数量优先”的政策则是完全往相反的方向浪费公币,招收一些低素质学生来培养出各国未来的出租车司机、糟糕的技术员和修理工,这是哪门子的政治智慧?就那些混混一样的人会成为他们国家的总统或部长?</div>
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这件事给我造成的一个重大心理阴影就是:政府智库里可能有代理人,或某些国际秘密社团的会员。所以,一听到国家要出永久居民条例,我自然神经绷紧。</div>
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实际上,我仔细观察国际政治多年,到这个岁数,真正意识到,世界上很多看似偶然事情,一旦放在时间轴上,很容易发现其中的规律性,甚至规律得可怕。就拿欧洲过去几年的中东难民来说,德、法两个欧洲强国拼命地<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">被外族掺沙子,同时对这些主体民族灌输性自由、同婚合法化等拉低生育率的观念,双管齐下,主体民族占比日小,沙子愈来愈多。</span>当然,所有的政策都是在政治正确的旗号下进行。但却把自己国家推向一个不战而败,不战而亡的不归路(除非出现新法西斯)。如果您认为这一切都是偶然的,那您真是清纯得不足以论政。</div>
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了不起的国际阴谋家们都是在利他主义和人权主义的美丽外衣下面带笑容地下毒的。西方已经在性自由、个人主义、享乐主义、经济私有化、金融主导化等领域卯足劲向中国推动了好多年。如果我的判断没错,某些力量一定会推动中国的同性婚姻合法化,甚至将同婚搞到世人皆知(本来是次文化范畴,非要被某些人搞到和主流文化价值体系平起平坐)。国家教委编制的性教育教材已经是最明显的趋势性信号(那个编写者和审查此教材的家伙应该被开除公职)。靠战争铁定无法征服中华民族时,那就只有想想别的看上去冠冕堂皇但实际暗藏慢性毒药的办法了。</div>
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这次的永久居民条例中,个别条款的门槛之低令我惊讶。值得关注。<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">以上随想未必正确,也可能是巧合。别怪我心理阴暗,想得过多,因为我研究和关注国际政治课题日久,国际政治参杂进去民族、文明的竞争,其阴暗与残酷超乎想象。宁可多虑,不可失察。</span></div>
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暂议至此,供讨论。</div>
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dongyzhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03810326122942033329noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4497655479856646637.post-47874299312810445282020-03-08T20:25:00.000-07:002020-03-08T20:25:00.751-07:00新冠肺炎在热带及新加坡传播分析及对中国的建议<div style="background-color: white; box-sizing: border-box !important; clear: both; color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, "Helvetica Neue", "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei UI", "Microsoft YaHei", Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; max-width: 100%; min-height: 1em; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left;">
<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">该文2020年2月20日首先发表于南洋智库公众号</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; font-size: 24px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">新冠肺炎在热带及新加坡传播分析及对中国的建议</span></div>
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南洋出版社社长 战略与产业咨询专家 董玉振(工学博士,医学外行)</div>
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首先声明,我这个帖子并不是个严肃的学术论文,也不是一定要推荐给大家什么妙方,只是积极参与新冠肺炎的严肃关注并提供些客观的信息。我对医学是外行,虽然看过些中医的书,但连皮毛的学识都没有学到。在各类信息建议满天飞的今天,我犹豫很久才决定写这个贴子。在这之前已经给中国和新加坡的一些朋友口头讲过我的想法,提醒他们复工后注意。随着越来越多人开始复工,我觉得有必要写出来和多数人分享,因为我也不方便和每个朋友口头分享,万一有点用或启发性,咱也算是积德行善。只供参考。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">尤其是当我看到不少人在家里和办公室还穿着很厚的衣服,感觉有必要说几句。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">虽然病毒对高温敏</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">感,但厚衣服</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">没用!!厚衣服只能用来防止着凉。</span></div>
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先看一下处于热带的几个武汉游客春节出游比较多的几个国家统计数据(数据可能有点误差,但误差不大):</div>
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这里面可以总结一下:</div>
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新加坡9934人</div>
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泰国23390</div>
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越南7300</div>
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东马来西亚5418(马来西亚是中国人的旅游热点国家,我估计不少武汉人去马来西亚旅游是通过其它城市进入,但找不到数据, 只有东马一个不热门机场的数据就五千多人。马来西亚入境湖北游客在一万五千人左右)</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这些数据足以用来说明问题</span>(截至2020年2月18日)。</div>
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确认人数:新加坡81人,泰国35人,越南16人,马来西亚22人。无一死亡案例。</div>
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从这个数据可以看出,新加坡比例较高,另外三个东南亚国家则相对轻的多。尤其考虑到这些游客是出来玩的,到处走动,人多的旅游热点和购物中心是必去之地,热带国家的这个确诊人数确实是小到可以当流感对待。在新加坡,这一万多武汉游客主要集中在核心区大概几十平方公里的区域活动,在和中国一个县城差不多面积的空间集中了每天勤奋走动的一万武汉来客,您能想象如果发生在中国一个县城,结果会如何?</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">新加坡是东南亚国家中人传人案例最多的国家。</span>传染集中在两个教堂,一个中国游客光顾的商店,以及可能与上述教堂有关联的星展银行办公楼,君悦酒店的一个公司会议,还有个就是外国客工的宿舍。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">新加坡不仅确诊案例比其它东南亚国家比例高,而且人传人现象最严重,本人尝试做以下解释:</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这些人传入案例并不是因为他们集中在县城大小的区域,而是</span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">有个非常明显的共性特征</span></strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">,就是<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">在室温极低的室内。</strong></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"></span></span></div>
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新加坡的办公环境冷气都开的很低, 所以,新加坡办公室中一般都需要备件夹克。听说是为避免狐臭影响公共场所其他人。当中国政府要求夏天办公楼空调温度不能低于26度时,那时我正在主持一个城市新区生态城研究专题,和本地朋友闲聊过新加坡是否也可以把温度调高点来节约用电,当时就有人强调狐臭可能使我们放弃省电的想法。新加坡公众场所都把温度设定在20度上下。我原来租一个房子的房东,在我第一天搬进去时,他很友善地提前把我的卧室空调打开。当我进屋后立即感觉太冷,看遥控器才知道,他把温度设在17度。常年夏季的环境下制造点深秋的感觉。</div>
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新加坡最集中感染的是一个教堂,十多人被感染。我家附近就有个豪华教堂,空调温度极低。我曾带娃进去玩不超过十分钟就要出来,否则小娃就会打喷嚏。</div>
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因此,新加坡教堂成为传染热点,但于室外举行的大伯公庙会聚集几千人,却没有出现人传人的案例。因为室外即使晚上也有28度的温度,会极大地抑制病毒的传染力。再加上室外空气流通,那几个病毒即使勉强活着,被风一吹也难以“集体作案”。少量几个病毒进入人体内,不仅不会将人击倒,甚至会帮助此人体内产生抗体。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">高温抑制病毒的传播已经是共识,但是否靠穿上厚厚的羽绒服就能改善?</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">答案是否定的!</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">!</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">看到国内不少人在家里穿厚厚的衣服,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">我有点不安,</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">就意识到他们的室温一定很低。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">人体体温36-37度,但肺部温度却更接近吸进环境冷空气的温度,也就是说,您穿多厚的羽绒服,从对抗病毒的角度来看是没用的。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">只有提高肺部的温度,才是正确的方向。鼻腔和气管对进入肺部空气的预热并不明显。</span></div>
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<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">再看下面这个萨斯期间拐点的出现时期:</span></strong></div>
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<img height="243" src="https://mmbiz.qpic.cn/mmbiz_jpg/QC2lwibrtz7LZxvHK27Frq1X4ia9nhOkTqklWwqibxkM6tbxQKsc0jj5HesiclOvRCQaa3BxmEuCN5IJP6s7pibbAyg/640?wx_fmt=jpeg&tp=webp&wxfrom=5&wx_lazy=1&wx_co=1" width="400" /></div>
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其中最明显的拐点位置是香港、中国内地、加拿大,高温天气到来层次明显,拐点位置与气温吻合。</div>
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很明显,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">高温可以极大地弱化病毒的传播能力,甚至有助于感染者的康复</span>。武汉来新加坡和泰国旅游的这些人是幸运的,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">如果他们不出来,而是待在寒冷的家乡,可能他们中不少人都会成为疑似或确诊病例。<strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">他们来热带旅游时不少人不知不觉中就自愈了</strong>。这是我的猜测。</span></div>
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环境温度对肺部健康欠佳者有较大影响,这可以解释,很多与肺有关的疾病(如哮喘)都在冬天比较容易复发。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">基于上述认识,结合其它要素,</strong></span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;"><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">建议如下</strong></span>:</div>
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1,很快大家就需要返回工作场所,这么大的国家不可能总是不开工。<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">可以考虑把办公室、家里和医院的室温全部调到26度</span>(国内规定夏天办公室温度不能低于26度),这个温度不至于热到影响工作(医生穿防护服,温度再高就汗流浃背了),但也不会低到病毒可以舒服地生存。在家和办公室穿单衣不感冒即可。穿的很厚对肺部的温度没有用处。</div>
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空调只有过滤灰尘的滤网,是个缺憾。建议办公室购置空气过滤器,加大空调风速,让办公室空气在高温下保持一定的流动性。如果有病毒漂浮也可以很快经过过滤器过滤吸附。<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">这也是个教训</span>,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">建议中国政府将中央空调必须加装空气清洁过滤器作为国家标准。或者将此作为写字楼和星级酒店的评定标准。</span></div>
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2, 各地桑拿浴开放。尤其是疑似病例和确诊病例,好好洗个桑拿有帮助。所有的医生晚上下班前也洗个桑拿,即驱除一天的疲劳,也顺带着消毒。听说内地所有桑拿场所关闭,我觉得桑拿房关闭有点可惜。</div>
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有个美国回国的传染学博士建议洗热水澡,水温调到四十多度,我觉得不可行,因为多数人耐不了那个高温,关键是,那只是提高皮肤表层温度而已,对提高肺部温度效果有限。<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">桑拿房内空气温度高,蒸汽密度低,所以,大人小孩都可以承受。</span></div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">没办法都去洗桑拿,就制造个微环境</span>,利用自己的杯子装满热水,口鼻对着杯口呼吸,我常用这种方式来减轻感冒流鼻涕,非常有效。这也是提高肺部气温和湿度的有效方式,也是最便宜的方式。</div>
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3. 未来再发生这类疫情,建议<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">充分利用中国不多的热带土地资源,比如西沙群岛和南沙填海的三个大岛</span>。如果未来再发生冠状病毒感染,中国政府可以准备些帐篷,开通南沙诸岛旅游,优先照顾重传染区居民买机票到南海诸岛去住半个月。填那几个岛可以顺势排上点医疗战备用途。航空公司和政府顺便赚点辛苦钱也是应该的(机票太低会导致打破头局面)。南海那几个岛建成后,中国有了十多个平方公里的热带土地可用了。海南岛沿海和西沙群岛也是不错的地方。马来西亚就利用南沙群岛上的一个岛屿搞成度假村,中国可以搞成更大的临时度假村。为了确保“战时”方便启动,平时南沙填海建造的几个岛屿也可以适当开放旅游度假。有一定的资源储备和基本工作队伍可以随时调用。这次新冠肺炎发生时,如果调用民航机把几万疑似病患及他们密切接触的家人送往南沙三岛,那里海风习习,白天晒晒太阳(尤其是晒背部),大多数人很可能会像东南亚国家的那些武汉游客那样,已经感染者最终不药而治。</div>
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这要比堵在家里强太多了。那些感染却因床位不足没有及时住院者,心里着急,情绪不稳,这只会在氧自由基的破坏下降低人体的抵抗力,加速病情的恶化。</div>
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4, 原西藏军区副参谋长侯善良,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">为治疗冠状肺炎献一策:“在西藏工作</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px auto; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">20</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">余年,曾经的高原肺水肿是难治之症。</span><strong style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px auto; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; margin: 0px auto; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">2000</span>年前后,西藏军区总医院采取在氧气整流瓶的水中加入高浓度酒精与氧气一并给病人吸氧,效果奇效!这次武汉病毒肺炎病毒怕酒精,建议采取上述方法!</strong><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px auto; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">这个病毒源构成是蛋白质成份,是人体免疫系统紊乱后,把人体肺细胞做为了"敌人",自已攻击自已,雾化的酒精入肺胞后,杀死病源体(病毒),干扰源消除了,病人也就恢复了!</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;"> </span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: black; font-family: 微软雅黑, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px; text-align: left; text-indent: 32px;">蛋白质性质的病毒,遇高温或酒精,自然就死掉了,相当于"煮熟了"一样,道理很简单!至于患者吸入酒精的浓度,实话实说,我没有研究,但我用过,自已也试着弄,根据病情调整浓度,特别是高浓度的酒精(少加水)效果最显著!“</span></div>
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基于侯先生的建议,可以拓展一下思路:<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">北方人冬天喝酒都要温热再喝。买些便宜的烈酒如65度二锅头,倒杯中用热水温热,口鼻对着杯口呼吸,一样可以把温热的空气和汽化酒精吸入肺中,应该有类似的效果。</span></div>
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5,在各种类型的传染病不可能避免的情况下,<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">中药的特殊价值应该充分重视起来</span>。有阴谋论者谈论生物战争,不论这种事会否发生,未来如果有国家利益的激励对抗甚至热战,谁也无法预测是否会出现此类生物战争。国家从战略层面要做到有备无患。而西药的研制速度慢,但中药则是随时可用,是敌对国家无法作为预研目标的国民保健神器。即便中药不能快速治好,但至少会降低病毒对国民的危害。<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">比如,本次国家推出了中药配方建议,在大家无法外出排队买药的情况下,这个配方建议很难惠及万民,国家就应该组织力量迅速向武汉等重灾区疑似病例提供这类已经配好的中药包,让他们在家自己熬药,不仅有助于治疗,也让这些居家隔离的疑似病例心理上也会不再感到无助和紧张。尤其是那些因病房紧张而无法住院的患者,可以在家自疗,而不是等死。</span></div>
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6,做好寒性体质的保健。寒性体质的人可能更容易肺部敏感,当代人吃冰淇淋,冬天喝啤酒等,都会是寒性体质的导因之一。在中医眼中,吃冰冷食物是健康大忌。最近看到有人建议多喝姜水,我觉得这也是有效提高身体温度,改善寒性体质的简单有效方法。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">7,从教育到制度上进一步加强中医在突发性大面积传染病方面的应用。中国现在医学教育是中西医分开的,建议中国的医科大学(现代医学,即西医)将中医纳入必修课</span>,西医能做到中西医结合。看到中小学开始把中医课送进课堂,非常令人鼓舞,古代的学人都略通医理。湖北有些地方这次治愈出院的速度不是很快加剧了病床的紧张,据网友查询,有些市医院院长是中医的死硬反对者,这种人当院长,对中医的应用难免掣肘。</div>
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<span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">建议中国保健卫生免疫管理部门的首席长官,或常务副长官,至少有一人必须来自于中医,建议国家卫生部部长由中医和西医背景的专家每五年做一次轮流担任。</span><span style="box-sizing: border-box !important; color: red; margin: 0px; max-width: 100%; overflow-wrap: break-word !important; padding: 0px;">全国所有以西医为主的医院院长都必须有中西医结合治疗经验,这应该作为国家用人制度。没有中西医结合治疗背景的医生,不论是院士还是哪路大神,最高只能做到常务副职(常务副院长、常务副部长、常务副主任)。</span></div>
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抛砖至此。粗陋之言,不堪细究,仅供参考。</div>
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